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2003 Overtaking Statistics - Race 1 (Australia)

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Brian Lawrence

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Mar 11, 2003, 5:42:10 AM3/11/03
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Introduction for New Readers
============================

I have posted these amateur analyses for several years now in an attempt
to allow comparisons between Grands Prix, seasons, circuits, drivers, etc.

In order to make any meaningful observations it is essential to produce
these stats in as consistent a way as possible. To do this I have made
several "rules" that I try to follow for each race. Please note before
posting to complain that I missed an obvious passing manoeuvre that it
probably has been excluded because of my "rules". The rules are outlined
in the "Disclaimer" below - please read it.


This analysis was mainly derived from the official FIA lap chart which is
usually available at www.fia.com, www.tagheuer.com and www.forix.com on
race day or the following day. The original chart remains copyright of the
FIA. Other excellent Formula One websites are available. This analysis is
completely unofficial.

Disclaimer
==========

For the purposes of this analysis, I only count what I usually refer to as
"genuine" passing manoeuvres, which means that I always exclude:

a) any place changes made during pit stops
b) lapping/unlapping manoeuvres
c) anything during the first lap

Hopefully a) & b) are obvious, c) is because although lap one is often the
best opportunity to make up places it is also not typical of the rest of
the race, and so for the purpose of comparing races with other races and
seasons with other seasons, it is simpler to exclude lap one completely.
For the purposes of this analysis a pit stop encompasses the slowing down
lap and the out lap, since any passes during those laps MIGHT be due to
the stopper slowing down or speeding up.

Note: Passes are not counted in these stats UNLESS the gained position is
held until the start/finish line is next crossed and so gets recorded onto
the lap chart. I try to ignore anything that isn't recorded in the lap
chart, even if it was seen on TV - in this way I try to keep the numbers
as consistent as possible.


Before summarising the Australian GP, here are the numbers for the last
six seasons:

Grand Prix 2002 '01 '00 '99 '98 '97 Total Avg.
==========================================================
1. Australia 19 18 13 41 7 3 101 16.8
2. Malaysia 27 47 31 11 -- -- 116 29.0
3. Brazil 30 26 22 27 13 32 150 25.0
- Argentina -- -- -- -- 11 39 50 25.0
4. San Marino 6 13 7 11 8 5 50 8.3
5. Spain 10 10 4 4 12 36 76 12.6
6. Austria 18 17 20 30 29 21 135 22.5
7. Monaco 9 6 2 5 4 29 55 9.2
8. Canada 15 13 14 14 10 22 88 14.7
9. Europe/LUX 27 7 28 33 6 11 112 18.7
10. Britain 47 7 8 13 44 7 126 21.0
11. France 3 8 17 43 17 7 95 15.8
12. Germany 25 15 42 16 10 14 122 20.3
13. Hungary 1 5 10 7 11 28 62 10.3
14. Belgium 5 8 16 15 11 51 107 17.8
15. Italy 20 19 18 14 28 4 103 17.2
16. USA 21 21 51 - - - 93 31.0
17. Japan 2 17 8 4 19 9 59 11.4
----------------------------------------------------------
Totals 285 257 311 288 240 318 1698 17.2
Race Avg. 17 15 18 18 15 20

Note: In 1997-98 the Luxembourg GP was held at the Nurburgring.


These are the passes that I read for the 2003 Australian GP:

Lap Place Passer (Passed)
=================================
2 3 Montoya (Heidfeld)
2 10 Wilson (Panis)
2 15 Räikkönen (Pizzonia)
3 4 Frentzen (Heidfeld) [team-mates]
3 7 Alonso (Villeneuve)
3 6 Alonso (Button)
3 10 Panis (Wilson)
4 5 Alonso (Heidfeld)
4 7 Trulli (Button)
4 10 R Schumacher (Wilson)
4 11 Webber (Wilson)
4 18 Coulthard (Verstappen)
5 4 Alonso (Frentzen)
5 6 Trulli (Heidfeld)
5 8 R Schumacher (Panis)
5 7 R Schumacher (Heidfeld)
5 9 Webber (Panis)
5 11 Firman (Wilson)
5 12 Räikkönen (Wilson)
5 14 Fisichella (Pizzonia)
6 7 Webber (Heidfeld) [1]
6 8 Panis (Heidfeld) [1]
6 9 Firman (Heidfeld) [1]
6 10 Räikkönen (Heidfeld) [1]
6 12 Fisichella (Wilson) [1]
6 13 Pizzonia (Wilson) [1]
6 14 da Matta (Wilson) [1]
6 17 Villeneuve (Verstappen)
7 12 Coulthard (Wilson) [1]
12 4 Räikkönen (Webber)
12 5 M Schumacher (Webber)
12 9 Button (Panis)
13 15 Wilson (Heidfeld)
15 14 Wilson (Pizzonia)
21 6 Montoya (Panis)
29 4 Frentzen (Panis) [1]
29 5 Fisichella (Panis) [1]
29 6 Trulli (Panis) [1]
31 8 Alonso (Pizzonia) [1]
31 9 R Schumacher (Pizzonia) [1]
31 10 Villeneuve (Pizzonia) [1]
31 11 Panis (Pizzonia) [1]
39 8 Villeneuve (Frentzen)
40 4 Alonso (Trulli) [team-mates]
48 1 Coulthard (Montoya) [2]

[1] The number of passes usually indicate that the driver who was
overtaken had a problem of some sort. I've included them above, but
not in the data below - I will correct the figures if necessary when
I get more details.

[2] OK, I know that JPM spun, but my primary source (the lap chart)
does not and can not tell me this, so that one goes into the record.


That's 30 passes, compared to 19 last year (I've excluded those marked
[1] above, totalling 15 passes, still not as many as in 1999).

Most: Alonso 5


Drivers' Season Total
=====================

AUS
=====================
5 Alonso 5
3 Räikkönen 3
3 R Schumacher 3
3 Wilson 3
2 Coulthard 2
2 Montoya 2
2 Trulli 2
2 Villeneuve 2
2 Webber 2
1 Button 1
1 Firman 1
1 Fisichella 1
1 Frentzen 1
1 Panis 1
1 M Schumacher 1
0 Barrichello -
0 da Matta -
0 Heidfeld -
0 Pizzonia -
0 Verstappen -
--------------------
30 30


No. of Times Overtaken
======================

AUS
=====================
6 Heidfeld 6
5 Panis 5
5 Wilson 5
3 Pizzonia 3
2 Button 2
2 Frentzen 2
2 Verstappen 2
2 Webber 2
1 Montoya 1
1 Trulli 1
1 Villeneuve 1
0 Alonso -
0 Barrichello -
0 Coulthard -
0 da Matta -
0 Firman -
0 Fisichella -
0 Räikkönen -
0 M Schumacher -
0 R Schumacher -
--------------------
30 30


Gains/Losses on Lap One
=======================

Note: based on the actual grid position at start - taking account of
gaps, relegations, etc.

Plus 8: Wilson
Plus 4: Heidfeld
Plus 3: Trulli, Räikkönen
Plus 2: Button, Alonso, Firman, Pizzonia
Plus 1: Coulthard

No change: M Schumacher, Barrichello, Webber

Minus 1: Montoya, Frentzen, Villeneuve, Verstappen
Minus 3: da Matta
Minus 4: R Schumacher
Minus 5: Fisichella
Minus 6: Panis

Note: Verstappen and Räikkönen started from the pit lane.


Gains/Losses on Lap One in 2003
===============================

Driver Total (AQP) AUS
============================
Wilson +8 (20.00) +8
Heidfeld +4 (7.00) +4
Trulli +3 (12.00) +3
Räikkönen +3 (15.00) +3
Button +2 (8.00) +2
Alonso +2 (10.00) +2
Firman +2 (17.00) +2
Pizzonia +2 (18.00) +2
Coulthard +1 (11.00) +1
M Schumacher 0 (1.00) 0
Barrichello 0 (2.00) 0
Webber 0 (14.00) 0
Montoya -1 (3.00) -1
Frentzen -1 (4.00) -1
Villeneuve -1 (6.00) -1
Verstappen -1 (19.00) -1
da Matta -3 (16.00) -3
R Schumacher -4 (9.00) -4
Fisichella -5 (13.00) -5
Panis -6 (5.00) -6

Note: Number in brackets is average qualifying position this season.


I'm sure there must be several errors or omissions above for which I
take full responsibility. Kudos to anyone for pointing them out. I will
correct any errors before the next race.

--

Brian Lawrence
Wantage, Oxfordshire, UK
Brian_W_...@msn.com


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Joakim Lauridsen

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Mar 11, 2003, 7:32:12 AM3/11/03
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"Brian Lawrence" <Brian_W_...@msn.com> wrote in message
news:b4kehn$204a5a$3...@ID-98174.news.dfncis.de...

> [1] The number of passes usually indicate that the driver who was
> overtaken had a problem of some sort. I've included them above, but
> not in the data below - I will correct the figures if necessary when
> I get more details.
>
> [2] OK, I know that JPM spun, but my primary source (the lap chart)
> does not and can not tell me this, so that one goes into the record.

A sugestion that would probably mean way to much work to be practical, but
never the less: Would it maybe be posible to base theese exclusions on the
laptimes of the lapped car? A spin, an off or a mechanical problem would
almost always result in a noticably slower laptime for that particular lap
than say, the previous or following lap.

I guess it would involved a lot more work, so it might not be pratical, but
you know that a lot better than me. Just an idea. Anyway, thanks for the
great work.


Brian Lawrence

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Mar 11, 2003, 8:37:32 AM3/11/03
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"Brian Lawrence" <Brian_W_...@msn.com> wrote:

> Gains/Losses on Lap One
> =======================
>
> Note: based on the actual grid position at start - taking account of
> gaps, relegations, etc.
>
> Plus 8: Wilson
> Plus 4: Heidfeld
> Plus 3: Trulli, Räikkönen
> Plus 2: Button, Alonso, Firman, Pizzonia
> Plus 1: Coulthard
>
> No change: M Schumacher, Barrichello, Webber
>
> Minus 1: Montoya, Frentzen, Villeneuve, Verstappen
> Minus 3: da Matta
> Minus 4: R Schumacher
> Minus 5: Fisichella
> Minus 6: Panis
>
> Note: Verstappen and Räikkönen started from the pit lane.

Correction needed:

Plus 6: Wilson
Plus 1: Firman & Pizzonia
Minus 4: da Matta

--

Brian Lawrence
Brian_W_...@msn.com
Wantage, Oxfordshire, UK

Brian Lawrence

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Mar 11, 2003, 8:37:38 AM3/11/03
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"Joakim Lauridsen" <ag...@li.is> wrote:

> "Brian Lawrence" <Brian_W_...@msn.com> wrote:

> > [1] The number of passes usually indicate that the driver who was
> > overtaken had a problem of some sort. I've included them above, but
> > not in the data below - I will correct the figures if necessary when
> > I get more details.
> >
> > [2] OK, I know that JPM spun, but my primary source (the lap chart)
> > does not and can not tell me this, so that one goes into the record.
>
> A sugestion that would probably mean way to much work to be practical, but
> never the less: Would it maybe be posible to base theese exclusions on the
> laptimes of the lapped car? A spin, an off or a mechanical problem would
> almost always result in a noticably slower laptime for that particular lap
> than say, the previous or following lap.
>
> I guess it would involved a lot more work, so it might not be pratical, but
> you know that a lot better than me. Just an idea. Anyway, thanks for the
> great work.

I was intending to look at the relevant laptimes to see if that helps, but as
you say it is a bit too much work. However, my "rule of thumb" is that one or
two passes on the same lap is normal, but three or more is suspicious, so I
only need to check for those instances. It just happens there were quite a
lot in this race - probably reflecting drivers on the "wrong" tyres.

--

Brian Lawrence
Brian_W_...@msn.com
Wantage, Oxfordshire, UK

Mike Williams

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Mar 11, 2003, 2:04:54 PM3/11/03
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I find it pretty amazing that two drivers managed to advance from 20th
place to 1st place and yet only managed 3 and 2 passes respectively
that are counted under your criteria.

Brian Lawrence

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Mar 12, 2003, 4:37:32 AM3/12/03
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Having examined the lap times available from Tag-Heuer, I have reached
the following conclusions:

On lap 6, Heidfeld lost four places, however, it was his fastest race
lap so far and he pitted for tyres on lap 7. Therefore he was starting
to have trouble with his tyres, but this isn't a "problem" as such, so
those four passes are counted.

On the same lap Wilson lost three places and another on the following
lap. His lap times were "normal", and again he pitted within two laps.
Those four are also counted.

Panis was slowing from lap 28, pitted on lap 30, and retired two laps
later. Apparently he had a fuel-pressure problem. I am NOT going to
count the passes on lap 29.

Pizzonia suffered a spin on lap 31, confirmed by his lap time. I am
NOT counting those four passes.


To summarise, the four passes on Heidfeld and the four on Wilson
(both on lap 6) were "genuine", but the ones on Panis (lap 29) and
Pizzonia (lap 31) were not. This increases the race total to 38, and
adds one to the individual totals for Webber, Panis, Firman, Fisichella,
Raikonnen, Pizzonia & Coulthard; and adds four to the overtaken totals
of Heidfeld & Wilson. The tables have been updated ready for the Malaysian
GP summary.

--

Brian Lawrence
Brian_W_...@msn.com
Wantage, Oxfordshire, UK

Miro

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Mar 15, 2003, 4:01:28 PM3/15/03
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I still think it matters who finishes first.


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