This is a great communique and its points dovetails with what I've always argued. Folks are right to be skeptical about the timing of the national conference. They may be vindicated if as they suspect Jonathan takes the country through another wasteful, inconsequential farce--if he mimics Mr.
Obasanjo. The truth, even those of us who have a long record of advocating for a national conference, have to admit is that, without a commitment from Jonathan and other "elected" principal officials of this republic to put the key outcomes of the conference to a national referendum that would inform the inauguration of a new constitutional order, the conference's failure is almost guaranteed. The dismal implementation records of previous conferences do not inspire confidence.
Nonetheless, a national dialogue is timely in the present circumstance of multiple threats to Nigeria's very existence. Not only that, the structural defects that undergird corruption, electoral malfeasance, and unhealthy political quarrels need to be addressed. The conference should obviously not usurp the sovereignty entrusted in the current elected officials, however problematic this process of sovereignty transfer was. The idea of a sovereign national conference is a fanciful overreach for those desiring a forum for perfecting or, failing that, dissolving the house of Lord Lugard.
I love this communique for rejecting the no-go-area canard. What are the powers that be and some respected intellectuals afraid of when they argue that the break up of Nigeria should be off the table? You can't inaugurate a political conversation on the many existential questions plaguing the Nigerian state and refuse to entertain the broaching or discussion of break-up. What if the discussions return with or congeal to a verdict that the Nigerian union is irretrievably broken and needs to be destroyed in the interest of everyone? What then? Do you regiment the discourse away from its logical, considered conclusion in an arbitrary effort to preserve a union that representative interlocutors have declared unviable? It would be the analytical equivalent of a coitus interruptus, not to mention a waste of money, time, and opportunity.
I do believe that the secessionists are vastly outnumbered by those who want Nigeria preserved in one form or another---ranging from the broken status quo to a confederacy of autonomous jurisdictions. But I also realize that there are many who are invested in the structural status quo and have dubiously and self-interestedly demonized secession while valorizing the present union as a way of preserving their privileges, which a different structural configuration would undermine. I also realize, as a historian, that centrifugal pressures are regenerative, creative ingredients in nation building, for they help to shake stakeholders from their complacency and to prevent citizens from taking the nation as a settled, sacrosanct, final product. Besides, providing a platform for those who desire separate states will afford us an opportunity to understand the depth and breath of the current disenchantment with how Nigeria is presently structured and run. Additionally, it is a way to channel the more virulent forms of these separatist political imaginations into a democratic and deliberative medium that would tame and mainstream them before they morph into something threatening and violent.