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Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
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dav...@agent.com  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 12:28 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: dav...@agent.com
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 00:28:14 -0400
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 12:28 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
 Greg Guarino <gdguar...@gmail.com> wrote:

>dav...@agent.com wrote:
>> Greg Guarino<gdguar...@gmail.com>  wrote:

>>> dav...@agent.com wrote:
>>>> The fact that the incidence of obesity rose so much, shortly
>>>> after the beginning of the suppression of those diseases,
>>>> is most certainly an indicator.

>>> I'll bet that people in countries that suppress childhood diseases
>>> are much more likely to get in automobile accidents as well.

>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Auto_fatalities.svg

>What, my comment went over your head?

And we can add autism, bipolar & ADHD to the list, right?

 
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dav...@agent.com  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 12:32 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: dav...@agent.com
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 00:32:47 -0400
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 12:32 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

Then you'd have fewer young workers to support
a growing number of elderly/retired.   And population
would still rise.  How about we shorten lifespans a bit?
Do we need to rock & spit for 15 years?


 
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jillery  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 4:08 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: jillery <69jpi...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 04:08:05 -0400
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 4:08 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Wed, 11 Apr 2012 13:18:54 -0700 (PDT), Kermit

Nobody needs to wait to change their lifestyle.  The benefits of the
things you suggest can be had right now.  OTOH it's isn't possible for
everybody to live close to food and work. Many foods grow better in
specific locations.  Many jobs are better suited in other locations.
There will always be a need for specialization and to trade for goods
and services made available elsewhere.

 
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Steven L.  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 10:55 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: "Steven L." <sdlit...@earthlink.net>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 14:55:56 +0000
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 10:55 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

"Kermit" <unrestrained_h...@hotmail.com> wrote in message

news:976deadd-3634-42e5-b67a-9f2913900fd7@b14g2000vbz.googlegroups.com:

The track record of such predictions has been remarkably poor.

You should have learned your lesson from the failures of "The Population
Bomb" and the Club of Rome.

But there is a distinct tendency among intellectuals to engage in this
kind of doom-and-gloom mental masturbation.  It hasn't stopped since
Spengler a century ago.

And prophets of doom usually got that way out of disgust with the way
things are.

-- Steven L.


 
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Steven L.  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 11:01 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: "Steven L." <sdlit...@earthlink.net>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 15:01:18 +0000
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 11:01 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

"dav...@agent.com" <dav...@agent.com> wrote in message

news:cg39o7lt0t839jt6nfrdedlqo6kl357qdr@4ax.com:

There's another phenomenon in recent decades:  The huge increase in
obesity among pet dogs and pet cats.  Yet they don't have our genes, and
they don't catch most of our infectious diseases.  (They fall victim to
different infectious diseases.)

The fact that human children are getting fat at the same time as their
pets are getting fat, suggests there's an environmental link at work.  
Especially since I've never seen any fat feral cats.

-- Steven L.


 
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Boikat  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 1:00 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Boikat <boi...@bellsouth.net>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 10:00:30 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 1:00 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Apr 11, 12:00 pm, dav...@agent.com wrote:

You also want dead children and elderly.

> In order to do that, we need a
> foundation of general interest that everyone can buy into.

So, you propose murdering children by withholding medicine?  That's
novel.

> The principle of reciprocity, or Golden Rule, is that foundation.

I doubt that you will find many sane people interested in enacting
your form of Do unt others..."

> But if we promote that, while making deals with dictators to
> get their oil, as in Saudi & Nigeria, who's gonna believe it?
> OTOH, if we say the principle must also apply across
> generations, so we need to stop immunization, then it
> would be more believable.  Besides that, YOU said the problems
> were a concern of YOURS.

And mass murder is not the solution.  That is your solution.

> >after all, some of the
> >terrorist suicide bombers in the past have been children.  One less
> >mouth to feed now, and potentially dozens or more less to feed in your
> >future utopia, and that's not counting those killed in any terrorist
> >attack.

Well, I guess that bit shut you up.

Boikat


 
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dav...@agent.com  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 2:39 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: dav...@agent.com
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 14:39:34 -0400
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 2:39 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

You didn't answer my question.

 
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dav...@agent.com  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 2:44 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: dav...@agent.com
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 14:44:50 -0400
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 2:44 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feline_vaccination

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vaccination_of_dogs


 
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jillery  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 3:06 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: jillery <69jpi...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 15:06:18 -0400
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 3:06 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Thu, 12 Apr 2012 14:55:56 +0000, "Steven L."

You have a point.  I have agreed with you about it before.  But you
sound way too similar to that guy who fell off a skyscraper.  As he
passed each floor, he was heard to say "no problem so far".  One of
the reasons we're around to laugh at earlier doom-and-gloom
predictions is because some people recognized them as legitimate
warnings, instead of assuming they were irrelevant ramblings of
cynical naysayers.

 
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Boikat  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 3:32 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Boikat <boi...@bellsouth.net>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 12:32:12 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 3:32 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Apr 12, 1:39 pm, dav...@agent.com wrote:

Neither did you, actually.

Boikat


 
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Kermit  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 4:54 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Kermit <unrestrained_h...@hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 13:54:05 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 4:54 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Apr 12, 1:08 am, jillery <69jpi...@gmail.com> wrote:

Yes.

>  OTOH it's isn't possible for
> everybody to live close to food and work.

Sadly, true.

> Many foods grow better in
> specific locations.  Many jobs are better suited in other locations.
> There will always be a need for specialization and to trade for goods
> and services made available elsewhere.

Yes. But as fuel prices rise, perhaps some goods made locally will be
more attractive, and growing locally as well, for similar reasons.
Whether these effects will simply be statistically measurable or
dramatic, I don't know.

I know that I have more stuff in the house than I want, but I don't
live alone (which is good, but it means I am more ...cluttered).

In any event, there is a certain frantic nature to our society, and a
desperate make/buy/toss way of looking at things. I don't want to cast
a millstone around the neck of society, but aren't there any brakes on
this thing?

Kermit


 
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Kermit  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 4:48 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Kermit <unrestrained_h...@hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 13:48:23 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 4:48 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Apr 11, 9:32 pm, dav...@agent.com wrote:

We could always offer less money to the retired, or offer it starting
at a later date. Really, this is simple enough. A hundred years ago we
offered essentially nothing as a society for the elderly.

Wouldn't saving  kids *increase the young to old ratio, or at least
not make it worse? Seems like not treating the diseases of the elderly
would achieve what you want, unless you are motivated primarily to
kill kids. Hate 'em worse than grandma, huh?

>  And population
> would still rise.

Why? Assuming we can persuade, trick, bribe, or bully people into
using sufficient birth control, it seems like a one child policy would
lead to a gradual decline. the hard part is getting most people to
accept any of these policies, and I'm tellin' ya, it would be a harder
row to plow trying to convince everyone to let the kids die.

>  How about we shorten lifespans a bit?

Why? If we lengthen lifespans, then we have folks who can work a few
more years, when they are at their most productive (except for rugby
players, perhaps).

> Do we need to rock & spit for 15 years?

I'm looking forward to retirement so  I can teach martial arts more. I
suppose if you can't think of anything to do besides rock and spit,
you could always do yourself in - *I wouldn't stop  you.

> >I guarantee that no matter how politically difficult it would be to
> >persuade people to use birth control, it will be harder to talk them
> >into letting their kids die unnecessarily after giving birth to them.

> >Especially when there is no link between communicable diseases like
> >the flu and obesity.

Kermit

 
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Kermit  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 5:03 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Kermit <unrestrained_h...@hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 14:03:16 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 5:03 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Apr 12, 8:01 am, "Steven L." <sdlit...@earthlink.net> wrote:

Moreover, we understand to some degree the social, psychological, and
physiological processes at work.

Kermit


 
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Kermit  
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 More options Apr 12 2012, 5:00 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Kermit <unrestrained_h...@hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 14:00:08 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Apr 12 2012 5:00 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Apr 12, 7:55 am, "Steven L." <sdlit...@earthlink.net> wrote:

I acknowledge the predisposition of some folks to delight in
predicting gloom. I never cared for that myself.

Surely you understand that pointing to some boys who have cried
"Wolf!" a number of times is no proof against real disaster occurring?

Kermit


 
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dav...@agent.com  
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 More options Apr 13 2012, 12:09 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: dav...@agent.com
Date: Fri, 13 Apr 2012 00:09:28 -0400
Local: Fri, Apr 13 2012 12:09 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

Feral cats don't receive vaccinations.  Pets do.

 
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dav...@agent.com  
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 More options Apr 13 2012, 12:19 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: dav...@agent.com
Date: Fri, 13 Apr 2012 00:19:21 -0400
Local: Fri, Apr 13 2012 12:19 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

The function of natural enemies is to limit genetic errors.
When you suppress the enemies, errors proliferate,
as in obesity, autism, bipolar, ADHD, etc.

>>  And population
>> would still rise.

>Why? Assuming we can persuade, trick, bribe, or bully people into
>using sufficient birth control, it seems like a one child policy would
>lead to a gradual decline. the hard part is getting most people to
>accept any of these policies, and I'm tellin' ya, it would be a harder
>row to plow trying to convince everyone to let the kids die.

It's only a small percentage that would perish.
We got along fine with that thru most of history.

>>  How about we shorten lifespans a bit?

>Why? If we lengthen lifespans, then we have folks who can work a few
>more years, when they are at their most productive (except for rugby
>players, perhaps).

People in their 80s & 90s aren't at their most productive.

>> Do we need to rock & spit for 15 years?

>I'm looking forward to retirement so  I can teach martial arts more. I
>suppose if you can't think of anything to do besides rock and spit,
>you could always do yourself in - *I wouldn't stop  you.

If you can get around fine, you probably wouldn't just rock & spit.
If you can't, you probably wouldn't be teaching martial arts.


 
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dav...@agent.com  
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 More options Apr 13 2012, 12:23 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: dav...@agent.com
Date: Fri, 13 Apr 2012 00:23:34 -0400
Local: Fri, Apr 13 2012 12:23 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

Why are you dumping debt & overcrowding on future population?
Let 'em eat cake?   Where's your fracking & nuclear gonna take us?
How will your R&D give us a solution to democratizing the Muslim
states?  

 
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Boikat  
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 More options Apr 13 2012, 2:31 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Boikat <boi...@bellsouth.net>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 23:31:47 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Apr 13 2012 2:31 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Apr 12, 11:23 pm, dav...@agent.com wrote:

"Debt" is an illusion.  Overcroding can be eliviated by expansion of
cities of towns, which, if done properly would not be a problem.

> Where's your fracking & nuclear gonna take us?

Fossil and nuclear energy are not the only options.  But developing
them would be too much like work, and your lazy fat ass would rather
kust let children and elderly die of curable diseases.

> How will your R&D give us a solution to democratizing the Muslim
> states?

Who the hell says they need democratizing?  The only reason you want
that is because, in your warped little world, you think people would
willingly vote for laws that would allow the eithholding of
vaccinations that cure or prevent common diseases.  That is pure
stupidity on your part.

Boikat


 
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Boikat  
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 More options Apr 13 2012, 2:33 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Boikat <boi...@bellsouth.net>
Date: Thu, 12 Apr 2012 23:33:51 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Apr 13 2012 2:33 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Apr 12, 11:19 pm, dav...@agent.com wrote:

<snip>

> People in their 80s & 90s aren't at their most productive.

So, you have decided they are not worthy of living?

<snip>

Boikat


 
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SkyEyes  
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 More options Apr 13 2012, 10:42 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: SkyEyes <skyey...@yahoo.com>
Date: Fri, 13 Apr 2012 07:42:31 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Apr 13 2012 10:42 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Apr 10, 12:47 pm, dav...@agent.com wrote:

I wouldn't worry about that.  If many more parents decide not to
vaccinate their children, we'll lose our herd immunity and you'll get
your wish.

Brenda Nelson, A.A.#34
skyeyes nine at cox dot net OR
skyeyes nine at yahoo dot com


 
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jillery  
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 More options Apr 13 2012, 12:11 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: jillery <69jpi...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 13 Apr 2012 12:11:39 -0400
Local: Fri, Apr 13 2012 12:11 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
On Thu, 12 Apr 2012 13:54:05 -0700 (PDT), Kermit

It's not just about choosing between global vs local.  It's about
doing without altogether.  Whether these things are essential depends
on your definition.  

You mention above keeping the Internet.  Is that essential?  If so,
how many places can roll their own routers?  Is any kind of global
communication essential?  If so, can civilization revert to passing
handwritten messages on paper?  Shall it rediscover the joys of
learning about what happened across the sea months later?  I hope not.

>I know that I have more stuff in the house than I want, but I don't
>live alone (which is good, but it means I am more ...cluttered).

>In any event, there is a certain frantic nature to our society, and a
>desperate make/buy/toss way of looking at things. I don't want to cast
>a millstone around the neck of society, but aren't there any brakes on
>this thing?

Your complaint is a consequence of an inherent conflict between
familiar comforts and exciting changes.  I have no doubt some cast
cynical looks at the first wheel :)

 
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dav...@agent.com  
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 More options Apr 13 2012, 1:57 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: dav...@agent.com
Date: Fri, 13 Apr 2012 13:57:20 -0400
Local: Fri, Apr 13 2012 1:57 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

And if they don't, you'll get your wish, that the consequences
of what we're doing will fall on future populations!

 
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Robert Grumbine  
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 More options Apr 15 2012, 4:37 pm
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Robert Grumbine <b...@saltmine.radix.net>
Date: Sun, 15 Apr 2012 15:37:07 -0500
Local: Sun, Apr 15 2012 4:37 pm
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

  Not a bet I'd take.

  For scaling purposes, we added about 4 billion people in the last
50 years.  So 25 years to 9 billion.  (Give or take a lot, obviously)

  Agriculture already uses a huge fraction of available fresh water.
And fishing already consumes a huge fraction of primary productivity.
(Both in the 30-40% range iirc).  Fantasists look at those percentages
and think that this means we could easily (i.e., without magic techno-
fixes) triple human population.  In a sense, it does.  But that sense
is that everything that doesn't feed humans has to die.  Also that
the irrigation network has to become globe-girdling, so that shortages
in one area can be met by surpluses in a different one.  Anyone for
massive planetary governmental action?

--
Robert Grumbine http://moregrumbinescience.blogspot.com/ Science blog
Sagredo (Galileo Galilei) "You present these recondite matters with too much
evidence and ease; this great facility makes them less appreciated than they
would be had they been presented in a more abstruse manner." Two New Sciences


 
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Walter Bushell  
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 More options Apr 16 2012, 10:37 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: Walter Bushell <pr...@panix.com>
Date: Mon, 16 Apr 2012 10:37:27 -0400
Local: Mon, Apr 16 2012 10:37 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!
In article <slrnjomcbf.bgd.b...@saltmine.radix.net>,
 Robert Grumbine <b...@saltmine.radix.net> wrote:

>   For scaling purposes, we added about 4 billion people in the last
> 50 years.  So 25 years to 9 billion.  (Give or take a lot, obviously)

That is linear extrapolation whereas population growth has been
exponential, if not resource constrained.

So the situation is *much* worse.

--
This space unintentionally left blank.


 
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Steven L.  
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 More options Apr 16 2012, 10:54 am
Newsgroups: talk.origins
From: "Steven L." <sdlit...@earthlink.net>
Date: Mon, 16 Apr 2012 14:54:43 +0000
Local: Mon, Apr 16 2012 10:54 am
Subject: Re: Suppression of childhood diseases has unintended consequences!

"dav...@agent.com" <dav...@agent.com> wrote in message

news:dj8eo79i62sjksrhcjdh39gg7v6bm6md67@4ax.com:

As I pointed out, they're not the same infections that humans get, so
they're not the same vaccines.
Human children aren't vaccinated against distemper.

-- Steven L.


 
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