Here's a trivia question for you bear-off buffs:
What is the symmetric bearoff with the smallest pip count that
is not an initial double?
I'll try to remember to post the answer some time if nobody
gets it :-)
Walter Trice
Walter, I am still curious :-o
Harald Retter
My guess is [ 1 7 0 0 0 0 ] for 15 pips
--
Stein K
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Nice "guess"! That's the one.
-- Walter Trice
now my question - why ?
i thought doubling is ok in bear off positions if the pip is lower or equal
thanks for reading
alain aka highlander
Unfortunately, the real answer to the question of "why", for any particular
position, is to do a lengthy and very tedious computation and find out what
is right.
In general terms, the reason that you might not double in a position where
you are the favorite, is that access to the cube has value, and when you
double you deprive yourself of cube access.
Let's say that for a fixed stake and cube level, your equity when the cube
is centered is X, and your equity when your opponent owns the cube is Y.
Then [when the Jacoby rule isn't a factor] it is always true that X >= Y,
and usually true that X > Y. Sometimes X < 2*Y, and then it's right to
double. Sometimes X > 2*Y, and then it isn't.
The alleged rule that you can double in bear-off positions with an equal or
lower pip count is simply not true in general.
A better rule is this: if the position is symmetrical, double if your pip
count is less than 30; otherwise don't double. There are exceptions at both
ends of the spectrum, such as the one Stein K mentions above.
This rule is based on a complete scan of the Sconyers database for positions
with 9 and fewer checkers.
-- Walter Trice
highlander