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Message from discussion Italo-Greek War what-ifs
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The Horny Goat  
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 More options Oct 8 2012, 4:04 pm
Newsgroups: soc.history.what-if
From: The Horny Goat <lcra...@home.ca>
Date: Mon, 08 Oct 2012 13:04:41 -0700
Local: Mon, Oct 8 2012 4:04 pm
Subject: Re: Italo-Greek War what-ifs
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On Mon, 8 Oct 2012 12:06:33 +0200, "Michele" <SPAMmiarmelN...@tln.it>
wrote:

>The Germans don't intervene and the Italians remain stalemated and
>humiliated more or less where they were at the end of their largely
>unsuccessful March 1941 counteroffensive. For this to happen, Yugoslavia has
>to be German-friendly. The British might also not intervene save in sending
>the Greeks war materiel. That has a kncok-on in North Africa, with the
>Italians probably pushed back all the way to Tripolitania. I don't think
>that even in this case Tripoli falls, but Tripolitania remains the only
>African bridgehead in Italian hands by the end of 1941.

For Yugoslavia to be pro-German in 1941 is not that big a POD - though
I don't pretend I know enough about Yugoslavia in this era to suggest
a scenario where there's no anti-German coup (which is what triggered
the German invasion in the first place)

With no British landing in Greece they MIGHT take El Agheila but
anything further west seems unlikely. Logistically I just don't think
they had the means to do so in early 1941.

I've always wondered why Bulgaria entered the war since their main
role seems to have been against Yugoslavia in May/June 1941 and to
surrender to the Soviets in 1944. If they stay neutral I don't see how
the Communists come to power in 1944-46. Nor can I envision a scenario
where they play any kind of serious role in the war on the scale of
Hungary or even Slovakia.


 
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