The progress tab of the spreadsheet looks about right as a guess of the fixes.
It looks like from that, as of today you're expecting to have 32% of "good" pages, and 68% of "bad" pages is that right?
And this for Desktop:
So does indeed look like about 30% of good, which seems to match your expected calcs.
If you continue to check that over the next few days, hopefully you will see the percentage of "Good" pages continue to climb and once approximately 75% of your page views are in the "Good" category, I would expect your p75 score to also be <= 2.5 seconds and change to green. Until then you may not see any improvements on your p75 score, as it shows the value that 75% of your pages are equal to or better than, and some of your older page views likely got this 4.1 or 4.6 second values.
Thanks,
Barry