21st to 29th April 2012 @ 07:18

[Weatherlawyer]

This is a wet spell for Britain, not at all like last week which was
another one of those anticyclonic ones:
13th April @ 10:50
> http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phase2001gmt.html

However on the:
> http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.html
run.

We still have to deal with the residue of last weeks events which look
to be seismic in nature until midnight tonight (00:00 Monday 22nd)
when a blocking high develops off North America.

And that will be interesting as it may develop into a serious outbreak
of tornadoes.

Things look very unstable on the Antarctic charts too:
> http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=UTC&area=SH&model=G&chartSubmit=Refresh+View

What is known in the trade as a steep learning curve.

So it's one for the books then.

[Weatherlawyer]

On Apr 22, 12:17 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw...@hotmail.com> wrote:
> This is a wet spell for Britain, not at all like last week which was
> another one of those anticyclonic ones:
> 13th April @ 10:50
>
> >http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phase2001gmt.html
>
> However on the:>http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.html
>
> run.
>
> We still have to deal with the residue of last weeks events which look
> to be seismic in nature until midnight tonight (00:00 Monday 22nd)
> when a blocking high develops off North America.
>
> And that will be interesting as it may develop into a serious outbreak
> of tornadoes.
>
> Things look very unstable on the Antarctic charts too:
>

> >http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-p...

>
> What is known in the trade as a steep learning curve.
>
> So it's one for the books then.

The North Atlantic chart looks like it did last week with the
exception of a boat anchor swimming across and anchoring itself right
onj us with the same sort of Low that landed here last week.

So that's some increase in El Hierro as well as rain for us.

Plenty of small mice running aound it too.

OK. Now for the problem page:
> http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=UTC&area=SH&model=G&chartSubmit=Refresh+View

I think this is tornadic stuff for the same period, getting set up in
the same time frame as the Atlantic changes too, I think it will ease
up by Thursday but it seems bent on going around again.

I just don't know enough about the Antarctic charts to be certain.
But I'm getting there.
So is everything entering the proximity of the Antarctic coastline. It
all seems to gather in the same place:
150 to 80 degrees West.

[Weatherlawyer]

I have a feeling that what is required for a severe bout of tornadoes
in North America is a blocking High in the western North Atlantic.

By far the majority of such events in 2009 were of a variety I thought
was the only set up for these things. But with the season in full
spate this year, almost none of the North Atlantic set-ups have been
like 2009.
But there has been a similarity, a lot of western anticyclonicity.

I wonder what Mr Brooks would have made of all this if I hadn't scared
him away.

[Weatherlawyer]

On Apr 23, 9:10 am, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw...@hotmail.com> wrote:
>
> > On the:

> > http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.html run.
>
> > We still have to deal with the residue of last weeks events which look
> > to be seismic in nature until midnight tonight (00:00 Monday 22nd)
> > when a blocking high develops off North America.
>
> > And that will be interesting as it may develop into a serious outbreak
> > of tornadoes.

"Popocatépetl has begun a series of small eruptions. 'People in the
village of Xalitzintla said they were awakened by a window-rattling
series of eruptions. Mexico’s National Disaster Prevention Center said
one string of eruptions ended in the early morning, then the volcano
started up again at 5:05 a.m., with at least 12 eruptions in two
hours.' More than 30 million people live within sight of the volcano."

> > http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-p...
>
> > What is known in the trade as a steep learning curve.
>
> > So it's one for the books then.
>
> The North Atlantic chart looks like it did last week with the
> exception of a boat anchor swimming across and anchoring itself right <<<<<<<

> on us with the same sort of Low that landed here last week.

>
> So that's some increase in El Hierro as well as rain for us.
>

> Plenty of small mice running around it too.

>
> OK. Now for the problem page:
>

> >http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-p...

>
> I think this is tornadic stuff for the same period, getting set up in
> the same time frame as the Atlantic changes too, I think it will ease
> up by Thursday but it seems bent on going around again.
>
> I just don't know enough about the Antarctic charts to be certain.
> But I'm getting there.
> So is everything entering the proximity of the Antarctic coastline. It
> all seems to gather in the same place:
> 150 to 80 degrees West.

There is nothing too serious on the NWS pages since:
> http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/120421_rpts.html

So it looks like it is all down to that volcano.
Well I was right about it being interesting.

[Weatherlawyer]

Wednesday's charts are full of woe
Thursday's fronts have far to go.
Friday's, I have not seen before.

Definitely volcanic in nature.

> http://science.slashdot.org/story/12/04/23/219225/volcano-near-mexico-city-becomes-more-active

[Weatherlawyer]

We ain't seen nothin yet:

> Friday's, I have not seen before.

But Saturday's will smash an High
And Sunday's ones they all but die.

It really is unusual stuff as far as I know.

[Weatherlawyer]

North Sulawesi’s Mount Lokon erupted at 10:20 a.m. on Tuesday, after
several days of increased activity, the National Disaster Mitigation
Agency (BNPB) has announced.

The height at which lava shot out of the volcano was unknown because
clouds were blocking the full view.

The agency declared areas within a 2.5 kilometers radius from the
mountain’s peak dangerous and urged nearby residents to stay alert.

There are no residential areas within that zone.

> http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2012/04/24/n-sulawesi-volcano-erupts.html

Etna, erupted for the seventh - and without doubt the most spectacular
- time this year today, spewing forth molten lava hundreds of metres
into the air.

Residents living close by were covered in hot ash but Europe's tallest
and most active volcano didn't seem to pose any threat to human
safety.

Local inhabitants of the Sicilian town of Catania were grateful that
Etna at least didn't close the local airport as it did last month,
preventing a visiting Serie A football team from leaving the island.

> http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2134501/Fingers-Etna-sends-stream-molten-lava-mountainside-erupting-seventh-time-year.html

MEXICO CITY—The towering Popocatépetl volcano outside Mexico City
rumbled loudly and spewed plumes of ash, water vapor and hot rocks
high into the sky on Friday, scaring nearby residents and putting
Mexican officials on alert.

Mexican President Felipe Calderón visited nearby communities and flew
close to the crater Friday morning, later calling on residents via his
Twitter account to prepare in case of a needed evacuation by keeping
at hand a battery-powered radio, flashlight, medicine and important
documents.

Experts say a massive eruption of the 17,886-foot (5,450-meter)
volcano is unlikely, but a buildup of a magma chamber under its slopes
may release clouds of thick ash that could blanket Mexico City and
cause havoc at its international airport.

"Popo," as the volcano is affectionately known in Mexico, came back to
life in 1994 after decades of relative quiet and regularly emits puffs
of ash and vapor.

> http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304331204577356370221537962.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Nothing yet from El Hierro, except:
NO more eruption webcam ! Too expensive says the local government.

> http://earthquake-report.com/2011/09/25/el-hierro-canary-islands-spain-volcanic-risk-alert-increased-to-yellow/

[Weatherlawyer]

Right on schedule the weather has cleared up here as if the North
Atlantic chart was designed to show the exact time of clearing.

Unfortunately for its next trick it is showing a tornado spell is
going to sweep through the US of Terrrrrrsm. Completing the hatrick on
here:
> http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/120425_rpts.html with a rash of pox over Maybeland or Redspot Island.

Don't say I didn't warn you.

And follow it up with another volcanic wannabe.

Which brings me to:
> http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=UTC&area=SH&model=G&chartSubmit=Refresh+View Look at that blow fly on Wednesday jsut off South Africa. That is not a good news sign.

I don't know what it IS but I know what it isn't.

Something similar is going on at 18 o'clock on, today, in the sector
west of the Peninsula between 100 and 120 degrees west.

There is going to be a couple of High fives or low sixes on two sides
of ther globe before Saturday. Or maybe I should say before Saturday
is long dead?
With something moving in like Munch's Scream by Monday.

All very exciting but I don't know what it can be. I can guess it is
another tornado spell if you like. The whole set up looks like a bunch
of ghoulies and ghosties and things that go bump in the night compared
to what I am used to with that chart, which isn't saying much unless
you happen to live in a region where things go bump in the night and
it isn't rain which is what usually does that where I live.

You have been warned!

I wonder what the people in the Met Office really make about people
like me and Piers Corbyn.
(And if you are one of those people and would like to know more,
please contact me because I think I know what is causing it. -Again.)

Have a nice day.

[Weatherlawyer]

So farthere is nothing on the list since:
2012/04/27 at 10:29
5.1 M. SULAWESI, INDONESIA
And we are at the end of this spell. It should be replaced by a
vulcanic one on the 29th April: 09:58.

There is an odd sweep up the western coast of the North Atlantic chart
by way of phreatic behaviour. It goes straight into the Arctic by way
of Iceland, taking with it a small anticyclone. I have to confess I
can't make head or tail of that chart this coming week.

Around Antarctica:

The system between 80 and 100 east flat-lines all throug the weekend.
Then it gets worse and spikes into the continent at 160 east Monday
night'#Tuesday morning.
What that means to the habitable parts of the planet, it will be
interesting. Probably tornadic stuff.

Meanwhile, west of the Peninsula/ South America a confluence of 4
separate Lows seem to bleed away to nothing only to be rplaced by a
situation that develops from the central Pacific later tonight (28
April 2012) becoming dangerous by Sunday morning and dissipating after
midnight.

Itr leaves a Low so large that the Anticyclone is displaced over South
America and enters the Atlantic, sending a ridge as far as the
continent between 40 and 20 west. No idea what will happen with that
ether but it is as unusual as I have seen down there.

It builds almost immediately as it clears the South American landmass.


So, we are in for an interesting weekend.

[Weatherlawyer]

2012/04/28 @ 10:08
6.7 M. TONGA.

There you go, nice to get one right occasionally.
That -18.6 S. 174.7 W. Region is pretty much the centre of the planet
if you look at a map of the ocean floors from Africa to America.

It appears layered like an onion. What a pity that geology has a
fixation about St. Weggener. But what could one expect from a science
based on getting bigger monkeys?

[Weatherlawyer]

Looks like the last one. The North Atlantic seems to be set up for
doubles and triples if not eruptions of volcanoes. And erupting
volcanoes. Similarly after the dark mass clears this afternoon, the
Antarctic looks to be setting up for many duplicate and triplicate
earthquakes.

The next spell is:
29 Apr to 6 May 2012 @ 09:58 Which is volcanic in nature.

[Weatherlawyer]

On Apr 24, 9:25 am, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw...@hotmail.com> wrote:
>
> > I have a feeling that what is required for a severe bout of tornadoes
> > in North America is a blocking High in the western North Atlantic.
>
> > By far the majority of such events in 2009 were of a variety I thought
> > was the only set up for these things. But with the season in full
> > spate this year, almost none of the North Atlantic set-ups have been
> > like 2009.
> > But there has been a similarity, a lot of western anticyclonicity.
>

> Definitely volcanic in nature.

Not.

Ah well:

"No Meteorological or climate models have been used in the production
of the following long range forecasts. They are all made on a number
of personal observations that also include: solar activity and
historical weather patterns from my own unique collective data.

This is why I am able to issue a forecast this far in advance without
being limited by what the models are indicating. These are the same
methods that have served me pretty well to date and will continue to
do so in the future over computer models.

This method of forecasting allows me to make a long term judgement on
the factors that I consider to be the most important, and what I also
consider to be the most reliable in the future for long term weather
forecasting.

Summer 2011 (issued by James Madden on 30th January 2011)

“Based on the factors I have covered, it would be adequate to suggest
below average temperatures in terms of how I calculate solar activity
into my forecasts.

“The UK will also begin to see the lag effect of the Gulf Stream shift
to couple this. “However, I also feel that the La Niña will largely
influence the UK summer, in terms of how it will affect the jet
stream.”

WARNING! “This could lead to torrential downpours and severe
flooding".

“So it looks like a summer of grey skies and damp weather, and it's
probably safe to say that there will be no BBQ summer again this
year.”

This quote appeared in the Sunday Sun article dated 10th April 2011
HERE

James Madden said:
“Judging by solar activity and the current ocean atmosphere across the
globe, the UK could see more rain and a dip in temperatures in June,
July and August.

He said:
"Based on the factors covered, the summer as a whole could
unfortunately be colder than average with above average rainfall.
"In my opinion, odds of a barbecue summer for this year are slim."

RESULT = Coldest UK summer in over two decades based on CET, largely
above average rainfall 18%, with torrential downpours and severe
flooding events in parts of the UK.

SUMMER 2011 COOLEST IN ALMOST TWO DECADES - SKY NEWS 31ST AUG 2011

HOW UNUSUAL WAS THE COOL SUMMER OF 2011? - 3RD SEPT 2011

FLASH FLOODS HIT YORKSHIRE AFTER TORRENTIAL RAIN - GUARDIAN 4TH AUG
2011

FLOODS IN PARTS OF NORTH-EAST ENGLAND AFTER HEAVY RAIN - BBC 7TH AUG
2011

FLOODS HIT BOURNEMOUTH AFTER TORRENTIAL RAIN - GUARDIAN 18TH AUG 2011

HOTTEST SUMMER EVER ON THE WAY - DAILY EXPRESS 21ST MAY 2011

Winter 2010/11 (issued by James Madden on 2nd September 2010)

“I am currently predicting that the UK and Northern Europe will
experience at the very least a winter similar to the last, or as I
expect much worse with heavy snowfall.

“This is my basis on the severity of the cold for this coming winter
due to the lag effect that comes with some of these processes, which
will in return drastically affect the summer and winter of the UK in
2011/12.”

RESULT = Coldest December in 100 years with widespread heavy snowfall.
The UK winter mean temperature was -1.3C below average + coldest UK
summer in over two decades for 2011. Winter 2011/12 is pending...

MET OFFICE DATA SUGGESTS MILD WINTER - DON'T FORGET LAST YEAR -
TELEGRAPH 28TH OCT 2010

COLDEST DECEMBER IN 100 YEARS - INDEPENDENT 6TH JAN 2011

VOLUNTARY FORECASTER PROVES MET OFFICE WRONG AGAIN - 8TH DEC 2010

Summer/Winter 2010 (issued by James Madden on 8th January 2010)

“The sun is the major driver of our climate and the lack of sunspots
is affecting this, and the warmth that we used to gain from the Gulf
Stream is not what it used to be. “Expect more cold winters and poor
summers over coming years”.

RESULT = Another poor summer that proved to be a washout in many
places, after a nice start to June + Coldest December in 100 years
with widespread heavy snowfall. The UK winter mean temperature was
-1.3C below average.

SUMMER OFFICIALLY A WASHOUT AS WIND AND RAIN SETS IN - DAILY MAIL 14TH
AUG 2010

WINTER TO BE MILD PREDICTS MET OFFICE - DAILY EXPRESS 28TH OCT 2010

HOTTEST SUMMER EVER FOR 2010 - DAILY MAIL 22ND MARCH 2010

Winter 2009/10 (issued by James Madden on 1st November 2009)

“I am also going to state that the Met Office is wrong about a mild
winter for 2009/10, and what is all this about a 1 in 7 chance of it
being cold?. “Forget that, it will be a cold winter for most of Europe
and the UK”

RESULT = Widespread heavy snowfall throughout December, January, and
February. The UK winter mean temperature was -2.0C below average.

BRITAIN WILL HAVE MILD WINTER IF YOU BELIEVE THE MET OFFICE - 30TH
SEPT 2009

BRITISH WINTER WAS THE COLDEST FOR 31 YEARS - THE GUARDIAN 2ND MARCH
2010

MET OFFICE RECEIVE £1.5M IN BONUSES DESPITE BUNGLED FORECASTS - 24TH
JUNE 2011

Summer 2009 (issued by James Madden on 22nd January 2009)

“I am therefore going to bravely stick my neck on the line again, and
say that the Met Office indications of a boiling hot summer is
incorrect”

RESULT = Another poor summer that proved to be a washout in many
places

ODDS ON FOR A BBQ SUMMER - MET OFFICE WEBSITE 2009

MET OFFICE REVISES 'BARBECUE' SUMMER FORECAST - TELEGRAPH 29TH JULY
2009

MET OFFICE RED FACED AS BBQ SUMMER TURNS WASHOUT - DAILY MAIL 30TH
JULY 2009"

> http://www.exactaweather.com/Accuracy.html

I have never seen this site before or heard of James Madden.
I have a feeling that the angles made among the planets is responsible
for solar activity. So it should be possible to forecast sunspots/lack
of sunspots many years in advance.

I don't think I will be trying to do that in the near future.
Unfortunately that is about all the future I've got.
But there are many astrologers looking at stuff like that. Pity they
speak Gyptian not English.