Empires rise, thrive for a while, then collapse when they no longer provide rewards that offset the perceived costs of participation. As true of the current globalisation agenda as any other.
I wouldn't touch this particular discussion forum with a barge pole, it looks like Kremlin hybrid warfare.
However there are legitimate questions about globalisation from a systems perspective, who the winners and losers are, and whether too much interaction and interdependence is creating systemic brittleness and vulnerability to cascading failure.
I would not trust the conclusions of either US or Russian (or indeed EU) led studies on these points!
Best
Hillary
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"Trust" is the key word. It's potentially dangerous/destructive in the long run if people don't trust each other, or when they are fake and shallow. One candidate (the US elections) talks about bridges, so what the hey, the other one will talk about bridges. Etc.Aleksandar
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I have recently noticed a tendency in this group to open discussion of matters which are inherently political. Given the room for extreme emotional reactions to expression of political views, and the fact that the majority of the participants here are specialists in other fields who may think they know something about the technical fields of these discussions I do not see these discussions as particularly helpful.
Discussion tends to get very emotive when people start talking about things they do not really understand.
It would be more helpful for most participants here if the discussion focused on how to understand complex socio-technical systems when there is an intention to make some kind of systemic intervention in the situation.
Dr Tim Ferris
From: syss...@googlegroups.com [mailto:syss...@googlegroups.com]
On Behalf Of Jack Ring
Sent: Sunday, 25 September 2016 2:17 PM
To: Sys Sci <syss...@googlegroups.com>
Subject: Re: [SysSciWG] Is antiglobalism good from the systems perspective?
First you all would be wise to agree on what you mean by ‘the economy’ and ‘not the economy’
On Sep 25, 2016, at 2:03 AM, 'Hillary Sillitto' via Sys Sci Discussion List <syss...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
I think the key globalisation issue is whether the economy exists to serve society, or vice versa. With rapidly increasing inequality it starts looking like the latter, and that threatens the moral legitimacy of the current economic order.
On Sunday, 25 September 2016, Steven Krane <sk5...@gmail.com> wrote:
It seems clear that the struggle is for profit. Whose? How?
Whose (principles) = humanity, ref. The Declaration of Independence USA, among others, slavery notwithstanding. Not > dollarized shareholder.
How: A system designed to idealize the principles.
There may be others, but in terms of longevity and adherence to the principles of liberty and justice, the US govt is pretty good, relatively speaking. Although, there are many corrosive forces at work and it is uncertain whether the Republic, the system, can withstand them without itself being corroded, there is reason to believe that men and women of goodwill can bring liberty and justice for all, by action, alone. Reason is inert.
On Sep 24, 2016, at 4:52 PM, Aleksandar Malečić <ljma...@gmail.com> wrote:"Trust" is the key word. It's potentially dangerous/destructive in the long run if people don't trust each other, or when they are fake and shallow. One candidate (the US elections) talks about bridges, so what the hey, the other one will talk about bridges. Etc.
Aleksandar
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Everyone,
I am with Tim.
I am not interested in the recent discussions of the SysSciWG.
Cheers
+++++
Yoshiaki ‘Yoshi’ Ohkami, Fellow & ESEP, INCOSE
Professor Emeritus, Tokyo Institute of Technology
Executive Advisor for Keio Instiute of System
Design and Management
4-1-1 Hiyoshi, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama, Japan
Phone: +81 45 564 2480
+++++
Read Nasim Talib: "Anti Fragile" then ask the question again. Globalism means bigness and centralism. Do people (cultures) want to be centralized? Is bigness good? Or is it dangerous? To whom? Think of the Borg from Startrek. Great if you are the lead dog. What about the other 99.99% ?
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I collected them all in a Word document from which I'm deleting read parts, so I have no idea (search engines also don't help) from which message is this sentence: "I certainly don’t have much evidence that I know how to do that, however, but do feel strongly that if systems thinking is not useful to ordinary people it won’t be useful to science either."
Aleksandar
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On Sep 29, 2016, at 2:20 PM, Wolter Fabrycky <wol...@vt.edu> wrote:
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You mention F1 racing.
A few months back I went to the London dinner from my Australian high school old scholars. Three of the 10 were engineers from very different professional experience. One in orthopaedic spare parts, one in one of the F1 teams and myself.
The F1 engineer talked about their approach to engineering, which was very much, I need something that does it, and I need it now, the race is tomorrow. Things like overnight removal of parts, fly several hours, machine in the workshop, fly back and fit, so the car can be on the grid for starting time. And in that process there is also some design of what will be machined.
He said at Monaco his team had to hitch a ride for parts on a plane owned by one of the other teams, because his team is one of the lower rank teams without funds to have their own plane. They might even keep the plane idling while waiting for the machining.
We contrasted that with the approach to SE commonly applied which cannot handle such a sense of urgency. (There are good reasons for the differences.)
Interestingly both need tools that enable prediction of the effect of proposed technical changes on the system to ensure proposed changes are likely to enable intended objectives.
Dr Tim Ferris
From: syss...@googlegroups.com [mailto:syss...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Jack Ring
Sent: Friday, 30 September 2016 12:21 AM
To: Sys Sci <syss...@googlegroups.com>
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Globalism is about big centralized social systems, too big to fail, to maintain the privileged position of those in charge (taxpayers underwrite the risk; goldman sachs gets the profits).
Refer to John Gall's book "Systemantics", chapter 17: Rule: When big systems fail, the failure is often big.
Ate we not safer with smaller localized systems?
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Jack
Absolutely, Brexit (and Trump?) are classic peasant revolts!
Hillary
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I agree 3-D printing would appear to have very interesting supply chain opportunities.
It would be interesting to investigate two initial scenarios as ways of getting it to happen:
1. 3-D printing for replacement parts based on either reverse engineering of failed components. I suspect this is likely to be very difficult to do.
2. Design of many components for 3-D manufacture and shipping the relevant data files instead of spares as the support method. I suspect this is the way to get benefit quickly.
Dr Tim Ferris
From: syss...@googlegroups.com [mailto:syss...@googlegroups.com]
On Behalf Of joseph simpson
Sent: Friday, 30 September 2016 2:50 PM
To: Sys Sci <syss...@googlegroups.com>
Subject: Re: [SysSciWG] systems perspective? and question
Tim:
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The F1 engineer I was speaking to was reasonably high up in his team. But he was describing the attitude in contrast to the very big bureaucracy of change notices etc the SE seems to get associated with.
Your story about the improvement of the braking illustrates a cause of complaint against SE from many. I think that raises a question: how can we work so that appropriately parsimonious solutions are developed (not taking parsimony to the unreasonable extent that leads to things going wrong.)
… And William Wallace’s revolt, the American Revolution, and the Zulu wars were peasant revolts. Magna Carta the result of a peasant revolt perhaps?
Is anti-globalism good from the systems perspective? This is the question in this discussion thread. This begs the question “What is meant by Good”. What is the value proposition implied here? Who gets to define “good”?
From a systems perspective, the first thing to do is to identify the problem we are trying to solve (we don’t even agree on that), and construct a value proposition. Only then can we begin to define “good”, or even to decide if there is such a thing as “good”.
The real question we should be asking is this: Is systems science able to predict what globalism (or anti globalism) will make our world look like in the future? What are our alternatives? What are the trade-offs involved. Am I a termite at the whim of elites, or am I a man? Let’s look at past history to give us a clue…
Aren’t we just putting window dressing on the same old solution: Is there any difference between the goals of the Globalist movement and the goals of Economic Fascism or world socialism? Increasingly smaller numbers of elites with ever increasing personal and monopoly power, promising us wonderful benefits if we would just trust them and go along. But what will the system really do? (Think POSIWID.) Does George Soros cares about poor little old me! What problem does he solve, other than increasing his own power?
The Marxists / Bolsheviks made big promises too. Or have we forgotten? Anybody ever read Solzhenitsyn? Pasternak? Grossman? Or were they just malcontents who refused to see the wonderful benefits offered to them by their totalitarian masters. Mere peasants, I tell you!
Why should anyone believe that Globalism (which requires a police state to enforce it) be different from any other totalitarian system like the Marxo-Fascist empires of the past and present (read Vasily Grossman’s “Life and Fate” for the analysis that the two are the same).
For this we have real life experience, and need no more theories.
Oh to be a used-car salesman in the world of politics!
MD
Jack
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I’d be all for “Globalism” if Globalism meant “maximization of human freedom”. Good luck.
Commerce on a level playing field is arguably a good thing, right up to the point where a country no longer possesses the skills or ability to produce on its own, at which point it can be held hostage. But cost shifting pollution upon a third world country, for example, is not a good thing. Good maybe for the globalists running WalMart and the elites owning the production facilities. Not good for the average guy in either developed or undeveloped countries. And with the number of producers being reduced, monopolies are formed and defended by the vary government they paid for.
To me the ultimate dangers are “too big to fail” and the attempt at one-world government. To where does one run to find freedom when POSIWID takes over (and it will). Isn’t this what the dystopia thinkers of the early 20th century were warning us about? Isn’t this what Ayn Rand lived through and warned against? Vasily Grossman?
Regarding perversion of globalism…
It is not globalism, per se, that I am opposed. I am opposed to the limitation of human freedom under the guise of “the greater good”, and the transformation of human existence to that of a termite colony. Who gets to decide the greater good?
Civilization, to me, is that which enables individuals to self-determine (including the inherent trades therein). I see nothing in the work of today’s globalist elites (Soros, Clinton, the Bush family Mssr. Hollande, etc.) that indicates an interest in anything but their own power for the sake of power.
Jack
Jack
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