From what I have heard generally the Android seems to be the real deal in terms of openness and strong technology. The iPhone seems to have good underlying technology also, but Apple is ruthless about controlling what applications can be provided for it, which means that third party app developers take a big risk developing for it -- they could invest a lot of time and effort and then find themselves denied access to the market. I know that really bothers CESD in his plans to port Pimlical to different platforms, because he has commended about that several times. The Pre seems to be a disappointment from a technical standpoint, and it apparently is not selling that well in the market, either. A few days ago Palm said their revenues will not improve significantly, which certainly didn't help their stock price. I think Palm is pretty much used up. All those years of playing internal politics and looking for an easy market instead of bringing out a real next generation technology have caught up with them.
I think the big question in the market is the RIM Blackberry. Right now it has a stranglehold on the corporate marketplace. But I keep hearing hints from the technical cogniscanti that its present platform may be running out of steam. The Blackberry has done very well because most smart phone users are only interested in voice, email, chat and access to their Facebook pages. But the companies that are handing most of these things out really want to use them for mobile, out-of-office connection to enterprise applications such as ERP and CRM. And with the growing trend toward SaaS rather than in-house installations of enterprise software, in part to facilitate mobile, connect-anywhere strategies, this pressure will grow fast. My question is can the Blackberry support front ends to those applications and the front-end data handling that they inevitably will require. And is browser-only connectivity enough. In North America no carrier can provide 100% connectivity across the entire geography. Particularly in the center of the continent, there are huge gaps in coverage still, and what is there is usually fairly slow-speed stuff.
If the Blackberry does run out of steam, then does RIM have a next generation close to introduction? If so, they have been very successful at keeping that quiet. Certainly their initial foray into touch screen systems, which are basic to most other handhelds, was less than impressive. If they do not, then they may open the door to Android, which certainly does have the guts to handle complex handheld environments. And Google seems committed to the long haul with Android. I am sure they went into this realizing they weren't going to get an instant huge market. And Google has the deep pockets to support staying power. From that standpoint, I think Android may be in a position to start picking up steam in the next two years.
Just my guess, of course. And I am not qualified to judge the internal technology base of these machines, so for that I depend on others.
All the best,
Bert
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Bert Latamore
IT Journalist, Report Writer and Book Doctor
From tweets and blogs to white papers and books --
You provide the information; I craft the words.