The Chinese are hiding their military power and they do not want the
US to have fear of its potential. They are following the Sun Tze war
strategy, pretending to be less threatening for the next 20 years.
China had the opportunity to seize their claimed territories belong to
South Vietnam in South China Sea in 1975 after the fall of Saigon and
RVN Navy retreated from all islands, but it did not. It also had the
chance to copy the US and seize all islands in South China Sea in
2003 after the US declared it would "act alone" to invade Iraq without
UN approval. While US troops were tied up in Iraq, China could have
taken over all sea territories that it declared belong to China that
the US recognized its sovereignty through the Shanghai communique in
1972 (agreement between Nixon and Mao). To test this agreement, China
took over the Paracels and part of Spratlys and the US declared its
neutrality in the disputes between Vietnam and China.
In a memo sent to China in the 1970s, DRV (North Vietnam) premier
Pham van Dong agreed to all Chinese territory claims. While South
Vietnam protested China's territory claims, its government surrendered
to North Vietnam in 1975 and thus must comply with all DRV laws and
foreign policy, including recognition of China's territory in South
With the premier Dong's memo and the Shanghai communique which
recognized China's claim, China can legally take over islands that
belong to Vietnam in South China sea. And they are doing just that.
They did not take over islands that Taiwan, Japan, and the Phillipines
claimed in the Pacific. Because Vietnam somehow agreed to China's
territory claim in exchange for help from China during the war
against the US and South Vietnam, it must comply with its previous
agreements with China. No free lunch.
The US in its part must honor the 1972 Shanghai communique which
recognize China's claim over Taiwan and South China sea. Once the US
and Vietnam recognized China's territory claims, the genie is out of
the bottle and nothing can be changed. When South Vietnamese
surrendered to DRV in 1975, they also accepted all previous agreements
between DRV and China and nothing can be changed. The main challenge
for China for the next decades is how to take over the territories
that the US and Vietnam agreed they belong to China.
The next opportunity for China is when the US invaded Iran or Syria.
Then China could invade Conson and Phu Quoc islands as a quid pro quo
with the US in exchange for China's not to protest US invasion.
Vietnam made a big mistake when it sought help from its 1000 year
enemy China during the Vietnam war and it is paying big now.
On Jul 25, 9:53 am, john nguyen <johnnguyen...@gmail.com> wrote: