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Not to pick on you, but I felt it appropriate to sneak in this rant :)
I really think VC's should be called "CIB's" or "Conservative
Investment Blobs". I mean, no offence to them, but they aren't really
investing in ventures. They're investing in proven businesses. And
sure, that's useful, but it's annoying to hold out a tentative sneaky
carrot to people-with-idea's and seductively suggest they may invest,
but in reality never will, not until you've gotten past the most
difficult stages on your own.
Fair enough, you don't want to lose money on risky investments. But in
my humble opinion, the "VC" market needs to take a good look at
itself. If you invest in X number of business and more than X/2
failed; maybe you need to re-think *YOUR* approach, for deciding
candidates.
And don't even get me started on wanting an experienced management
team ... I think that's part of the problem personally. Why crush an
innovative business with potentially "experienced" (and hence probably
biased in certain avenues) and "vets" of the management field? Sure,
there is a *lot* to be said for a good management team; but the
thought that you can take a certain group "a-team management group"
through them at a business and make it successful makes me more than a
little annoyed. You know who makes my business successful? Me. And the
decisions *I* make. You want to get involved in my business? Deal with
me. Don't think you can just throw money and a team at my idea, and
you'll be successful. You won't.
</rant over ...>
:)
On the other hand, part of me things I should run my own VC firm
before I start throwing to many comments at it. Certainly appreciate
it's difficult; but certainly suggest an improvement is required to
get innovative projects off the ground. Maybe if you want to start
another business selling mobile phones or ringtones, they'll work for
you, but for a new idea; probably not.
> These investors only invest to expand an already good business. Having
> an idea or a prototype is not a business at all.
No, certainly it isn't, but that's typically why we want investment.
To build a business.
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
Oh yes, I know, wasn't meaing to suggest you were.
> Frankly the amount of crazy half arsed ideas that get presented with wild or
> non existent ideas on a business model is staggering.
Indeed. Totally agreed. But just because there are crazy-bad ideas
doesn't mean there isn't crazy-good ideas. This is the point of a
high-rrisk technology investment firm: to decide the good from the
bad, and invest small amounts of money at high risk. My problem is
that "VC's" don't typically fit into that. Somehow they've got this
opinion of them that they invest in risky things. They don't. If
you've got a risky idea you're practically on your own; make friends
with money and you can get a bit, but presenting based on merit, well
for starters you don't have any (merit) you've only got words and a
bit of work, and that won't get you far.
I'm just saying it'll be nice when there is an investment pool like
that available.
> They look for a team who knows what to do, the credibility of that team is
> improved if they have done it before.
>
> Early Stage (ie pre product/revenue) is extremely high risk. The selection
> process must be rigourous, management team that can demonstrate successful
> outcomes and track record lowers that risk. You also have technology risk,
> market risk, execution risk, the recognize that only a small % will ever be
> truely successful.
But that's my point - if a small component will be successful, then
guess what - You're doing it wrong. Re-evaluate how you're operating
(is what I'm saying to them, not you).
> So far early stage in this country has not generated great returns, however
> I think this is as much about the number of funds and the fact that most
> early stage funds have not been completed yet.
>
> In this country you can count on 1 hand the amount of VCs that do true early
> stage seed investments, you can count on 2-3 fingers the ones that still
> have funds available for investment .
>
> The US has much more early stage VC than we do, there is an accepted
> culture, here it is more development capital, almost in some instanced
> trending toward private equity.
>
> Im not here to argue the case of VC model, just telling the original poster
> that unless he meets those criteria his time would be better spent on his
> product than chasing investment.
Absolutely agreed on that.
I just think that there is an opening for a good firm to judge risky
investments appropriately; not smother the idea in external management
or other such things. Let the people who have the idea develop it.
Sure, everyone needs to consult with experience people some time, but
the final decision making? Inventor. IMHO.
> Anyone seeking investment in this climate should be asking themselves the
> question, what would two guys in a garage do, if they didn't have venture
> capital.
>
> Bill Hewlett and Dave Packard built a $20bill company from a garage in Palo
> Alto initially without investment. They made their first product and baked
> the enamel on in his wifes oven.
>
> Go figure.
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
They're looking for signs of a valuable investment. You can show signs
of having a valuable investment very early in the game. You don't need
a heap of users or cashflow, you just need to show signs of growth.
> And sure, that's useful, but it's annoying to hold out a tentative
> sneaky carrot to people-with-idea's and seductively suggest they may
> invest, but in reality never will, not until you've gotten past the
> most difficult stages on your own.
This is where you've got to consider the reverse. It's nice to think
we're all delicate little snowflakes, but everyone has ideas. Again,
you need to show signs that you can do something with them. Throwing
external cash at your business is not a panacea. There are more things
to consider during investment than extending the runway of a business
purely through the use of money.
> Fair enough, you don't want to lose money on risky investments. But in
> my humble opinion, the "VC" market needs to take a good look at
> itself. If you invest in X number of business and more than X/2
> failed; maybe you need to re-think *YOUR* approach, for deciding
> candidates.
Half? Not even close. If VCs had half their investments "succeed",
then I guess your point on being less risk averse makes sense, but I
don't think that's reality. I've been told the number is closer to 90%
failure, 10% success.
Cheers,
Nathan de Vries
[snip]
> Half? Not even close. If VCs had half their investments "succeed",
> then I guess your point on being less risk averse makes sense, but I
> don't think that's reality. I've been told the number is closer to 90%
> failure, 10% success.
Exactly. Personally, if I tried something 10 times and failed 9, I
wouldn't consider that a good method of operation. I would say "okay,
something is wrong here, what do I need to change ...".
> Cheers,
>
> Nathan de Vries
>
> http://nathandevries.com
> http://www.atnan.com
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
I guess you're saying that the strategy sucks for people like yourself
who are after investment, rather than that it doesn't work for the VCs
(clearly it does). It's a little bit like complaining to an investment
banker that they make so many trades, many of which do poorly. Why not
do fewer, less risky trades? The trades that do poorly pale into
comparison to the trades that do well, and this is how money is made.
Low risk investments are great if you want to play it save, but you're
not going to make a hell of a lot of money that way.
I'm not after investment.
>, rather than that it doesn't work for the VCs
> (clearly it does). It's a little bit like complaining to an investment
> banker that they make so many trades,
No, it doesn't relate. Traders don't directly influence the operation
of the business; the typically invest based on research and look at
where the company is going, etc. VC's take directly control (or try
to) and that's where the problem lies.
> many of which do poorly. Why not
> do fewer, less risky trades? The trades that do poorly pale into
> comparison to the trades that do well, and this is how money is made.
> Low risk investments are great if you want to play it save, but you're
> not going to make a hell of a lot of money that way.
Nowhere did I say only take low-risk investments. Infact I pretty much
said the opposite. I'm not going to repeat myself.
> Cheers,
>
> Nathan de Vries
>
> http://nathandevries.com
> http://www.atnan.com
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
Whether or not you're looking to take on venture capital is
irrelevant. What I meant is that you're more likely to be taking on
money than giving out money. Unless of course the suggestion that
you'd start your own magical VC firm was not said in jest, in which
case...good luck with that!
> VC's take directly control (or try to) and that's where the problem
> lies.
That's a pretty vast generalisation. I good VC will know what they
bring to the business (money, network, knowledge), bring it, and then
get the hell out of the way. A bad VC will derail the business itself.
Saying all VCs will meddle with their investments to the detriment of
the business wouldn't be very accurate, unless your only source of
news is Techcrunch.
>> many of which do poorly. Why not
>> do fewer, less risky trades? The trades that do poorly pale into
>> comparison to the trades that do well, and this is how money is made.
>> Low risk investments are great if you want to play it save, but
>> you're
>> not going to make a hell of a lot of money that way.
>
> Nowhere did I say only take low-risk investments. Infact I pretty much
> said the opposite. I'm not going to repeat myself.
I made that point in response to your initial argument that VCs should
invest in "crazy-good ideas" instead of "crazy-bad ideas". Obvious,
since crazy-good ideas are a low-risk investment right? How can you go
wrong with a crazy-good idea?! However, I'm pretty sure that VCs know
they should be picking good ideas over bad ones, it's just that your
opinion of a good idea might not match theirs. That, and the majority
of people with "crazy-bad ideas" think they're "crazy-good ideas" (you
and me included), so one can only expect for the VCs to judge
potential investments on more than just the idea, such as growth
potential, management competence etc.
? If it's irrelevant why ask the question?
> What I meant is that you're more likely to be taking on
> money than giving out money.
How can you possibly know that. And regardless, as you said, It's irrelevant.
> Unless of course the suggestion that
> you'd start your own magical VC firm was not said in jest, in which
> case...good luck with that!
>
> > VC's take directly control (or try to) and that's where the problem
> > lies.
>
> That's a pretty vast generalisation. I good VC will know what they
> bring to the business (money, network, knowledge), bring it, and then
> get the hell out of the way. A bad VC will derail the business itself.
> Saying all VCs will meddle with their investments to the detriment of
> the business wouldn't be very accurate, unless your only source of
> news is Techcrunch.
FWIW I've never read "techcrunch" in my life.
>>> many of which do poorly. Why not
>>> do fewer, less risky trades? The trades that do poorly pale into
>>> comparison to the trades that do well, and this is how money is made.
>>> Low risk investments are great if you want to play it save, but
>>> you're
>>> not going to make a hell of a lot of money that way.
>>
>> Nowhere did I say only take low-risk investments. Infact I pretty much
>> said the opposite. I'm not going to repeat myself.
>
> I made that point in response to your initial argument that VCs should
> invest in "crazy-good ideas" instead of "crazy-bad ideas". Obvious,
> since crazy-good ideas are a low-risk investment right? How can you go
> wrong with a crazy-good idea?! However, I'm pretty sure that VCs know
> they should be picking good ideas over bad ones, it's just that your
> opinion of a good idea might not match theirs.
Do they though? If their fail-rate is so high? And consider if they do
(as you claim). That means the thing that goes wrong (that forces a
90% failure rate) is the implementation of the idea. And who does that
- but the management team. So who's at fault?
> That, and the majority
> of people with "crazy-bad ideas" think they're "crazy-good ideas" (you
> and me included),
Obviously.
> so one can only expect for the VCs to judge
> potential investments on more than just the idea, such as growth
> potential, management competence etc.
Indeed.
Point remains, if your failure rate is so high, you should re-evaluate
what you do.
Not everyone is in the business of making money by the way. I'm not
anywhere near claiming VC firms are successful. Obviously they are
(that's why they still operate). But surely a goal should not only be
money, but the physical starting of businesses, to create jobs, create
innovate things, help our *community*, and generally do good and
useful things in this world.
> Cheers,
>
> Nathan de Vries
>
> http://nathandevries.com
> http://www.atnan.com
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
[snip]
> Every person on this list should be making a pact to themselves that
> if they do hit a paydirt, they will give back to the community by
> putting some time and money into at least one local startup.
Pretty good idea.
I think a not-bad way of implement this in a formal fashion would be
to have a group/innovation society everyone could join (for some
benefit, such as "networking" or whatever else), and the cost to join
is a fee; which is then put into a fund, which is then loaned to a
"winning" startup, every 6 months or so.
If you had a yearly fee of just 500, you'd only need about 50 members
to make it worth-while (give away 10k each 6 months). Adjust as the
organisation grows; or adjust the fee, or potentially scale the fee to
allow larger corps to give more money.
The organisation would be run in a not-for-profit fashion.
Any thoughts?
>Thats why
> I think we so need an event that focuses on connecting angels and
> startups in this way. because it's all very well to say hit up family
> and friends for tens of thousands of dollars, but not everyone is in
> that position to be able to do that (I'll stop now before I get into
> my rant about how this country is going further and further down the
> path of locking people into class structures!)
>
> Phil Sim
> Chief Executive Officer,
> MediaConnect Australia Pty Ltd
> www.mediaconnect.com.au
> phi...@mediaconnect.com.au
> Ph: +61 2 9894 6277
> Fax: +61 2 8246 6383
> Mobile: 0413889940
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
If you had a yearly fee of just 500, you'd only need about 50 members
to make it worth-while (give away 10k each 6 months). Adjust as the
organisation grows; or adjust the fee, or potentially scale the fee to
allow larger corps to give more money.
Like it; I would want to tentatively make it so that the purchase-vote
comes in at a max sway; and also only counts for some certian
percentage of the vote, the board of the entity would decide the rest.
Phil, how does it sound? Elias, and others, who wants to get together
to discuss actually implementing this?
I'm thinking it could be taken to places like YEO and other existing
groups (but obviously it would be produced as a new entity;
specifically targeting innovation).
Pretty excited by this actually ...
Obviously setting out the policy of the thing would be important;
can't have people contributing only to get investment in their own
projects, etc. And I imagine a submission-style system to decide the
winner would be relevant; i.e. just a general pitch. Ideas at any
level, could be submitted, but only solid things would be invested
(and it would be an investment, not a gift) in.
> And whilst the selfish interests of the shareholders is satisfied
> with making a return, the by product is overnight, you've just created a
> dozen startups. That's got flow on effects I don't think we could imagine.
>
> Ticks all my boxes: Create jobs for the broader economy to lift us out of
> the recession + builds the startup ecosystem due to the buzz of it + uses
> small payments for many to fund (meaning easy to participate, easy to raise
> a round) = A radical proposal to change the industry.
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
Certainly there would be a board running it; and the membership would
only buy the "public" a certain % of the total vote allowance (say,
40%).
The board would decide the rest; typically decide the investment/award
prize path, and other such things.
A pricing model I have in mind is:
free: anyone can join, attend "free" events.
500+: buys a certain amount of shares and possibly some other
non-limited asset that gets them access to dinners/breakfasts and more
formalised meetings
So basically it's like starting an investment firm, but not for
profit, with strict policy guidelines.
> Another idea which naturally solves this, is having multiple funds. So
> whoever wants to take the risk of doing this taps into their networks to
> raise money (they become the lead venturer), and therefore have the
> authority to appoint their governance team as the coordinators are the
> common link.
I think a centralised fund (i.e. organisation) is better. If it's all
seperate, no individual (person or group) will care enough. It's hard
enough getting people to interoperate; groups of people is much much
harder. Specially in investing and decision-making.
> Raising money is the hard bit, but very doable - and creates a natural order
> of how things will run. This is better than having a centralised system
> because instead you have multiple "funds" talking together and pooling their
> efforts, having a net greater impact. So long as these funds have a common
> watering hole to mutually help each other, the net impact is the creation
> of an agile investment group that even if its fails, will shake things up.
>
> I'd be interested to talk about further once the idea has had some sharks
> attack it on this list. Might take a few months of planning, but it's a Big
> Idea that's worth it.
>
> Elias Bizannes
> http://liako.biz
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
Not really; the non-profit part only speaks to the fact that the
people involved - the board - aren't doing it for themselves only;
they're doing it for the companies themselves, and the members. Like a
industry super fund.
As I see it, the board would be filled with people who do other
things. Being involved in this organisation is only a side interest;
it's not a full time money-making scheme, it's a plan to help grow
businesses and the community in general.
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
this is the model i was thinking of (voluntary board) (i mis-used the
term when i said 'not-for-profit' possibly. but also, keep in mind
this is just one model that iw as thinking.
with an investment of $500 i typically wouldn't really expect anything
back. so i want there to be another reason to contribute the money
than a direct result to the members (in terms of profit from the
company). because payout period would be too long (6 months+ to earn
back that 500?) many other problems. it also implies a limited
membership capacity, or it forces a larger amount to be given out so
that everyones money gets "used".
> - non-profit: you have a membership, and a board of directors making
> executive decisions on their behalf. All profits get retained by the
> organisation for reinvestment. Dividends cannot be paid out to anyone. Board
> gets a management fee for their services or do it voluntarily.
>
> Now the problem with the non-profit model isn't the board: it's the members.
> As you can see above, it makes little difference what structure it is, but
> it matters if you are a shareholder because you don't get the option to get
> a return. Where's the incentive for them to give money?
Indeed. As discussed above, I mis-spoke.
> If you are going to tell someone to give you $500 a year to invest in
> companies so that other people can get rich, you are going to have trouble
> fund raising. But if you tell them to invest $500, with a 10% chance they
> will make a million dollars (ie, $100k when applying probability theory),
> that's a great motivator.
maybe, i think the main reasons to join are:
1) access to events
2) something else
3) potential money-back
> Captitalism kicks arse if you can tame it, to have aligned goals that also
> happen to create community good (like what's happening with climate change
> initiatives). Human's ultimately are selfish: better to rely on the cynical
> view of how people act rather than the hopeful view. When you expect the
> worst, you at least can get pleasantly surprised.
>
> Elias Bizannes
> http://liako.biz
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
MegaMobile - http://www.mega.org.au/
I think it's free, it offers a fully-mentored program to the members.
But it's a nice effort to help projects, basically for free.
EO - http://www.eonetwork.org/
I don't know much about it, but a few people I know are members, I
think it's not free, but there are events and general networking,
probably other things.
The vision I have for this group is to sit somewhere between them; to
be a group that helps develop innovative companies via a competitive
loan every month, rewards its members with "things" (as yet to be
decided, networking doesn't seem enough), helps them learn (if they
want) via programs, and is done in a volunteer fashion by people from
the community.
The main goal of the organisation, as I see it, isn't strictly to make
direct money for the people paying the membership fee. If you want to
do that, it seems that just setting up a typical investment firm and
(as someone else said) publishing a prospectus and going for it is the
way to go.
The main goal should be the development of new and innovative
companies within our community. This will help the community
generally. When the loan to the group is paid back, something could be
done with it, like a party, or similar.
--
silky
I was at a dinner last night (prior to a somewhat disappointing Top Gear Live) and spoke to a few traditional business types. I was surprised at the level of interest they had with startups. One guy in particular stated that he and some of his colleagues, had been thinking about investing in tech but was not sure who, what, where, and when to invest.
Totally agree. I see this all the time.
While EO is a fine legitimate operation; I was just highlighting it's
existence and the fact that it's *different* to what I was proposing.
I'm not suggesting an "investment club", as I hope can be seen. EO
and any other organisations and the one I am proposing can live in
harmony together ...
--
silky
Legitimate advice but nothing to do with the topic at hand - creating
a group to help fund people that *do* deserve it. Nobody wants to fund
people that don't.
Later tonight I'm going to work on the policy/structure that I have in
mind (just documenting it properly) I'll post it back here. Maybe
people like it, maybe they dont, but that's what I'm going to try and
push and I'll see where it gets me.
> If there is anyone that could do the
> legal/financial legwork to get up a structure that would work then I
> would be happy to use our upcoming media conference (feb 22 to 24) to
> launch this idea and get the publicity rolling and then to basically
> take the lead in marketing the organisation. Someone who would put
> some time into project managing it, would be useful as well...
>
> I sincerely think this would make a massive difference to our startup
> environment and provide a true path from seed through to VC funding.
>
> Phil Sim
> Chief Executive Officer,
> MediaConnect Australia Pty Ltd
> www.mediaconnect.com.au
> phi...@mediaconnect.com.au
> Ph: +61 2 9894 6277
> Fax: +61 2 8246 6383Mobile: 0413889940
--
noon silky
http://www.boxofgoodfeelings.com/
I’d think separating rounds could make things a bit messy, particularly if there are companies who, say funded 12 months apart, turn out to be competitive..
Still, making the investing in a round separate from the shareholding of being involved (i.e., shareholding in incubator is separate to investing in a round) could make the “swimsuit section” section of the 6 monthly pitching and funding process interesting, i.e., you’d have 10x finalists, and even if only 5x investors really liked one, they could choose to drop $1K on just that one pitch.
Or, are we now just facilitating normal angel processes (or perhaps making them a lot more complicated)? Is one in, all in, with a 6 monthly capital raising as a requirement of being a shareholder/unit holder/member’s agreement more conducive to the network stuff?
I still think the concept is worth preserving with – I’ve come across a lot of people who want to get involved in the scene, are prepared to invest something, and will feel more motivated and excited about their involvement if they’re something at stake.
I'm feeling the same, I think this discussion is drifting towards a
miniature version of that model, with all of the pros and cons it
entails. At the same point in time, I think adding contrived
membership "benefits" distracts from the core of the idea, which is to
get a sufficient amount of cash to somewhere where it can have some
utility. If we go back to the example of kiva.org, people do it for
the sake of loaning the money to someone who has more use for it at
that time, not to become members of their website.
I think this needs to work somewhat like a distributed "FFF"
fundraising, which means low cost of investment, ($500 is probably as
low as you want to go), with an equally low expectation on return. If
people want to put more in so they feel like they've got some real
skin in the game, then fine, allow multiple units to be bought up to a
sensible limit. A lot more people (particularly those of us with
families) can justify a $500 annual gamble, but $2k and upwards on a
speculative investment would be difficult to get "approved" ;-)
I think it should also be a per-year thing, spread the risk and the
return amongst those who put their money up for a particular "round"
but don't let them be diluted by someone who comes in late to the
game. This would probably also simplify the administration of things
as you'd have fund A, B, C and people could be in/out of a particular
round as they so desired without affecting the value of their previous
investment. Managing a rotating list of members and how they
enter/exit sounds too complicated for the amounts we're talking about.
But hey, we have 490 members on this list, shouldn't be hard to come
up with 490 different ways this could work, seems we're already
heading that way! :-)
Couldn't agree more. We should not be trying to recreate Silicon
Valley in Australia- we should be trying to make something better.
We're supposed to be innovators! Silicon Valley has been done. If you
really want that culture, you can go there. Personally, the idea of
building to flip makes me want to flip off a building. Here in Aus I
think we have a great opportunity to do something new. So lets get in
as many rooms in as many places as possible and make it happen. I'll
do my part- If anyone wants to meet up in Melbourne's far eastern
suburbs (Montrose), my old man and I will throw a shindig. Is anyone
even out this way?
Casey Butler
CEO, Shopfront.com
0412375740
Twitter: @caseybutler
Silicon Beach Startup Syndicate
50 shares @ $500 = $25,000
Invested in 1 startup
We invite any startup to apply
We have a meetup to let a shortlist present
We select a startup
We set up a mail group/blog/facebook group whatever to keep everyone
in touch with progress and to provide feedback/mentoring to the
startup
Within the community/syndicate we organise some free/cheap services
like hosting/design/marketing/etc to further assist the startup
We have quarterly meetups to hear progress from startup, network and
have a few drinks
I think a lot of us tend to think too big. Realistically to get
something off the ground we need to start small and take a first step.
So lets start with one startup, keep the number of investors under 50
to overcome that ASIC rule. And we should almost just about get 50 off
the list + direct contacts. Pretty much, all we need is someone to
agree to contribute the legals/finance aspect and I can't see any
reason we can't push this ahead pretty quickly.
What do you's reckon?
Mike Casey Director Level 5, 95 Pitt Street Sydney New South Wales 2000 P: +61 2 8005 0266 M: +61 4 4997 6059 |