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Nadra's electronic records. - Internet statistics, et al!
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Salman Ansari  
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 More options Nov 5, 4:16 am
From: "Salman Ansari" <sal...@super.net.pk>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 14:16:44 +0500
Local: Thurs, Nov 5 2009 4:16 am
Subject: RE: Nadra's electronic records. - Internet statistics, et al!
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Perhaps the mail did not get through because of the attachment. Resending.

Salman

From: Salman Ansari [mailto:sal...@super.net.pk]
Sent: Wednesday, November 04, 2009 9:12 AM
To: 're...@supertec.com'; 'Irfan Shahid'
Cc: 'telecom-grid-pakistan@googlegroups.com'; 'pashagr...@yahoogroups.com';
'bhu...@cyber.net.pk'; 'cspn...@yahoogroups.com'
Subject: RE: Nadra's electronic records. - Internet statistics, et al!

The difficulty in creating Internet statistics is that this is not only a
moving target but the way it is measured is different for different
purposes. For those who are interested I had put together different methods
of determining Internet penetration and the digital connectedness of a
country. For those who are interested to have a copy, should mail me off
line in case the attachment does not come through.

In the beginning with no-prepaid accounts and only dial-up users this was
very simple. With the advent of putting broadband in organizations the
definition started to become skewed: the number of users was no longer the
same as the 'connection'. With the growth of Hotmail, Gmail etc (and the
usual duplication of mail accounts), DSL, etc to the home and SMB the
predicting the actual number is impossible.

With the new PTCL centric ISP dial up scheme, it will be possible to
determine the number of exclusive dial up users (from the CLI records in the
Access Servers) then a broad based survey of large organizations (connected
nodes/computers), SMEs, SMBs averaging out the number of users behind a DSL
home connection, etc can give us a good estimate. This exercise will also
yield us a very important statistic (which shamefully none of the Telecom
companies have!): what is the true market for Broadband.

This survey and analysis is a difficult and expensive proposition, but who
will bell the cat?

Over the years, I have been trying to get the truth in statistics into the
international documents: ITU, CIA report, WB, ADB, World Internet
statistics, Economist, CNET and anyone who would listen. This is important
since all of them read each other’s data and put this in without
confirmation. My experiment a few years ago of making sure that we had the
same statistic in many credible locations (WEF, WB, CIA Factbook) resulted
in the number of Internet users at 15 Million and I assume the figure of 18
M is an extrapolation of this.

Rabia Garib has now started a direct engagement with INSEAD for their Global
e-Readiness Index and hopefully there will be more sense in Pakistan’s
visibility.

There was a very interesting discussion with INSEAD (Dr. Sumitra Dutta) and
Irene Mia (WEF) when the 2006 Report had incorrect data and I could share
this with anyone who may be interested, but it did show the errors in the
data gathering and statistic.

Salman  


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