On 08/04/2012 16:04, Bill wrote:
> In article<jls6jj$4e1$
1...@dont-email.me>,
paul....@gmail.com says...
>> Given that non-state actors are now using anti-ship missiles, and the
>> scary supersonic sea-skimming weapons that the 45s were designed to
>> counter are proliferating to countries like Syria and Algeria, there's
>> definitely a threat.
>
> The only 'non state actors' I can think of who have them (Lebanese
> Hizbollah and Hamas) and only just 'none state'.
There are a few others in the "possible" to "likely" bracket, though
again there's a blurring of whether they're national entities or not.
Point remains, these beasties are out there, and unlike the days of
massively proliferated Styxalikes they're actually quite a serious risk:
making a Styx usable needed some seriously nasty chemicals in quantity
(hundreds of gallons of red fuming nitric acid isn't something you buy
over-the-counter) whereas the currently widespread weapons are simpler,
solid-fuelled, and pretty much maintenance free.
>> Bluntly, if the PM decides to do a noncombatant evacuation from Syria,
>> and the Syrians say "try it and we'll fire on you", is the answer "okay,
>> forget it then, we'll stay home" or "please don't waste your ammunition?"
>
> The chances of us pulling some sort of opposed evacuation from Syria
> without there being blood on the carpet is exactly zero.
>
> And when did Cyprus sink?
You won't keep missiles out of ships with aircraft. Given the track
record of finding and destroying (much larger, more distinctive)
Scud-type weapons from the air, you won't even take them out pre-launch.
Something like Type 45 or an AEGIS ship becomes a "go/no go" decision
for an operation of that ilk.
>> The problem is there are lots of missions, from real ones (NEOs in the
>> Middle East, chasing pirates, protecting oil platforms in the Gulf) many
>> of which could be done with fairly inexpensive OPVs, to occasional
>> oddballs like Libya, to credible risks of "...and now Iran is
>> retaliating against US and UK shipping throughout the Gulf" that need a
>> pretty top-end capability, and the politicians want us to do them *all*
>> as required, which means a very wide spread of requirements.
>
> |Except that fully worked up and equipped with a reasonable aircraft
> they'll still be a sight less force than the US Navy has deployed in the
> Gulf right now, and if we weren't in this with the US we probably
> wouldn't be there.
>
> Think 'What would Harold Wilson have done' rather than 'What would Tony
> Blair have done'.
Valid, but we're where our elected lords and masters put us, and whining
about the hole doesn't help you out of it. (Any more than the annoyingly
frequent habit of trying to dig deeper does).
Sometimes a politician says something on the lines of "we need fewer
foreign interventions", and has *almost* come to the end of the sentence
before finding somewhere like Libya to add to the list of operational
taskings. Unfortunately, that somehow doesn't stop them cutting the
defence budget in line with the reductions they didn't make...
>> Add into that the "must be built in Britain" and "must be customised to
>> unique UK requirements" vote-buyers - I mean, cost drivers - and you get
>> a hell of a mess, even before you add "...and must subsidise this
>> Europrogramme whether it's the best answer or not", and "we're demanding
>> this capability but won't actually fund it".
>
> Except the new RFA's aren't being built in the UK, which, be honest,
> changes a lot of things.
That was really, unexpectedly good news. Four ships, built in line with
the MARS specifications, and the Koreans have a good reputation for
delivering decent ships on time and cost. Is it a stopped clock being
right twice a day, or a sign of improvement?
>> Again, if we just needed to bash Backfires we'd have stuck with Tornado
>> F.3, it was designed for that job. Typhoon's designed to beat Flankers
>> and the like, which - again - are proliferating into the oddest places;
>> and then, having won air superiority, drop bombs on the locals. (Yes,
>> the ground-attack capability is delayed - political choices again, it's
>> been a comedy of errors)
>
> The whole Eurofighter thing has been a tragedy.
One of several.
>> The A-10's an awkward hybrid of fast jet and attack helicopter, with
>> drawbacks from both and not many of the advantages.
>
> So you build something that is more 'Buccaneer' or 'Jaguar' like.
>
> Both had outstanding records.
The Jaguar's an interesting case - it was considered a robust, reliable
and austere aircraft and so in Granby it was sent out to one of the
satellite fields (can't remember where exactly, offhand) where the
locals also flew Jag Internationals. However, its utility was seriously
limited by its lack of equipment: to be inexpensive it lacked a capable
radar warning receiver (it had a "Simon Says" game. with four red lights
in a quadrant to indicate which 90-degree sector had a potentially
hostile emitter: usually switched off because they just all came on all
the time), no chaff or flares, no ECM, no targetting systems beyond a
LRMTS, and no self-defence capability except for its internal cannon.
It got a mad rush of Granby jobs - overwing Sidewinders, PHIMAT
chaff/flare pod, ALQ-101 jammer pod, modern RWR, decent navigation
system replacing the 1960s moving-map display - and became rather useful
in that campaign, and post-Granby it got a rather good integration of
TIALD pod and helmet sight and a modern comms suite: but by that point
it was overweight and seriously limited on available payload (the joke
sign at their base asked pilots not to use reheat while taxying), and
very definitely no longer inexpensive.
I really liked the Jaguar, but it wouldn't have done well in a 1980s
Central Front conflict: like quite a few systems of its era, there was a
definite shopfront aspect.
As for the Buccaneer... don't forget, that was a peer to the A-6
Intruder. Complex, expensive avionics for its day, and a very
sophisticated airframe with some clever boundary layer control (novel
back then) which was one reason it stayed in service and was so
successful for so long. Perhaps that's a lesson?
--
He thinks too much, such men are dangerous.