Warming Believer Blown Away By Evidence
ZB0N0
climate models!!!!
July 23, 2008
Another Al Gore scare turns out to be as baseless as so many others:
In Al Gore's Nobel-winning movie An Inconvenient Truth, hurricanes
became symbols of the danger of global warming.
Kerry Emanuel, an MIT professor of atmospheric science, was named by
Time magazine in 2006 as one of "100 people who shape our world." The
reason? Just before Hurricane Katrina smashed into New Orleans in 2005,
he published a scientific paper in the journal Nature saying ... that
hurricane power had increased, probably because of man-made global
warming.
"While many researchers had been predicting an explosion of more
powerful storms, Emanuel, 51, offered evidence that it was actually
happening," Time wrote.
To test the theory, Emanuel and other scientists recently loaded tons of
data into computer models, hoping to learn how bad it could get if
global warming keeps pushing up sea temperatures.
The results were surprising: Hurricanes didn't increase dramatically in
the projections, even after decades of simulated global warming.
Emanuel was not disappointed that the research seemed to undercut his
old results. "One gets used to being mistaken..."
But the retraction is never given the publicity that the scare got. And
Al Gore will never reissue An Inconvenient Truth with the scaremongering
over hurricanes - and especially Hurricane Katrina - cut out.
BTW we should always add a disclaimer whenever climate models are
mentioned !!!!
Disclaimer
The projections are based on results from computer models that involve
simplifications of real physical processes that are not fully
understood.
Accordingly, no responsibility will be accepted by CSIRO for the
accuracy of
the projections inferred from this brochure or for any person's
interpretations, deductions, conclusions or actions in reliance on this
information.
And further:
Climate model responses are most uncertain in how they represent
feedback
effects, particularly those dealing with changes to cloud regimes,
biological effects and ocean-atmosphere interactions. The coarse spatial
resolution of climate models also remains a limitation on their ability
to
simulate the details of regional climate change. Future climate change
will
also be influenced by other, largely unpredictable, factors such as
changes
in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions and chaotic variations within the
climate system itself. Rapid climate change, or a step-like climate
response
to the enhanced greenhouse effect, is possible but its likelihood cannot
be
defined. Because changes outside the ranges given here cannot be ruled
out,
these projections should be considered with caution.
Warmest Regards
Bonzo
: "They don't tell you, that, in their computer models, it's assumed
that CO2 drives global warming. In other words, you assume the result
and say the computer model proves we were right. It's garbage in,
garbage out. If you don't program the computers to cause temperatures to
rise with CO2, then you have nothing." Dr. Don J. Easterbrook, Professor
Emeritus Geology, Western Washington University
V for Vendicar
"ZB0N0" <ZB...@w00w00.com> wrote
> Kerry Emanuel, an MIT professor of atmospheric science, was named by
> Time magazine in 2006 as one of "100 people who shape our world." The
> reason? Just before Hurricane Katrina smashed into New Orleans in 2005,
> he published a scientific paper in the journal Nature saying ... that
> hurricane power had increased, probably because of man-made global
> warming.
So YOU admit that you were LYING when you claimed that Gore was a LIAR for
reporting what the Scientific community was telling him.
Yes. Bonzo..
YOU ARE A Congenital LIAR, and we all know it.