Where I have been is reading your paper and posts. You seem to be confused - or at least of several minds - on exactly what is the problem. However, now that you've declared the issue, let's look at Freeway Congestion. I have a very basic question: Why is congestion bad? Pollution is a non-starter. Emissions of CO2 and other combustion by-products can be ended simply by mandating that all ICE vehicles install start/stop technology. If the vehicle engine isn't running while stuck in congestion, then congestion can't be a source of pollution. I guess that brings us to economics. A large chunk of the economics is all that wasted fuel due to idling. Well, we just got rid of that problem in the last paragraph. Wasted time? 365 days per year minus weekends and holidays gets you about 250 work days per year. Los Angeles supposedly has the worst traffic in the Country with 72 hours per year per commuter. 72/250=0.288 hours. Let's go high and round up to 0.3 hours lost time per day. 0.3 hours is 18 minutes per day or just 9 minutes per direction. Sounds like a lot of complaining about very little time. So I ask again: Why is congestion bad? --- On Sat, 12/18/10, Dave Petrie <DaveP...@comcast.net> wrote: From: Dave Petrie <DaveP...@comcast.net> Subject: Re: [t-i] PRT presentation in New Jersey, by Ed Anderson To: transport-...@googlegroups.com Date: Saturday, December 18, 2010, 7:15 AM The problem is Freeway Congestion. Where have you
been?
----- Original Message -----
From:
Michael
Weidler
Sent: Saturday, December 18, 2010 1:50
AM
Subject: Re: [t-i] PRT presentation in
New Jersey, by Ed Anderson
--- On Sat, 12/11/10, Dave Petrie <DaveP...@comcast.net> wrote: From: Dave Petrie <DaveP...@comcast.net> Subject: Re: [t-i] PRT presentation in New Jersey, by Ed Anderson To: transport-...@googlegroups.com Date: Saturday, December 11, 2010, 12:05 AM In clearing my thoughts on ATRA leadership, ATRA
doesn't matter anymore, PRT mentioned less and less as time goes by,
and many of the contributors have faded away.
I am sure Ian Ford knows all this, but realizes
there are still a handful of people who want to exchange ideas. In
short, a natural course is taking effect; but the Chat Group is
still making a contribution, albeit blunted by a clear lack of
direction on how to solve one of our societies most In Your Face
problems. |
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> Even with hybrids there is still a lot of wasted fuel.
>
> But the lost time is far more than you suspect, in particular due to
> the lost predictability. Because you can't be sure how much
> congestion there will be, you must leave enough spare time to allocate
> for it even if it doesn't happen. Same for unpredictable transit.
>
I believe that elevated, weatherproof guideway based systems, be they
fully automated individual single-mode or dual-mode vehicles, or semi-
automated, small trains operating at frequent intervals offer an easy
and affordable answer to the congestion problems. And we don't have
to wait for some pie in the sky robocars that would add to the traffic
congestion.
Kirston Henderson
What I find ridiculous is that such plans can be made, for 110 Billion dollars worth of trains, streetcars, etc, in just one area and sometime next week somebody will say " where are we going to get all the money needed to build guideways".
All of us who consider guideways to be necessary seem to agree on one point, namely that they should be profitable, without needing further subsidies.
Anybody who claims this for other modes are always wrong. This is just lying, as I see it.
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OK let's tack on 10 minutes each direction. It's probably starting to get painful here, but as you pointed out congestion is unpredictable. Since that 72 hours is an average,if you add 10 minutes, you are going to be early most of the time. This sounds like a good thing to me as you now usually have time for your latte. Why is transit unpredictable? And unpredictable by what margin? Is it off by a couple of minutes? Are customers constantly missing transfers? What exactly seems to be the problem? The biggest complaint I've heard - from you as well - is that transit is too damn slow. But let's not forget the original question: Why is congestion bad? |
--- On Fri, 12/24/10, Brad Templeton <bra...@gmail.com> wrote: |
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>Why is transit unpredictable? And unpredictable by what margin? Is
>it off by a couple of minutes? Are customers constantly missing
>transfers? What exactly seems to be the problem? The biggest
>complaint I've heard - from you as well - is that transit is too damn slow.
There are a multitude of reasons and operational problems in the
literature - it's not a mystery.
>But let's not forget the original question: Why is congestion bad?
It's a good opening question. But congestion is quite complicated in
terms of it causes and effects. There are sever different kinds and
many of them are only temporal in nature and affected day of the week
and by seasons, among other things. And there are several tags other
than "bad" that better represent these different types.
It would be helpful tto advocates of alternative solutions to devise
a taxonomy of "congestion problems" as a means to more clearly state
and prioritize possible solutions. This has been and is being done
on an ad hoc basis, here and there, and band-aids are being applied
as solutions, some beneficial, some not so good.
On the whole, a more organized taxonomy would be most helpful. I
suspect that with more and more autos and reduced spending on
highways, auto congestion of various types will get much worse in the
future. A good place to start would be comprehensive list of
"causes". I suspect more than one currently exists somewhere on the web.
> transport-innova...@googlegroups.com.
> > For more options, visit this group
> at<http://groups.google.com/group/transport-innovators?hl=en>http://groups.google.com/group/transport-innovators?hl=en.
>
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Does it not make it worse for the people who live on these sidestreets and who
highly value their relative lack of traffic? Wasn't the main idea behind the
proliferation of cul-de-sacs a response to the desire for very low traffic
residential locations? I would expect quite a bit of outrage from such
people who would feel that their residential environment was being destroyed
by traffic volumes that are far higher than they can tolerate. While
cul-de-sacs are
mostly in suburban areas, I would also expect a similar reaction to residents
in some grid areas where the residents also highly value low traffic
volumes on their streets.
--- On Sat, 12/25/10, Jerry Schneider <j...@peak.org> wrote: |
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First I am responding to this to say Merry Christmas and the best to all of you for the Holiday Season!
Now to keep this correct, a little about transit.
First, no matter what system is created, there will be no alleviation of congestion. In fact, the very nature of our efforts, are to increase congestion, not to lessen congestion. Congestion is there because of a drive within us to congregate. People for the most part, want to be together. All of our efforts are not to decrease this drive, but rather to make the achieving of this drive easier - reduce the inconvenience to allow us to concentrate more and quicker.
Where-ever transit is successful, congestion increases. So it has been, and so it will always be.
"Joy to the world!" and lets look for a future of happily congested cities with "effective congestion management" through cutting edge transit!
Best wishes,
Marsden
I guess I've been lucky then. I have rarely found transit to be any more unpredictable than driving - after all they are using the same streets. I've lived in and used transit in Pittsburgh,PA, Wash DC, Atlanta,GA, Seattle,WA, and San Diego. I have found it to be very inconvenient from time to time - especially in San Diego. Mostly, the biggest disadvantage to transit is it tends to be slower than driving. |
--- On Sat, 12/25/10, Jerry Schneider <j...@peak.org> wrote: |
Here is a working link to the paper. http://www.uctc.net/research/diss074.pdf --- On Sat, 12/25/10, oded_roth <rot...@zahav.net.il> wrote: |
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This paper is a long one! So far, I have found it rather amusing. Not the content itself but the general observation that the more things change the more they stay the same. The author is currently an Associate Professor at San Jose State University. http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/weinstein.agrawal/ I wonder if she views this list at all? --- On Sun, 12/26/10, Michael Weidler <pstr...@yahoo.com> wrote: |
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OK - I agree that diversions should be limited to arterials. And that
people should somehow not be allowed to deviate from them to
other paths that they find (or expect) will work better for them. They
should delegate all route selection decisions to the "system" and refrain from
thinking about what's going on.
How would you prevent this kind of ("override-type) behavior?
Or enforce limitations to arterials, which can be a pain because of
multiple access points and intersections and traffic controls?
What factors would the "system" consider in making route selection
decisions? Is any "customization" likely to be possible? And are there
enough of them in the right locations with unused capacity to be
workable? Or would a program of "constructing" new arterials be needed?
When I see some of the routes suggested by Yahoo Maps, it's not hard to
find alternatives that are at least as good or better by making some
minor customized adjustments. The more familiar you are with the locale
the easier it is to find what is, to you, a more suitable route.
Of course, that is a function of the speeds assigned
by Yahoo Maps to the various segments of the network - so far as I know
they are the posted speed limits, and are not adjusted by time of day or
influenced by real time congestion or other relevant factors.
>However, the city pays for pavement and it pays a bit more for heavy
>use roads than cul du sacs, but by and large the roads are put in with
>tax money for public use. I think if thousands of people are waiting
>in congestion on one road and can readily be redirected to another
>public road, that their need trumps the rights of the people on that
>road to have a quiet street for their own enjoyment. If it's a
>private road, and they paid for the road construction and maintenance
>then they should have the quiet enjoyment of it.
Obviously, there would be a "suitable diversion route" ready and waiting
in some cases - the questions are how many, at what times, under what
conditions
relative to the demand? Of course, it the robocars select the routes
and can't be
overridden, then driver route selection via an override becomes an
irrelevant factor.
>Of late, suburban design has gone to having a few arterials and mostly
>semi-private networks leading to cul-du-sacs, because people want
>their quiet streets, and it's not hard to see why. But of course, if
>they built or bought on such a street network, it is because they
>wanted to design it so that people who could make use of it to get
>through are blocked (by the fact the roads don't go through) and I
>think that's OK if they pay for that.
I think that if people in some areas experience significant volumes of traffic
that outrage them, they will find ways to block parts of the network
to eliminate
such traffic and probably be willing to pay whatever it takes to do it.
>In grid cities, traffic is distributed over a wide array of streets,
>though today many people seek "traffic calming" like speed bumps to
>get people off of "their" grid street and onto other streets. This
>can make sense during off-peak hours, to put all the through traffic
>onto non-residential streets, though it's silly at rush hour to have a
>jam packed arterial and scores of light traffic speed-bump (or don't-
>go-through) streets -- especially as we move to a time where the cars
>can't hit pedestrians.
Traffic calming is a big enterprise in many cities in the US and is
quite highly
developed in the EU . The impacts of heavy traffic on people are many and
complex - and not likely to be regarded as "silly" or "must be tolerated"
just to serve the serve the desires of through-traffic commuters who wish
to save a little time and stress.
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- Jerry Schneider -
Innovative Transportation Technologies
http://faculty.washington.edu/jbs/itrans
> It is a new way of thinking, not possible in the pre-network era.
> There are many ways it could be done. Already most highways have real
> time traffic measurement. A simple thing that could be done would
> be, in a period of congestion, to take an arterial and time its lights
> to move a large flow of cars along it past the traffic jam ( a
> temporary detour ) and to inform drivers this route is available.
> This alone would do a lot. To allocate drivers to one route or
> another is more complex and requires a congestion charging system be
> in place on the appropriate roads that is able to charge people for
> using a road. In that case you can tell a driver to take one specific
> route, and charge them in the congestion charging system if they elect
> to take the other. Stay on the road you are allocated and pay less
> (or nothing.)
I agree this kind of coordination is technically quite doable and would
alleviate some congestion. Light synchronization has been around for
decades. Yet it has only been spotingly adopted. It's also one of the best
measures on a cost benefit measure. So why hasn't it been done? I believe is
it a systemic problem with the way projects are prioritized and funds are
allocated. In a word the politics. We need more politically savvy people.
Dennis
>>It is a new way of thinking, not possible in the pre-network era.
>>There are many ways it could be done. Already most highways have real
>>time traffic measurement. A simple thing that could be done would
>>be, in a period of congestion, to take an arterial and time its lights
>>to move a large flow of cars along it past the traffic jam ( a
>>temporary detour ) and to inform drivers this route is available.
>>This alone would do a lot. To allocate drivers to one route or
>>another is more complex and requires a congestion charging system be
>>in place on the appropriate roads that is able to charge people for
>>using a road. In that case you can tell a driver to take one specific
>>route, and charge them in the congestion charging system if they elect
>>to take the other. Stay on the road you are allocated and pay less
>>(or nothing.)
Maybe I'm confused about the driver-vehicle relationship regarding
route selection.
Is the computer telling the vehicle which route to take or is it
telling the driver which
route to take? If the vehicle is fully autonomous, I would guess that
the driver is
not in the loop and better not try to get involved.
>I agree this kind of coordination is technically quite doable and
>would alleviate some congestion. Light synchronization has been
>around for decades. Yet it has only been spotingly adopted. It's
>also one of the best measures on a cost benefit measure. So why
>hasn't it been done? I believe is it a systemic problem with the way
>projects are prioritized and funds are allocated. In a word the
>politics. We need more politically savvy people.
Very good question. It could be that the "monument building" goal is
not being served well by a project that may not get a lot of
visibility and recognition. Also, I think that such projects usually
generate both winners and losers - sometimes the losers notice and
make a lot of noise.
Somewhere in the '70's TRW took a fee for performance contract to reduce
congestion in a medium size area S E of Downtown LA; 15 or so miles square.
Not sure how congestion was measured, probably average speed in main
corridors.
Considerable had to do with synchronizing traffic signal, and they did a
good job technically. Including real time observations at key areas to
adjust light timing, etc. Manually that is from a remote control center.
It worked well for awhile, but faded away after 3 to 4 years. TRW lost out
financially. Two reasons:
Money disappered to man the control center, and maintain the equipment.
Influential politicians who were inconvenienced on their route by light
timeing, had the timing changed.
I was driving to work then along the main artery along the south cost. Rush
hour flow was noticeable better most of the way, but there was one signal
completely out of time. Turned out a city councilman lived on that street.
Also one favorable step was to use the streetside parking lane through
commercial districts for rush hout traffic.
OK in the morning befor stores opened, but not at night when they were open.
Walt Brewer
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