On Sat, 15 Jun 2013 15:33:19 -0300, John Manning
<
jrob...@terra.com.br> wrote:
>
>
>A new survey of over 12,000 peer-reviewed climate science
>papers by our citizen science team at Skeptical Science has found
>a 97% consensus among papers taking a position on the cause of global
>warming in the peer-reviewed literature that humans are responsible.
>
>~~ Details and link to full study:
>
http://skepticalscience.com/97-percent-consensus-cook-et-al-2013.html
>
>
>SEE ALSO from Wikipedia
G.K. Chesterton said that "when people stop believing in orthodox
religion, rather than believe in nothing, they will believe in
anything". One of the ersatz religions which fills the void in recent
years is belief in Catastrophic Man-Made Global Warming. It claims to
be based on science. But it has all the characteristics of an
eschatological cult.
It has its own priesthood and ecclesiastical establishment - the
United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; they alone
can interpret its sacred scriptures - the Assessment Reports; it
anathematises as 'deniers' anyone who casts doubt on its certainties;
above all it predicts imminent doom if we do not follow its precepts
and make the sacrifices it prescribes.
What most clearly distinguishes the Catastrophic Global Warming cult
from science is that it is not refutable by facts. As Parliament
enacted the Climate Change Bill, on the presumption that the world was
getting warmer, it snowed in London in October - the first time in 74
years. Supporters explained "extreme cold is a symptom of global
warming"!
The Met Office - whose climate model is the cult's crystal ball to
forecast centuries ahead - has made a series of spectacularly
unreliable short term forecasts: "Our children will not experience
snow" (that was 2000, before the recent run of cold winters), a
barbecue summer (before the dismal 2011 summer), the drought will
continue (last spring before the wettest summer on record). Now they
say that rain and floods are the new normal. But - hot or cold, wet or
dry - global warming is always to blame.
Alarmists are reluctant to admit that the global surface temperature
has not increased for 16 years, despite CO2 emissions rising far more
than predicted. They wave this inconvenient truth away with the
non-sequitur that this decade is the hottest since records began, so
the world is still warming. If you climb a hill and reach a flat
plateau you are higher than before - but the plateau is flat, not
rising. When cornered, global warming alarmists assert that the
current pause is simply the result of unspecified 'natural
variations'. That implies that the pronounced warming over the
previous 25 years may have been amplified by 'natural variations' in
the other direction. In which case, the likely temperature rise for a
given increase in CO2 may be less than previously estimated or
required to produce the threatened doom.
In 2006 I asked how long the pause in warming would have to persist
before the Met Office would revise its model. They replied that, since
it is based on known laws of physics, they would never adjust it. Just
like the German philosopher Hegel, who claimed to derive the laws of
nature from first principles: when told that the facts did not agree
with his theories, Hegel replied: "So much the worse for the facts"!
Climate models do incorporate some established physical laws including
the basic greenhouse effect which, having studied physics at
Cambridge, I accept. This implies that doubling the concentration of
CO2 will raise the temperature by a fairly harmless 1.2�C. But the
models amplify this several fold using assumptions about complex
phenomena which cannot yet be reduced to simple physical laws.
This cult enables adherents to feel morally superior at little
personal cost. Buy a Prius or vote Green and save the planet.
Unfortunately, costly renewables are driving many into fuel poverty
and manufacturing jobs overseas. Action by Britain is pointless unless
China, India and Africa join in. They are most vulnerable to climate
change. But they are vulnerable because they are poor. They will
remain poor until they harness energy like us. Requiring them to
forego fossil fuels in favour of renewables costing several times more
condemns them to remain poor. The cult requires sacrificing the poor
to Gaia. As Professor Bruckner concludes: "save the earth, punish
mankind" .
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/peter-lilley/global-warming-religion_b_3463878.html#