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7 to 13 November 2nd Quarter at: 00:36

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Weatherlawyer

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Nov 7, 2012, 4:02:50 PM11/7/12
to
7 to 13 November 2nd Quarter at: 00:36. Spells with a time of phase at
12 or 6 o'clock generally have cool low overcast in them for most of
the week in Britain.

However I presume there is a tropical storm building. I fact there
looks to be a series generated according to the North Atlantic from T
+48 at the time of writing. (Which thanks to British Management
actually means Midnight Friday 9 November 2012.)

I don't know what that crap over Northern Norway is playing at but the
series of small fast flying Lows out of Newfoundland big-up at
Iceland.

Which is good weather for some of us.

At T+72 it starts to break up between Iceland and Scotland -while at
Newfoundland, another Low gets ready to take it on.

There is a large set of fronts on that chart that look like they are
zigzagging to Chile. When they do that it is usually as occluded
fronts with lots of pink mice on them.

Not today it isn't. We'll see.

Note also the parallel fronts on that last pair of charts on today's
page.

> http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.html

The Antarctic charts:

Today's run shows a series of three major quake /storm conurbations.
Let me take you through them.

At T + 12 (mid day Wednesday the 7th, (I am using the UTC time-zone))
there is a large, well formed Low at 100 east. It is actually on the
Antarctic shoreline -which is not what I am used to but it is summer
there now so the sea ice is much less.

The disc in it isn't that black. But again, I am not sure if that is
due to the different temperatures and topography or just the fact
there was a large earthquake in the system. Come back in March and I
will tell you.

By Thursday, the storm at 140 west is as large as the anticyclone
below it. Its centre is less well defined, so it may two or three
storms in the same basin or maybe one with two tracks (the sort of
thing only discernible by satellite.)

On Sunday, t 20 west, the third large system shows up and it remains
at that latitude and longitude for the rest of the run.

Several dark discs of precipitation show up in these things but I am
no longer so sure they are directly related to earthquakes.

Through all of this a series of Anticyclones have crossed Australia.
To my delight they have all been as ridges hugging the coast but
definitely on land. (The ones crossing oceans via America and Africa
all stay in the sea.)

This should confuse those on uk.sci.weather who insist that ridges and
troughs run to their opposites and fill or decline.

I have always seen the opposite is true and that likes attract while
unlikes repel. Ridges track to anticyclones and do so from west to
east.

(At least in the Southern Hemisphere it does. I can't say I have ever
paid it that much attention until I decided to write about
elongations.)

Weatherlawyer

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Nov 8, 2012, 5:14:53 PM11/8/12
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On Nov 7, 9:02 pm, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> The disc in it isn't that black. But again, I am not sure if that is
> due to the different temperatures and topography or just the fact
> there was a large earthquake in the system.
>
> Come back in March and I will tell you.

The anticyclones in the southern hemisphere suddenly became more
motile. All the continents are showing a rapid discharge of their
anticyclones from the eastern seaboard to the western ones.

The result is that there are going to be less black discs of
precipitation showing. What was I expecting in summer?

It began last week or even the week before, with the whole system
showing massive elongations. Little did I know so little I did know.

Weatherlawyer

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Nov 10, 2012, 4:54:53 AM11/10/12
to
I don't know how often there are large cycnoes in the Atlantic
Approaches without a tropical storm anywhere but this week's spell is
one of them.

These are the "official" seasons for the tropical ones -by ocean
basin:

Tropical cyclone seasons. Basin. Season start. Season end.

North-west Pacific. April. January.

North-east & Central Pacific. May. November.

North Atlantic. June. November.

North Indian. April. December.

Australia & South-west Pacific. November. April.

South Indian. November. April.

http://tropicalcyclones.blogspot.co.uk/p/tropical-cyclone-seasons.html

November features prominently but that has not been explained as far
as I know.

Quote from the Little Shop of Physics under the heading of Theory (In
science the word "theory" means "catch 'em young and teach 'em wrong
and they'll be dumb their whole life long.)

It is very warm along and around the equator, a region we call the
tropics, since the sun shines so directly there throughout the year.

[This in itself is quite correct half the time. Not like summer at the
Poles where it is true all the time. Where is goes wrong is in the
amount of albedo the tropics has.]

As you know, when air is heated, it expands becoming less dense and
more buoyant, that is, it becomes very light and wants to float.

Since pressure in the atmosphere decreases as you go up, the rising
warm bubble of air expands adiabatically, doing work to push away
surrounding air and therefore cooling as it rises and leaving a void
of low pressure behind.

As the rising air cools, the water vapour in it also cools and then
condenses into cloud droplets, which eventually collide with one
another, coalescing to form bigger and bigger droplets until the
droplets get so big that they fall out of the cloud as rain.

Since it is always so warm in the tropics, this kind of rising motion
that forms rain is going on all the time, supplying water to the
rainforests."

This is where I stopped reading as it was tying me up in knots. How
much more so the desperately simple minds of puddings whose only claim
to fame is that they can fill out forms correctly?

First of all the rain isn't warm when it deliquesces. The tropopause
in the tropics is higher than anywhere else. And the water at the top
of it is super-cool.

Furthermore it is this super-cool water that is reflecting sunlight
back into space.

My point being that the premise about the ITCZ is based on fallacy.
Were we to teach future meteorologists facts not fancies, would they
find themselves other jobs or go on to become visionaries instead of
hacks?




Weatherlawyer

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Nov 10, 2012, 7:27:39 AM11/10/12
to
I wonder how a Dutch company named after the ITCZ managed to get a a
better search rating in Google than all the pages on the earth about
the earth?

Do you suppose there are so many Dutch speaking children doing
pharmaceutical research that they outnumber the English speaking
children doing geography?

More to the point:
Is the incidence of large earthquakes anything to do with the
international tropical convergence zone?

Find out now and tell me at:

> http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/blog/2012/11/10/the-international-tropical-conversion-zone?cid=99365092#comment99365092
please.

Weatherlawyer

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Nov 17, 2012, 6:09:07 AM11/17/12
to
On Nov 7, 9:02 pm, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:
> 7 to 13 November 2nd Quarter at: 00:36. Spells with a time of phase at
> 12 or 6 o'clock generally have cool low overcast in them for most of
> the week in Britain.
>
> I don't know what that crap over Northern Norway is playing at but the
> series of small fast flying Lows out of Newfoundland big-up at
> Iceland.
>
> Which is good weather for some of us.

JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION:

2.1 M. 2012-11-10 22:03 71.11 N 8.3 W

2.6 M. 2012-11-08 06:11 71.43 N 9.52 W

2.7 M. 2012-11-07 03:25 71.02 N 7.11 W

2.1 M. 2012-11-04 14:25 71.25 N 8.85 W

2.6 M. 2012-11-04 05:38 70.98 N 6.85 W

2.6 M. 2012-11-03 18:16 70.4 N 7.96 W

> http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/Map/zoom.php?key=68&typ=euro#5

I think these should match any Lows off Norway on the appropriate
charts. (If I was sensible, I'd look before I post but...)

data...@yahoo.com

unread,
Nov 17, 2012, 8:08:10 AM11/17/12
to
tropical weather is exciting esp if you spend your time outside not in the AC.

Columnar thunderstorms at twilight going up river like rows of flourescent lights standing 5000' zapping bolts down thru the centers.

Roaring hurricanes

blasting squalls off Tampa/Biscayne bay

Waterspouts slamming the fishing area.

The endless technicolor mornings of youth every day on the east coast

Glorious summer thunderstorms at dawn glowing pink blue red with rainbows off the rising sun floating in from the Atlantic across the highway to Key West

the breeze freshens with ions swept from the sea

the great sky blueness of Ocala National Fores's sand ridge.

the Hollywood Sea off St George Island

WTH yawl doin in England FCS ?

data...@yahoo.com

unread,
Nov 17, 2012, 8:49:10 AM11/17/12
to
one fascinating observation here is: where did the water vapor go ? Nothing l;ike a growing hurrican 1500 miles south to clear the air.

Off to England !.

data...@yahoo.com

unread,
Nov 17, 2012, 7:15:25 PM11/17/12
to
On Saturday, November 17, 2012 8:49:10 AM UTC-5, data...@yahoo.com wrote:
> one fascinating observation here is: where did the water vapor go ? Nothing l;ike a growing hurrican 1500 miles south to clear the air.
>
>
>
> Off to England !.

>>>>

amazing...garbage picked the dumpster then was dumped in two french doors.

>>>>>>>

andlettucesnot ferget FORT PICKENS former Geronimo condo where cold air stream over warm gulf at sunrise oooooooohhhhhhh incroyable !
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