The Chinese are hiding their military power and they do not want the
US to have fear of its potential. They are following the Sun Tze war
strategy, pretending to be less threatening for the next 20 years.
China had the opportunity to seize their claimed territories belong to
South Vietnam in South China Sea in 1975 after the fall of Saigon and
RVN Navy retreated from all islands, but it did not. It also had the
chance to copy the US and seize all islands in South China Sea in
2003 after the US declared it would "act alone" to invade Iraq without
UN approval. While US troops were tied up in Iraq, China could have
taken over all sea territories that it declared belong to China that
the US recognized its sovereignty through the Shanghai communique in
1972 (agreement between Nixon and Mao). To test this agreement, China
took over the Paracels and part of Spratlys and the US declared its
neutrality in the disputes between Vietnam and China.
In a memo sent to China in the 1970s, DRV (North Vietnam) premier
Pham van Dong agreed to all Chinese territory claims. While South
Vietnam protested China's territory claims, its government surrendered
to North Vietnam in 1975 and thus must comply with all DRV laws and
foreign policy, including recognition of China's territory in South
China sea.
With the premier Dong's memo and the Shanghai communique which
recognized China's claim, China can legally take over islands that
belong to Vietnam in South China sea. And they are doing just that.
They did not take over islands that Taiwan, Japan, and the Phillipines
claimed in the Pacific. Because Vietnam somehow agreed to China's
territory claim in exchange for help from China during the war
against the US and South Vietnam, it must comply with its previous
agreements with China. No free lunch.
The US in its part must honor the 1972 Shanghai communique which
recognize China's claim over Taiwan and South China sea. Once the US
and Vietnam recognized China's territory claims, the genie is out of
the bottle and nothing can be changed. When South Vietnamese
surrendered to DRV in 1975, they also accepted all previous agreements
between DRV and China and nothing can be changed. The main challenge
for China for the next decades is how to take over the territories
that the US and Vietnam agreed they belong to China.
The next opportunity for China is when the US invaded Iran or Syria.
Then China could invade Conson and Phu Quoc islands as a quid pro quo
with the US in exchange for China's not to protest US invasion.
Vietnam made a big mistake when it sought help from its 1000 year
enemy China during the Vietnam war and it is paying big now.
On Jul 25, 9:53 am, john nguyen <johnnguyen...@gmail.com> wrote:
> THE MONKEY IS THE USA BUT WHO IS THE CHICKEN ?;
> It should be clear from El Chino’s two posts KILL THE CHICKEN TO SCARE
> THE MONKEY (Part 1 and 2) that the only power that can stop China
> raise to the status of sole superpower, i.e., the Monkey, according
> to the Chinese Neocons and Neocolonialists is the USA.
> Chinese Neocons and Neocolonialists included people inside the CCP
> but also outside of the CCP in probably equal proportion. Their
> ideology originated from something much older than Communism. It
> derived from 3000 Years of Chinese Imperialism and being invaded by
> Imperialists, The Liao, the Kim, Mongols, Genghis Khan, Manchurians
> and Finally White Men.
> ( El Chino is on the record, now, declares that American
> Neocolonialism toward countries like the UK, France and Japan etc… is
> thousand times better than the Eternal Fraternity professed by China
> till very recently toward Vietnam, between two countries sharing same
> Culture, Natural borders and history of struggle against White Man
> Colonialism because in reality this Chinese kind of Eternal Fraternity
> resulted in acts of Piracy of China against Vietnamese Fishermen,
> stealing their catches, cell phone and communication equipment. I
> could not see a single act of similar nature exerted by the US against
> any British, French or Japanese during and after the Cold War).
> So who is the first Chicken to be killed in China raise to be sole
> Superpower of the World. There will be more Chicken on China’s path .
> People should not nourish any illusion. The path that Chinese Neocons
> wanted to lead China is not a peaceful growth into a regional power
> but to reconstitute the Middle Empire (Trung Quoc) center of the
> Universe. The General Secretary of the CCP will be the new Son of
> Heaven (Thien Tu). America should not nourish any illusion that
> China would be satisfied with dividing the World between the USA and
> itself. Here El Chino is guided by the Chinese Wisdom which is
> anchored in the mind of all Chinese like a gene in its DNA.
> Thus Chinese Wisdom Spake: There should not be 2 tigers living in
> the same jungle . There should not be 2 suns shining on the same
> World. One should die.
> While El Chino had identified the Monkey, He had not identified the
> Chicken because even the Chinese Neocons do not know who the Chicken
> is or should be. Is it Vietnam ? It might be too tough to swallow.
> Is it the Philippines ? China might then provoke America’s ire and
> Wrath because the Philippines are protected by a treaty of Defense
> with Uncle Sam.
> As El Chino had said. Chinese are very smart. Their smartness
> derived from Evolution. Living in relatively developed societies for
> at least 40 centuries with conflicts and wars. They know that to
> survive they have to adapt and that force alone can not always win.
> Here is another example of Chinese wisdom: The first Emperor of the
> Han Dynasty (200 BC to 200 AD) wanted to kill all of the citizen of
> countries He conquered to destroy any germ of rebellion. His
> Political Advisor discouraged Him by the following: You conquered
> your empire on horse back. You cannot rule an Empire on horse back.
> You should use an army not of soldiers but of educated people like
> myself to rule the Empire on your behalf. We are not trained in
> military science and do not have an army to rebel against you but only
> the executant of your desire which we transform into a series of
> edicts which we will make the people to obey. If they disobey we will
> cut off their head in your name.
> El Chino affirmed that Chinese are very wise; and the Chinese Neocons
> are not bound to win the power struggle in the Politburo, the Central
> Committee because there are wiser people like Wen Jia Bao who
> understand that China is not strong at least for the time being. It
> will take a few decades to be invincible. At that time it is quite
> reasonable to expect that China will become more self confident and,
> yes, more reasonable.
