In article <
3efa0098-634a-4d9f...@sk8g2000pbc.googlegroups.com>,
baldeagle <
forc...@gmail.com> wrote:
>On Feb 6, 3:02 am, rst0 <
rst0w...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>> On Feb 5, 12:24 am, baldeagle <
force....@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> > On Feb 5, 7:04 am, "
ltl...@hotmail.com" <
ltl...@hotmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> > > On Feb 4, 5:45 pm, baldeagle <
force....@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> > > > On Feb 4, 1:22 am, rst0 <
rst0w...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>>
>> > > > > On Feb 2, 11:20 pm, baldeagle <
force....@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> > > > > > On Feb 3, 2:13 pm, rst0 <
rst0w...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>>
>> > > > > > > On Feb 2, 8:25 pm, baldeagle <
force....@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> > > > > > > > The US want to get rid of President Bashar al-Assad of
>Syria. The US
>> > > > > > > > want a UN resolution to change the Syrian government leaders.
>>
>> > > > > > > > Russia say...NO.
>>
>> > > > > > > > Has the USA or the UN the authority to change the leaders of a
>> > > > > > > > sovereign country ?
>>
>> > > > > > > Might makes right.
>> > > > > > > We have the might.
>> > > > > > > We have the right.
>>
>> > > > > > After Syria, who is next Iran, ...the Russia ...may be
>> > > > > > China ?
>>
>> > > > > Yes, until the process is stopped by another nation which has more
>> > > > > power.
>>
>> > > > You are wrong.
>>
>> > .> > The USA attempt to change the government of Syria ...is
>> > .> > stopped by the UN. The Security Council did not approve
>> > .> > action for regime change in Syria.
>> > .> > Russia and China veto the US backed resolution for authority
>> > .> > to change the Syria government... like it did in Libya.
>>
>> > .> Russia and China do the right thing. Despite its short comings,
>> > .> the UN is the only real international organization that can solve
>> > .> at least some problems between nations.
>>
>> > You are right. The UN Charter provide for the UN to intervene
>> > ONLY in cases of disputes or wars between nations...
>> > The UN has NO authority to intervene in domestic civil wars....
>> > or an uprising (instigated by the USA)...or to approve actions
>> > for the USA to change the regime in Syria.
>>
>> Well, the USA did exactly that in Iraq. So, why not also in Syria?
>>
>> > .> Passing the resolution will transform it into a tool for one
>> > .> country or a group of countries to meddle into other
>> > .> country's affair.
>>
>> > This is the reason why Russia and China veto the resolution
>> > backed the USA..to change the government of Syria.
>>
>> > .> The US and its allies invade Iraq. The US has moral, if not legal
>> > .> obligation
>> > .> to clean up its mess, at least partially. The US and its allies
>> > bombed
>> > .> Libya. No one seems to care what is now happening in Libya.
>>
>> > The UN made a mistake ...to approve a "NO Fly Zone"...(did not
>> > approve NATO and the USA to bomb Libya and to send troops to
>> > help the rebels). The USA and NATO take the resolution as
>> > approval ...for regime change in Libya.
>> > The UN's mistake on Libya ...made Russia and China very careful ...
>> > about the wordings of the US backed resolution against Syria.
>>
>> > The civil war in Syria (instigated by the USA) ...is bad...because
>> > thousands were killed (by both sides). Many thousands more
>> > will be killed if the USA and NATO were to support the rebel
>> > against the government of Syria....
>> > It is estimated that the hundreds of thousands were killed in
>> > Libya by the rebel and NATO troops and bombing. (Western
>> > media covered up the killings of Libyans for obvious reasons)
>
>The USA DID NOT have UN approval to invade Iraq.
>
>If the US wanted to do the same in Syria ...go ahead
>to invade Syria without UN approval... it can do so.
>Why seek UN approval ?
With regard to the invasion of Iraq, the US under Bush also sought a
UN resolution at first but abandoned the effort after seeing that it
would not get one (largely because of the opposition of France under
President Chirac). So they sought a coalition of the willing. And
that's nearly exactly what Mrs. Clinton is trying to do right now
after her "diplomatic train-wreck" at the UN Security Council.
"diplomatic train-wreck" is the term BBC diplomatic correspondent
Jonathan Marcus used to describe the latest action at the UN. (see
attachment below.)
Mrs. Clinton is calling for a coalition of the willing to overthrow
Assad's government in Syria.
The only difference is that there would not be an overt presence of US
military personnel on the ground like the 2003 invasion of Iraq, at
first. But that might just be for the duration of Obama's reelection
campaign.
Now Lebanon's Hezbollah had warned (before Mrs. Clinton's rallying
call for the willing to fight) that it would retaliate by firing its
missile arsenal into Israel if and when Syria is attacked by foreign
forces.
And because Syria is more or less the last of the frontier before US
military forces will engage Iran in an existential battle for the
latter and before China's western front will be directly threatened
through Pakistan, the consequence of Mrs. Clinton's rallying call to
arm will be ponderous. Those under threat will be fighting
"claw, tooth and nail" as Annie Dillard put it.
It will be an existential battle for those who would be aggressed
upon.
Don't forget that as some of you have already pointed out, the Syrian
uprising is more or less incited by the West. In fact when Clinton
and her colleagues were saying over and over again that Assad was
killing the Syrian people, it was more than disingenuous.
Mrs. Clinton's husband Bill killed his own people, namely the American
people when he sent Federal agents to fire-bomb Waco and killed a
bunch of defenseless women and children. In that case, the Branch
Davidians were not even supported or instigated by any foreign
elements. When she laid blame alone on Assad, she conveniently and
systematically hid the fact that actually 55% of Syrians, comprising
the majority of the population, support Assad's government as well as
its current response to the various armed groups.
Again, don't forget US foreign policy is behind and actively driving
the Syrian uprising.
And don't forget that Russia and China have been lied to last year
vis-a-vis Libya. You get burned once, you will react "twice-shy" to
similar stimuli. They haven't forgotten that experience - in fact
they have repeatedly reminded the world how they were lied to.
How arrogant Clinton must have been then to think that Russia and
China would just meekly roll over again and the United Nations would
forever cease to function or as long as she is our chief diplomat?
And Clinton must be either very arrogant or very dumb to think that
the Chinese and the Russians aren't worried that they would themselves
eventually meet the same tragic fate as Libya has, if they remain in a
state of slumber and continue to let the aggressor advance eastward
toward them.
I say Russia and China have actually finally done something right. (I
was very unhappy about their spineless response to a perfectly clear
aggression last year.) But I am frankly amazed to see a reprise of
the idea of a coalition of the willing to fight in the Middle East
again, so soon after the Iraq war fiasco. It sounds so desperate and
so obviously a confession of a diplomatic defeat!
lo yeeOn
========
1) U.S. floats coalition against Syria
February 5, 2012 3:49 PM
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-57371692/u.s-floats-coalition-against-syria/
(AP) Beirut - The United States proposed an international coalition to
support Syria's opposition Sunday after Russia and China blocked a
U.N. attempt to end nearly 11 months of bloodshed, raising fears that
violence will escalate. Rebel soldiers said force was now the only way
to oust President Bashar Assad, while the regime vowed to press its
military crackdown.
The threat of both sides turning to greater force after Russia and
China vetoed a U.N. Security Council resolution raises the potential
for Syria's turmoil to move into even a more dangerous new phase that
could degenerate into outright civil war.
The uprising inspired by other Arab Spring revolts began in March with
peaceful protests against Assad's regime, sparking a fierce crackdown
by government forces. Soldiers who defected to join the uprising later
began to protect protesters from attacks. In recent months, the rebel
soldiers, known as the Free Syrian Army, have grown bolder, attacking
regime troops and trying to establish control in pro-opposition
areas. That has brought a heavier government response.
More than 5,400 people have been killed since March, according to the
U.N., and now regime opponents fear that Assad will be emboldened by
the feeling he is protected by his top ally Moscow and unleash even
greater violence to crush protesters. If the opposition turns overtly
to armed resistance, the result could be a dramatic increase in
bloodshed.
At least 30 civilians were killed Sunday, including five children and
a woman who was hit by a bullet while standing on her balcony as
troops fired on protesters in a Damascus suburb, according to the
Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, an activist group.
Syria: After U.N. vote fails, now what?
Russia, China veto UN resolution against Syria
Syrian embassies attacked in Europe, Middle East
Government forces firing mortars and heavy machine guns also battered
the mountain town of Zabadani, north of Damascus, a significant
opposition stronghold that fell under rebel control late last
month. Bombardment the past two days has wounded dozens and forced
scores of families to flee, an activist in the town said.
"The situation is terrifying. Makeshift hospitals are full," said the
activist, who only gave his first name, Fares, for fear of government
reprisal. He said the town has been under siege for the past five days
and there is a shortage of food and heating fuel during the cold
winter.
The commander of the Free Syrian Army told The Associated Press that,
after the vetoes at the U.N., "there is no other road" except military
action to topple Assad.
"We consider that Syria is occupied by a criminal gang and we must
liberate the country from this gang," Col. Riad al-Asaad said,
speaking by telephone from Turkey. "This regime does not understand
the language of politics. It only understands the language of force."
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton warned that chances for
"a brutal civil war" would increase as Syrians under attack from their
government move to defend themselves, unless international steps
provide another way.
Speaking to reporters in the Bulgarian capital of Sofia, she called
the double veto at the U.N. Security Council on Saturday "a travesty."
"Faced with a neutered Security Council, we have to redouble our
efforts outside of the United Nations," she said, calling for "friends
of democratic Syria" to unite "support the Syrian people's right to
have a better future."
Clinton calls for united front against Assad
The call points to the formation of a formal group of like-minded
nations to coordinate assistance to the Syrian opposition, similar but
not identical to the Contact Group on Libya, which oversaw
international help for opponents of the late deposed Libyan leader
Muammar Qaddafi. In the case of Libya, the group also coordinated NATO
military operations to protect Libyan civilians, something that is not
envisioned in Syria.
U.S. officials said an alliance would work to further squeeze the
Assad regime by stepping up sanctions against it, bringing disparate
Syrian opposition groups inside and outside the country together,
providing humanitarian relief for embattled Syrian communities and
working to prevent an escalation of violence by monitoring arms sales.
-----
Clinton calls for united front against Assad
February 5, 2012 9:33 AM
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-57371660/clinton-calls-for-united-front-against-assad/?tag=contentMain;contentBody
(AP) SOFIA, Bulgaria - U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton
called Sunday for "friends of democratic Syria" to unite and rally
against President Bashar Assad's regime, previewing the possible
formation of a formal group of likeminded nations to coordinate
assistance to the Syrian opposition.
Speaking in the Bulgarian capital of Sofia a day after Russia and
China blocked U.N. Security Council action on Syria, Clinton said the
international community had a duty to halt ongoing bloodshed and
promote a political transition that would see Assad step down. She
said the "friends of Syria" should work together to promote those
ends.
Clinton was bluntly critical of Saturday's veto by Russia and China at
the United Nations blocking action against the continuing violence in
Syria.
"What happened yesterday at the United Nations was a travesty," she
said.
"Faced with a neutered Security Council, we have to redouble our
efforts outside of the United Nations with those allies and partners
who support the Syrian people's right to have a better future,"
Clinton told reporters after meeting top Bulgarian officials.
Syria: After U.N. vote fails, now what?
Russia, China veto UN resolution against Syria
Syrian embassies attacked in Europe, Middle East
Such a group could be similar, but not identical, to the Contact Group
on Libya, which oversaw international help for opponents of the late
deposed Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi. However, in the case of Libya,
the group also coordinated NATO military operations to protect Libyan
civilians, something that is not envisioned in Syria.
U.S. officials said a friends group would work to further squeeze the
Assad regime by enhancing sanctions against it, bringing disparate
Syrian opposition groups inside and outside the country together,
providing humanitarian relief for embattled Syrian communities and
working to prevent an escalation of violence by monitoring arms sales.
"We will work to expose those who are still funding the regime and
sending it weapons to be used against defenseless Syrians, including
women and children," Clinton said. "We will work with the friends of a
democratic Syria around the world to support the opposition's peaceful
political plans for change."
Clinton's comments came as Syria's opposition appealed for
international backing along the lines she suggested following the
double-veto at the U.N. Security Council that outraged the U.S., its
European allies and Arab leaders and intensified fears that Assad
would unleash even greater violence to crush protesters.
Meanwhile, a Syrian state-run newspaper vowed Sunday that Damascus
will press its crackdown on the uprising until stability is
restored. Early Saturday, regime forces bombarded the restive central
city of Homs in what activists said was the deadliest incident of the
uprising. They reported more than 200 killed, but the regime denied
any bombardment and there was no way to independently confirm the
toll.
The Russian and Chinese vetoes at the Security Council effectively
killed an Arab League plan aimed at ending the violence in Syria that
called for Assad to hand over his powers to his vice president and
allow creation of a unity government. The resolution would have
expressed support for that Arab League plan, putting pressure on
Assad, who has rejected it.
Proponents of the Arab League plan are now searching for an
alternative to address Syria's crisis, which the U.S. and many
European countries have said can only be resolved by Assad's leaving
power.
Radwan Ziadeh, a prominent member of the opposition Syrian National
Council said countries backing Assad's foes should form an
"international coalition ... whose aim will be to lead international
moves to support the revolution through political and economic aid."
He said he expected French, U.S. and Arab support for a coalition.
A sensitive question is whether such a coalition would back the Free
Syrian Army, a force of army defectors who in recent months have gone
beyond protecting protesters in Syria to launching attacks on regime
forces and trying to establish overt control in pro-opposition parts
of the country.
------
2) Russia and China refused to endorse the UN resolution our State
department forced through. The result? A diplomatic train-wreck!
International efforts to bring pressure to bear on President Bashar
al-Assad's regime in Syria have collapsed in acrimony.
These efforts have another name: using the UN to advance the US's PNAC
agenda for regime change to countries deemed in sufficiently
subservient to Washington's wishes.
They insist that only Assad's regime is at fault: he is killing his
own people when looked from the other side, it is the armed gangs,
gangs armed by the West and its stooges in the Middle East such as the
Sheikdom Qatar, who have been trying to turn the country upside down
in the name of "democracy" when the opposite is true because as
Jonathan Steele of the UK Guardian pointed out, some 55% of the Syrian
people support the regime the West want to overthrow.
So, who was drive the train which headed for the wreck?
Mrs. Clinton with her foul-mouthed assistant Susan Rice.
China and Russia did not start the uprising and fan the bloodshed.
They were asked to endorse a regime change plan a la Libya.
China and Russia, however, are still trying to recover from being
misled in the Libyan fiasco. They simply refused to be had again.
They were simply sending out a signal that says: no one would be able
to stop the West's belligerent agenda if they really want to start a
war in Syria this time, but that they would not be an accomplice to
the greater bloodshed to come.
They have a conscience and they are sticking to it. They are putting
out a stop sign. But the train's engineer Mrs. Clinton wanted to play
brinksmanship and she lost.
She and her colleagues wrecked the train. They have no one else to
blame except themselves. The Syrians would be fools to want to repeat
a Libya 2.0 in Syria.
Furthermore, Hezebollah has announced that it would strike Israel as
soon as Syria is attacked by foreign forces. So, the antes is up and
Mrs. Clinton has started an arms race, not unlike the Cuban crisis
decades ago. See what brinksmanship can do to your train-wreck?
lo yeeOn
========
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-16894752
5 February 2012 Last updated at 07:25 ET
By Jonathan Marcus
BBC Diplomatic Correspondent
. . .
'Not a serious policy'
Almost from the outset of this crisis, all eyes have been on Moscow.
Russia is Syria's only prominent ally. Moscow has long had close
military, economic and diplomatic ties with the Syrians. Russia is
expanding its use of the Syrian naval base at Tartus and has
maintained arms supplies to Damascus throughout this crisis.
. . .
For all the hopes in the West of a last-minute compromise, with Mr
Lavrov and Mrs Clinton hurrying off for bilateral talks in the margins
of the conference, there was probably no deal to be done.
At one level it is quite simple. Russia is, as I have said, Syria's
most prominent ally and that is that.
This, together with Russia's traditional antipathy towards what it
sees as the UN Security Council's interference in a sovereign nation's
affairs - here China takes much the same view - was enough to prompt
the Russian veto.
But it is a little more complicated than that.
I listened closely to Mr Lavrov's comments. "Russia," he said,
"supported the call of the Syrian people for change." It had backed
the Arab League observer mission and had persuaded the Syrian
authorities to accept it.
But, he went on, Russia was not going to accept any resolutions that
might open the way to foreign intervention or that would pre-determine
the political outcome in Syria.
Mr Lavrov was clearly sceptical about what any UN resolution might
achieve.
"What was the West's game plan?" he asked. If the violence continued,
he argued, would you simply go back to the UN for another resolution?
This was simply "not a serious policy".
If the draft resolution did not apply equivalent restrictions on all
parties - for the Russians that means the "armed groups" who they
believe are fomenting the violence as much as the Syrian government -
it was going to be unacceptable to Moscow.
Similarly, if it referred in any way to the Arab League peace plan
which involves President Assad stepping aside according to a tight
schedule, then this too was unacceptable to the Russians, as was
anything that they believe might pre-determine the outcome in Syria.
. . .
-------
China says it was forced to veto UN measure on Syria
Published February 06, 2012 | Associated Press
http://www.foxnews.com/world/2012/02/06/china-defends-its-veto-un-measure-on-syria/
BEIJING - China said Monday it was forced to veto a United Nations
vote on Syria because it was called before differences in the proposal
were bridged but added it wants to play a constructive role in ending
violence there.
China and Russia have drawn the wrath of the United States and Europe
for the weekend veto, which they say blocked a U.N. attempt to end
nearly 11 months of bloodshed, raising fears that the violence will
escalate.
China says the resolution put undue emphasis on pressuring the Syrian
government and prejudged the result of any dialogue between the
parties in Syria.
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Weimin said Monday that he had
no information on whether Beijing plans to send an envoy to Syria as
Russia is doing.
Liu told a regular news conference that the vote on the
U.N. resolution was forced before all parties had agreed on it.
"Such practices do not help maintain the unity and authority of the
U.N. Security Council, nor does it help to properly solve the issues,"
he said.
Liu also rejected criticism that China was favoring the government of
President Bashar Assad, whose regime has vowed to press its military
crackdown.
"On the issue of Syria, China is not sheltering anyone nor do we
intentionally oppose anyone. We uphold justice and take a responsible
attitude," Liu said.
The Syrian uprising, inspired by other Arab Spring revolts, began in
March with peaceful protests against Assad's regime. That sparked a
fierce crackdown by government forces, and led to some soldiers
defecting to join the uprising.
In recent months, the rebel soldiers, known as the Free Syrian Army,
have grown bolder, attacking regime troops and trying to establish
control in pro-opposition areas. That has brought a heavier government
response.
More than 5,400 people have been killed since March, according to the
U.N., and now regime opponents fear that Assad will be emboldened by
the feeling he is protected by his top ally Moscow.
On Monday, activists said Syrian troops were heavily shelling the
restive central city of Homs.
The Local Coordination Committees activist group said the bombardment
hit a makeshift hospital, causing casualties.
-------
3) 'Hezbollah will hit Israel if Syria attacked'
By
JPOST.COM STAFF02/05/2012 19:53
http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=256584
Hezbollah is prepared to attack should Western powers "interfere" in
Syrian affairs, Lebanese official says.
Hezbollah is prepared to attack Israel if Western powers interfere in
Syria against the regime in Damascus, a Lebanese Hezbollah official
said Sunday according to the Palestinian News Network.
The unnamed official said Hezbollah was prepared if Western powers
intervened in Syria in order to stop Syrian President Bashar Assad's
crackdown on anti-government protesters, even if the "price for it" is
to engage the IDF in battle in order to divert attention away from the
Syrian arena.
According to the report, Hezbollah - which is believed to have a
stockpile of over 30,000 missiles - believes that a war in the Middle
East may prevent the fall of Assad.
The Jerusalem Post could not confirm this report.
The Shi'ite group supports a compromise based on reforms and "easing
the crisis" between anti-government forces and the Syrian regime,
according to the official. While Assad himself has said his government
will push reforms, and has released thousands of detainees arrested
since the start of the 11-month conflict, the violence in Syria has
not dwindled.
Last week, over 200 people were killed in an overnight military
assault on the restive city of Homs. At least 18 people were gunned
down by Syrian troops on Sunday according to activists, and nine
Syrian troops were killed in clashes with rebels in the northwestern
Idlib province bordering Turkey.
Israel has said that Hezbollah along with Iran are providing weapons
to their ally Syria to help suppress Syrian opposition activists
calling for Assad's ouster, in a conflict that has resulted in the
deaths of more than 6,000 Syrians.
"The radical axis is trying to retain its power and as time passes,
Iran and Hezbollah increase their efforts to help the Assad regime
survive by providing knowledge, weaponry and other capabilities," head
of Military Intelligence Maj.-Gen. Aviv Kochavi said in January.
Hezbollah has been one of the few voices in the Arab world making
statements in support of Assad and the Syrian regime.
Hamas - another Iran proxy in the region - quietly backed away from
vocalizing support for the Assad regime, and many of the group's
officials have left their political bureau in Damascus for neighboring
countries.
Yaakov Katz contributed to this report
------
4) A more candid assessment of our Libyan mischief (from the Atlantic
magazine)
Why did a train wreck occur with Hillary's overzealous diplomacy?
President Obama made a rapid transition from saying "regime change
is not on the table" last March (part of the bargain to get Russian
abstention from the UNSC vote) to publicly calling for his ouster.
Obama lied, and now the Syrians cry!
People in general are once burned (by you), twice shy (from you).
lo yeeOn
========
Syria and the Pernicious Consequences of Our Libya Intervention
http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/02/syria-and-the-pernicious-consequences-of-our-libya-intervention/252631/
FEB 6 2012, 3:00 PM ET 6
Even if toppling Qaddafi made sense on its own terms, the Western
campaign will make it far harder to do any good for Syria.
Intervention, in other words, has lots of consequences, and often
they're quite bad. While it's relatively easy to talk about the
problems the intervention has unleashed on Libya itself, even less
remarked upon are the broader political consequences of the Libyan
campaign. Russia and China, in particular, have openly said they're
angry over how the intervention played out, and it should be no
surprise to see them block future moves for intervention.
A big reason for Russia and China's intransigence is the NATO
coalition that led the intervention, which badly overstepped the range
of permissible actions stipulated in the UN Security Council
Resolution that authorized intervention. Russia was an early critic of
such actions as France's weapons shipments to the rebels -- criticism
that could have been accounted for (Moscow never made any secret of
its concerns) but which seemed to be ignored in the rush to intervene.
President Obama made a rapid transition from saying "regime change is
not on the table" last March (part of the bargain to get Russian
abstention from the UNSC vote) to publicly calling for his ouster.
France and the UK used similar language, ignoring the politics of
getting UN approval for intervention.
Now, when there is another escalating crisis in Syria -- Bashar
al-Assad's unjustifiable mass-murder of protesters -- Russia and China
have stepped in to veto further UNSC action. This was an entirely
predictable response, as both Russia and China were openly scornful of
the misleading statements made by interventionists in NATO and the
Arab League to get support for Libya.
The veto has led some analysts to say the UNSC is losing relevance,
but it seems to me that the opposite might actually be true: the
politics of the UNSC should matter as much for launching an
intervention as the merits of actually attacking the target
country. There is no doubt that what is unfolding in Syria is an
atrocity that must end. Sadly, the Libya intervention itself, while a
precedent for the idea of global action against a humanitarian threat,
is also a very real reason that the world will have a tougher time
doing anything for Syria.
Walter Russell Mead wrote an excellent exegesis of the entirety of
Russia's calculations on the veto, taking special note of Russian
domestic politics and their obsession with their own diminishment in
international bodies like the UN. Put simply: Russia expected some
consideration in the Libyan campaign, but instead the relevant players
are actively working against Russian interests there, even
post-Gaddafi. Moscow could not risk the same thing happening to its
many interests in Syria.
Even if it were not an election year in Russia, where Putin has just
been reminded that he does not enjoy uncritical love from his people,
it's likely Russia would have vetoed Syria because of Libya. But there
are additional, bigger politics to consider as well.
Many states, none of whom are free, worry that the West's renewed love
of intervention might one day be focused upon them. This is a critical
consequence of rejecting sovereignty and declaring governments unfit
to rule through a mixture of expediency and opportunity. Powerful
states with poor human rights records -- Russia and China included --
look at what happened in Libya and see disaster, not freedom. And they
are taking steps to avoid it.
In a broader sense, too, the renewed focus on intervention, especially
considering what happened in Libya, could have pernicious
consequences. Qaddafi famously gave up his nuclear weapons program in
2003. That he was later overthrown right after the U.S. re-established
diplomatic ties with Triploi isn't broadly seen as a victory for
diplomacy and denuclearization, but rather a textbook case of why
nuclear weapons are fantastic invasion insurance. That may be one
reason (among many others) why Iran seems so unwilling to contemplate
abandoning its own nuclear weapons program -- it believes that nuclear
weapons will prevent a capricious and unpredictable West from invading
or intervening in its internal affairs.
In a vacuum, intervening to prevent mass killings in Libya made sense.
Libya, however, did not (and does not) exist in a vacuum. It has both
internal and regional politics. So does Syria. The failure to gain
international buy-in to do something -- not necessarily militarily but
some response -- to the atrocities there is a direct consequence of
interventionists ignoring politics in their rush to do good.
Unfortunately, the people of Syria are now paying the price, and will
continue to do so.