> > Not many large ones on here since the Celebes quake:
I really ought to pay more attention to that site.
(If anyone wants to check my findings, the charts go back nearly 4
weeks. I dare say the same chart is available on US archives and may
go back to the time they started making them. I have no idea what to
look for though.)
> Lots of not very large earthquakes for a day or two means a large
> earthquake and a tropical storm.
> (That I do know!)
>
> Other signs are when the weather finally rights itself to the demands
> of the lunar phase and yet the meteorological models run on those
> superduperconstupers can't seem to get their act together.
Only 12 Quakes of 6 or over in the last 30 days.
I wish I could claim the last big one but I wasn't even looking
30th. Oct 6.2 M. @ 02:49 188km S of Masset, Canada
28th. Oct 6.3 M. @ 18:54 159km SSW of Masset, Canada
28th. Oct 7.7 M. @ 03:04 139km S of Masset, Canada
24th. Oct 6.5 M. @ 00:45 13km ENE of Hojancha, Costa Rica
23rd. Oct 6 M. @ 09:39 39km WNW of Ile Hunter, New Caledonia
20th. Oct 6.2 M. @ 23:00 112km WNW of Sola, Vanuatu
17th. Oct 6 M. @ 04:42 166km SW of Sarangani, Philippines
12th. Oct 6.6 M. @ 00:31 98km NNW of Dobo, Indonesia
9th. Oct 6.6 M. @ 12:32 Balleny Islands region
8th. Oct 6.1 M. @ 11:43 112km SSE of Saparua, Indonesia
1st. Oct 6.1 M. @ 22:21 100km ENE of Miyako, Japan
30th. Sept 7.3 M. @ 16:31 11km WNW of San Agustin, Colombia
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/#data: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
That site holds 30 days data with a massive range available. Anything
less than 4 is almost undetectable internationally. (It might make it
to some of the machines but will probably be ignored unless local.)
On Oct 22, 7:08 am, Weatherlawyer <
weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:
> I just poked my head out the front door.
> There is a storm brewing:
> No fog.
> No cold.
> No more nice weather after today for a spell.
That annoying High was inexplicable though.
I really got that wrong about there being no tropical storms with a
sea level anticyclone.
OTOH it is an unusual storm.
Not a lot of use there, that.
I'll get the charts organised and a link posted shortly.
> quite a few Mag 5's but not particularly stormy until the two quake
> series showing at 80 and 140 east
On the BOM Antarctic charts:
>
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=UTC&area=SH&model=G&chartSubmit=Refresh+View
(Very interesting at the moment by the way if anyone wants to know
more check out the earthquake group on the cross post.)
> It looks like it will be a TD on Tuesdays then a ...
> Then what I may be mistaking for a bunch of not very powerful tropical
> storms. Maybe several TDs?
>
> What is happening on Friday afternoon I wonder?
> It will get explosive after then.
So I got that bit right~ish.
And...
Friday was the 26th, so 2 days notice (going on 6 if you count the
above.)
Sandy doesn't look all that impressive going by the satellite images:
>
http://www.woksat.info/etcuj29/uj29-1419-a-apt-x.html
Granted, a small island whose buildings reach into the clouds could
suffer terribly due to about 10 or 20 parts per million more molecules
of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than they were expecting when they
built them....
Here's what really happened (without the quintessential Uestani hype)
Date: 22-29 OCT 2012
Hurricane-2 SANDY
Advisory number Latitude Longitude Time Knots Pressure Category
1 13.50 -78.00 10/22/15Z 25 1003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1A 13.50 -78.50 10/22/18Z 25 1003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION
2 12.50 -78.50 10/22/21Z 35 999 TROPICAL STORM
2A 12.70 -78.70 10/23/00Z 40 998 TROPICAL STORM
3 12.70 -78.60 10/23/03Z 40 998 TROPICAL STORM
3A 12.90 -78.70 10/23/06Z 40 998 TROPICAL STORM
4 13.30 -78.60 10/23/09Z 40 998 TROPICAL STORM
4A 13.40 -77.90 10/23/12Z 40 997 TROPICAL STORM
5 13.80 -77.80 10/23/15Z 45 993 TROPICAL STORM
5A 14.10 -77.60 10/23/18Z 45 993 TROPICAL STORM
6 14.30 -77.60 10/23/21Z 45 993 TROPICAL STORM
6A 14.80 -77.50 10/24/00Z 45 993 TROPICAL STORM
7 15.20 -77.20 10/24/03Z 50 989 TROPICAL STORM
7A 15.70 -77.10 10/24/06Z 55 988 TROPICAL STORM
8 16.30 -77.00 10/24/09Z 60 986 TROPICAL STORM
8A 16.60 -76.90 10/24/12Z 60 983 TROPICAL STORM
9 17.10 -76.70 10/24/15Z 70 973 HURRICANE-1
9A 17.60 -76.80 10/24/18Z 70 973 HURRICANE-1
10 18.30 -76.60 10/24/21Z 70 970 HURRICANE-1
10A 18.70 -76.40 10/25/00Z 75 968 HURRICANE-1
11 19.40 -76.30 10/25/03Z 80 954 HURRICANE-1
11A 20.10 -75.90 10/25/06Z 95 957 HURRICANE-2
12 20.90 -75.80 10/25/09Z 90 960 HURRICANE-2
12A 21.60 -75.50 10/25/12Z 90 967 HURRICANE-2
13 22.40 -75.50 10/25/15Z 90 964 HURRICANE-2
13A 23.50 -75.40 10/25/18Z 90 963 HURRICANE-2
14 24.50 -75.60 10/25/21Z 90 963 HURRICANE-2
14A 24.80 -75.80 10/26/00Z 85 965 HURRICANE-2
15 25.30 -76.10 10/26/03Z 80 968 HURRICANE-1
15A 25.80 -76.50 10/26/06Z 75 968 HURRICANE-1
16 26.30 -76.90 10/26/09Z 70 968 HURRICANE-1
16A 26.40 -76.90 10/26/12Z 70 970 HURRICANE-1
17 26.70 -76.90 10/26/15Z 70 970 HURRICANE-1
17A 27.10 -77.10 10/26/18Z 65 971 HURRICANE-1
18 27.30 -77.10 10/26/21Z 65 971 HURRICANE-1
18A 27.50 -77.20 10/27/00Z 65 970 HURRICANE-1
19 27.70 -77.10 10/27/03Z 65 969 HURRICANE-1
19A 28.10 -76.90 10/27/06Z 65 969 HURRICANE-1
20 28.60 -76.70 10/27/09Z 60 969 TROPICAL STORM <<<This was
interesting.>
20A 28.80 -76.80 10/27/12Z 65 960 HURRICANE-1
21 29.00 -76.00 10/27/15Z 65 958 HURRICANE-1
21A 29.70 -75.60 10/27/18Z 65 961 HURRICANE-1
22 30.20 -75.20 10/27/21Z 65 961 HURRICANE-1
22A 30.50 -74.70 10/28/00Z 65 961 HURRICANE-1
23 30.90 -74.30 10/28/03Z 65 960 HURRICANE-1
23A 31.50 -73.70 10/28/06Z 65 960 HURRICANE-1
24 31.90 -73.30 10/28/09Z 65 960 HURRICANE-1
24A 32.10 -73.10 10/28/12Z 65 951 HURRICANE-1
25 32.50 -72.60 10/28/15Z 65 951 HURRICANE-1
25A 32.80 -71.90 10/28/18Z 65 951 HURRICANE-1
26 33.40 -71.30 10/28/21Z 65 952 HURRICANE-1
26A 34.00 -70.90 10/29/00Z 65 950 HURRICANE-1
27 34.50 -70.50 10/29/03Z 65 950 HURRICANE-1
27A 35.20 -70.50 10/29/06Z 65 950 HURRICANE-1
28 35.90 -70.50 10/29/09Z 75 946 HURRICANE-1
28A 36.80 -71.10 10/29/12Z 75 946 HURRICANE-1
29 37.50 -71.50 10/29/15Z 80 943 HURRICANE-1
29A 38.30 -73.10 10/29/18Z 80 940 HURRICANE-1
30 38.80 -74.40 10/29/21Z 80 940 HURRICANE-1
>
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/2012/SANDY/track.dat
With these forecasts at the time of writing:
+12 39.80 -76.60 10/30/06Z 65 - HURRICANE-1
+24 40.40 -78.30 10/30/18Z 50 - TROPICAL STORM
+36 41.30 -78.20 10/31/06Z 40 - TROPICAL STORM
+48 42.80 -77.50 10/31/18Z 30 - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
+72 45.10 -75.50 11/01/18Z 30 - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
+96 46.30 -72.20 11/02/18Z 25 - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
+120 47.50 -65.50 11/03/18Z 20 - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
It's unthinkable the original Bounty would have been lost in a mere
Cat 1 in the middle of the ocean of all places. We just don't grow the
sailors, or make the sailers that we used to.
Maybe I am being a little ungenerous, they didn't have William Bligh
and they did manage to hold the fort through some 95 knot stuff for a
few days.
"For long voyages, it took on volunteer crew, those volunteers are
adventure seekers who treat the trip as a holiday. On 29 October 2012,
sixteen members of the Bounty abandoned ship off the coast of North
Carolina after getting caught in the high seas brought on by Hurricane
Sandy."
>
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HMS_Bounty
No apologies for posting to the group sci.military.naval -even though
most of the regulars there would have been turned into men PDQ had we
the resources available to the RN in the good old days.
(Some of them probably think it is called sci.military.navel, the
morons.)