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equity charts

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David Escoffery

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Nov 1, 1991, 4:46:38 PM11/1/91
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Here are my personal equity charts which I have developed over the years. I
tend to lean more towards a cubeless gammon frequency (CGF) of 25 percent in
my play, but I recognize that the more accepted level today is around the 35
percent level. Elliott, feel free to contact me about how the Crawford Rule
has been taken into account, or what assumptions I have made about the value
of owning the cube, and at which point a mandatory double is required by the
trailing party. And if you do decide to repost or publish the charts, I only
ask that you properly identify them as mine. Enjoy.


EQUITY CHART FOR 11 POINT MATCH WITH CGF = 35.00%

10c 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0

10c 50.00% 50.00% 66.25% 75.00% 80.28% 83.13% 87.69% 90.14% 92.55% 93.84% 95.42% 96.27%
10 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 66.25% 66.25% 80.28% 80.28% 87.69% 87.69% 92.55% 92.55% 95.42%
9 33.75% 50.00% 50.00% 64.03% 73.15% 79.50% 84.64% 88.21% 91.06% 93.03% 94.68% 95.84%
8 25.00% 33.75% 39.03% 50.00% 60.90% 68.93% 75.91% 81.18% 85.46% 88.64% 91.23% 93.16%
7 19.72% 33.75% 33.75% 44.72% 50.00% 60.39% 67.86% 74.44% 79.78% 84.04% 87.49% 90.19%
6 16.88% 19.72% 24.28% 34.86% 42.49% 50.00% 59.02% 66.33% 72.77% 78.08% 82.51% 86.10%
5 12.31% 19.72% 19.72% 29.74% 35.67% 43.62% 50.00% 58.47% 65.36% 71.56% 76.82% 81.26%
4 9.86% 12.31% 14.72% 23.28% 29.17% 36.48% 43.54% 50.00% 57.85% 64.47% 70.48% 75.66%
3 7.45% 12.31% 12.31% 19.91% 24.35% 30.89% 37.20% 43.98% 50.00% 57.42% 63.76% 69.58%
2 6.16% 7.45% 9.03% 15.67% 19.69% 25.57% 31.46% 37.74% 44.15% 50.00% 57.03% 63.14%
1 4.58% 7.45% 7.45% 13.16% 16.24% 21.30% 26.50% 32.30% 38.23% 44.38% 50.00% 56.71%
0 3.73% 4.58% 5.51% 10.38% 13.06% 17.46% 22.08% 27.33% 32.90% 38.65% 44.55% 50.00%

(c) D. Escoffery 1991


EQUITY CHART FOR 11 POINT MATCH WITH CGF = 25.00%

10c 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0

10c 50.00% 50.00% 68.75% 75.00% 82.03% 84.38% 89.36% 91.02% 93.76% 94.68% 96.33% 96.88%
10 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 68.75% 68.75% 82.03% 82.03% 89.36% 89.36% 93.76% 93.76% 96.33%
9 31.25% 50.00% 50.00% 63.28% 73.24% 79.52% 84.98% 88.44% 91.45% 93.35% 95.06% 96.15%
8 25.00% 31.25% 38.28% 50.00% 61.25% 69.59% 76.79% 82.04% 86.38% 89.49% 92.04% 93.87%
7 17.97% 31.25% 31.25% 42.97% 50.00% 60.16% 68.23% 74.92% 80.45% 84.76% 88.24% 90.90%
6 15.63% 17.97% 22.95% 33.98% 42.02% 50.00% 59.19% 66.80% 73.41% 78.85% 83.34% 86.93%
5 10.64% 17.97% 17.97% 28.02% 34.76% 42.81% 50.00% 58.51% 65.78% 72.14% 77.56% 82.06%
4 8.98% 10.64% 13.39% 22.36% 28.35% 35.73% 43.09% 50.00% 57.98% 64.90% 71.09% 76.41%
3 6.24% 10.64% 10.64% 18.22% 23.14% 29.70% 36.44% 43.44% 50.00% 57.54% 64.18% 70.17%
2 5.32% 6.24% 7.89% 14.63% 18.69% 24.44% 30.55% 37.05% 43.71% 50.00% 57.17% 63.55%
1 3.67% 6.24% 6.24% 11.71% 15.07% 19.99% 25.39% 31.35% 37.57% 43.95% 50.00% 56.85%
0 3.12% 3.67% 4.63% 9.45% 12.11% 16.28% 20.96% 26.28% 32.03% 38.03% 44.16% 50.00%

(c) D. Escoffery 1991


EQUITY CHART FOR 11 POINT MATCH WITH CGF = 20.00%

10c 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0

10c 50.00% 50.00% 70.00% 75.00% 83.00% 85.00% 90.20% 91.50% 94.38% 95.10% 96.77% 97.19%
10 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 70.00% 70.00% 83.00% 83.00% 90.20% 90.20% 94.38% 94.38% 96.77%
9 30.00% 50.00% 50.00% 63.00% 73.40% 79.66% 85.28% 88.68% 91.75% 93.61% 95.33% 96.37%
8 25.00% 30.00% 38.00% 50.00% 61.46% 69.95% 77.26% 82.52% 86.87% 89.95% 92.48% 94.25%
7 17.00% 30.00% 30.00% 42.00% 50.00% 60.15% 68.49% 75.29% 80.89% 85.23% 88.70% 91.34%
6 15.00% 17.00% 22.20% 33.50% 41.77% 50.00% 59.30% 67.09% 73.81% 79.32% 83.84% 87.43%
5 9.80% 17.00% 17.00% 27.02% 34.21% 42.40% 50.00% 58.60% 66.05% 72.53% 78.02% 82.57%
4 8.50% 9.80% 12.68% 21.80% 27.85% 35.28% 42.83% 50.00% 58.08% 65.18% 71.47% 76.88%
3 5.62% 9.80% 9.80% 17.26% 22.44% 29.06% 36.00% 43.16% 50.00% 57.64% 64.45% 70.55%
2 4.90% 5.62% 7.29% 14.03% 18.10% 23.79% 30.01% 36.65% 43.47% 50.00% 57.27% 63.82%
1 3.23% 5.62% 5.62% 10.90% 14.41% 19.28% 24.75% 30.81% 37.19% 43.72% 50.00% 56.95%
0 2.81% 3.23% 4.18% 8.92% 11.56% 15.60% 20.30% 25.67% 31.52% 37.66% 43.94% 50.00%

(c) D. Escoffery 1991

===========================================================================
David Escoffery Tel: (408) 458-4227 x4621
The Santa Cruz Operation Internet: dav...@sco.COM
P.O. Box 1900
Santa Cruz, CA 95061
===========================================================================

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