Underestimation Issue in MOZCART Results

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Naser Mohammadzadeh

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Dec 26, 2025, 6:04:13 AM (6 days ago) Dec 26
to wrf-chem

Hello,

I have attached the MOZCART simulation results for your reference. I notice that the model shows significant underestimation compared to observations.

Based on my current namelist settings, I would appreciate any comments or suggestions on possible reasons for this behavior. In particular, are there any configurations or options you would recommend adjusting to improve the correlation (increase R) and reduce the RMSE?

Thank you very much for your time and guidance.

Best regards,
Naser

namelist.input
TimeSeries_PM25_AAQ24_MOZ_RMV_ND_only_hourly [4].png
TimeSeries_PM10_AAQ24_MOZ_RMV_ND_only_hourly [4].png

Mary Barth

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Dec 29, 2025, 11:23:21 AM (2 days ago) Dec 29
to naser.moham...@gmail.com, wrf-chem
Hello Naser,

Your question is a science question and not about addressing technical issues with the tools we provide. You and your team will need to explore reasons for the underestimation. Typically, PM2.5 underestimation is due to inaccurate emissions and/or PBL height, but could also be due to not including chemical sources of PM. Note that MOZCART does not include SOA production or nitrate aerosols. A better aerosol representation would be MOSAIC (e.g., chem_opt=201). 

Mary 
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Mary Barth 
Senior Scientist   
phone: 303-497-8186    email: bar...@ucar.edu

NSF - National Center for Atmospheric Research
P.O. Box 3000
Boulder, CO 80307

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