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Hari Seldon ?

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SolomonW

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Apr 10, 2013, 9:11:54 AM4/10/13
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Turchin 嚙碼 a professor at the University of Connecticut 嚙碼 is the driving
force behind a field called 嚙踝蕭cliodynamics,嚙踝蕭 where scientists and
mathematicians analyze history in the hopes of finding patterns they can
then use to predict the future.


http://www.wired.com/wiredenterprise/2013/04/cliodynamics-peter-turchin/

Peter Jason

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Apr 10, 2013, 5:54:04 PM4/10/13
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On Wed, 10 Apr 2013 23:11:54 +1000, SolomonW
<Solo...@citi.com> wrote:

>Turchin ?X a professor at the University of Connecticut ?X is the driving
>force behind a field called ??cliodynamics,?? where scientists and
>mathematicians analyze history in the hopes of finding patterns they can
>then use to predict the future.
>
>
>http://www.wired.com/wiredenterprise/2013/04/cliodynamics-peter-turchin/


Sounds like stockmarket charting.
http://cdn.alternativeto.net/s/7089c483-ce21-e011-b47f-0200d897d049_2_full.gif

.... and didn't Shakespeare write..
"...the oldest sins in the newest ways."?

Surreyman

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Apr 11, 2013, 5:49:20 AM4/11/13
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And if I rightly remember the (7?!) trilogies after many years, Seldon was remarkably accurate? Easy enough to write the future in hindsight, however! :-))

Bryn

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Apr 11, 2013, 3:56:31 PM4/11/13
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On Wednesday, April 10, 2013 2:11:54 PM UTC+1, SolomonW wrote:
> Turchin — a professor at the University of Connecticut — is the driving
>
> force behind a field called “cliodynamics,” where scientists and
>
> mathematicians analyze history in the hopes of finding patterns they can
>
> then use to predict the future.
>
>

An associate of mine made substantial amounts of money by identifying patterns as they occurred on the old drum slot machines back in the 60s. He was barred from London casinos and had his fingers broken on a number of a occassions. He is now confined to a wheelchair but then he is in his 90s.



>
>
>
> http://www.wired.com/wiredenterprise/2013/04/cliodynamics-peter-turchin/

robert...@gmail.com

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Apr 12, 2013, 11:02:54 AM4/12/13
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Fruit machines back then did have a predictable nature though. I used to fix the things andd was always being sent out with new programs and reels to foil those who had learned them off by heart.... nobody was 'cheating' save me and the company though I felt? It was skill, no doubt about it.

Nowadays it is impossible to beat them by skill, unless you are good at picking locks - I never, ever play on them.

History is another matter. Perhaps a good thing for us all that someone didn't learn the lesson "do not invade Russia late in the year", and not so good "never invade Afghanistan, you can never win". One would have thought such simple and vital lessons were learned by anyone who had done GCSE history or watched TV, but it appears not...

Bryn

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Apr 12, 2013, 2:40:50 PM4/12/13
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On Friday, April 12, 2013 4:02:54 PM UTC+1, robert...@gmail.com wrote:
> Fruit machines back then did have a predictable nature though. I used to fix the things andd was always being sent out with new programs and reels to foil those who had learned them off by heart.... nobody was 'cheating' save me and the company though I felt? It was skill, no doubt about it.
>

That is interesting. I often wondered if he really did have the skill..
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