Thank you, Rob.
I appreciate that our (Chrome's) thoughts have been shifting a bit here as log behavior has continued to evolve.
I think it would be reasonable to never re-enable submissions to mammoth2025h2, instead transitioning it to readonly now. Other mammoth and sabre shards could move to readonly at the previously-discussed date. The prior plan (everything waiting until September) was an attempt to maximize capacity in the ecosystem, but if mammoth2025h2 can't safely offer that capacity, there's no benefit in trying to postpone the transition for that shard. That also does not detract from the value of the other shards waiting until Tiger* are fully Usable.
Even this plan presupposes that the log is able to fully clear its backlog. I notice that despite having more than a full day of no submissions, mammoth2025h2 still has unincluded certificates -- I've attached one certificate with an SCT from 6:47 UTC yesterday that I can't validate as of this writing. If the log hasn't cleared the backlog in the next day or two, we'll instead need to move to Retire the log.
Joe