Guardian UK
June 18, 2006
A negotiated solution to the Iranian
nuclear crisis is within reach
The U.S. must take three basic steps to
defuse this confrontation. The consequences of not doing so could be grim
By Noam Chomsky
The urgency of halting the proliferation of nuclear
weapons, and moving toward their elimination, could hardly be greater. Failure
to do so is almost certain to lead to grim consequences, even the end of
biology's only experiment with higher intelligence.
As threatening as the crisis is, the means exist to defuse it.
A
near-meltdown seems to be imminent over Iran and its nuclear programs. Before
1979, when the Shah was in power, Washington strongly supported these
programs.
Today the standard claim is that Iran has no need for nuclear power, and
therefore must be pursuing a secret weapons program. "For a major oil producer
such as Iran, nuclear energy is a wasteful use of resources", Henry Kissinger
wrote in the Washington Post last year.
Thirty years ago, however, when
Henry Kissinger was secretary of state for President Gerald Ford, he held that
"introduction of nuclear power will both provide for the growing needs of Iran's
economy and free remaining oil reserves for export or conversion to
petrochemicals".
Last year Dafna Linzer of the Washington Post asked
Kissinger about his reversal of opinion. Kissinger responded with his usual
engaging frankness: "They were an allied country".
In 1976 the President
Gerald Ford administration "endorsed Iranian plans to build a massive nuclear
energy industry, but also worked hard to complete a multibillion-dollar deal
that would have given Tehran control of large quantities of plutonium and
enriched uranium - the two pathways to a nuclear bomb", Linzer wrote. The top
planners of the Bush administration, who are now denouncing these programs, were
then in key national security posts: Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld and Paul
Wolfowitz.
Iranians are surely not as willing as the west to discard
history to the rubbish heap. They know that the United States, along with its
allies, has been tormenting Iranians for more than 50 years, ever since a US-UK
military coup overthrew the parliamentary government and installed the Shah, who
ruled with an iron hand until a popular uprising expelled him in
1979.
The Reagan administration then supported Saddam's invasion of Iran,
providing him with military and other aid that helped him slaughter hundreds of
thousands of Iranians. Then came President Clinton's harsh sanctions, followed
by Bush's threats to attack Iran - themselves a serious breach of the UN
charter.
Last month the Bush administration conditionally agreed to join
its European allies in direct talks with Iran, but refused to withdraw the
threat of attack, rendering virtually meaningless any negotiations offer that
comes, in effect, at gunpoint. Recent history provides further reason for
skepticism about Washington's intentions.
In May 2003, according to Flynt
Leverett, then a senior official in Bush's National Security Council, the
reformist government of Mohammad Khatami proposed "an agenda for a diplomatic
process that was intended to resolve on a comprehensive basis all of the
bilateral differences between the United States and Iran".
Included were
"weapons of mass destruction, a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict, the future of Lebanon's Hezbollah organization and cooperation with
the UN nuclear safeguards agency", the Financial Times reported last month. The
Bush administration refused, and reprimanded the Swiss diplomat who conveyed the
offer.
A year later the European Union and Iran struck a bargain: Iran
would temporarily suspend uranium enrichment, and in return Europe would provide
assurances that the United States and Israel would not attack Iran. Under U.S.
pressure, Europe backed off, and Iran renewed its enrichment
processes.
Iran's nuclear programs, as far as is known, fall within its
rights under article four of the non-proliferation treaty (NPT), which grants
non-nuclear states the right to produce fuel for nuclear energy. The Bush
administration argues that article four should be strengthened, and I think that
makes sense.
When the NPT came into force in 1970 there was a
considerable gap between producing fuel for energy and for nuclear weapons. But
advances in technology have narrowed the gap. However, any such revision of
article four would have to ensure unimpeded access for non-military use, in
accord with the initial NPT bargain between declared nuclear powers and the
non-nuclear states.
In 2003 a reasonable proposal to this end was put
forward by Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency:
that all production and processing of weapon-usable material be under
international control, with "assurance that legitimate would-be users could get
their supplies". That should be the first step, he proposed, toward fully
implementing the 1993 UN resolution for a fissile material cutoff treaty or
Fissban.
ElBaradei's proposal has to date been accepted by only one
state, to my knowledge: Iran, in February, in an interview with Ali Larijani,
Iran's chief nuclear negotiator.
The Bush administration rejects a verifiable Fissban - and stands nearly
alone.
In November 2004 the UN committee on disarmament voted in favor of a
verifiable Fissban. The vote was 147 to one (United States), with two
abstentions: Israel and Britain. Last year a vote in the full general assembly
was 179 to two, Israel and Britain again abstaining. The United States was
joined by Palau.
There are ways to mitigate and probably end these
crises. The first is to call off the very credible US and Israeli threats that
virtually urge Iran to develop nuclear weapons as a deterrent.
A second
step would be to join the rest of the world in accepting a verifiable Fissban
treaty, as well as ElBaradei's proposal, or something similar.
A third
step would be to live up to article six of the NPT, which obligates the nuclear
states to take "good-faith" efforts to eliminate nuclear weapons, a binding
legal obligation, as the world court determined. None of the nuclear states has
lived up to that obligation, but the United States is far in the lead in
violating it.
Even steps in these directions would mitigate the upcoming
crisis with Iran. Above all, it is important to heed the words of Mohamed
ElBaradei: "There is no military solution to this situation. It is
inconceivable. The only durable solution is a negotiated solution". And it is
within reach.
* Noam Chomsky is professor of linguistics and philosophy at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).
Related links:
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U.S. endorsed Iranian plans to build massive nuclear energy
industry
Same U.S. officials sang a different tune on Iranian nukes in
the 1970s
Washington Post (March 27, 2005)