Calibration trade-off: good fit on small events, underestimates large flood

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Barbara Popczyk

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Apr 10, 2026, 6:56:49 AM (4 days ago) Apr 10
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Dear WRF-Hydro community,

 I have a calibration problem in my WRF-Hydro setup for the 1742km2 mountain catchment in Poland.

 During the period June–September 2024 (with several small events and one major flood in mid-September), I face a strong trade-off:

 - When parameters are tuned for smaller events, the model significantly underestimates the large September flood peak.

- When tuned for the big flood, it strongly overestimates peaks during smaller events.

 I mainly adjusted REFKDT, OVROUGHRTFAC, MaNN, but the conflict remains.

 Has anyone experienced similar behaviour?

What parameters or approach helped you to find a better compromise?

 Any advice would be greatly appreciated.

Best regards,

BarbaraQ_vs_Bardo_asfalt.pngQ_vs_Rain_Bardo_b2full.png


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