After the storm, the storm.

[Weatherlawyer]

MAP 6.4 2012/06/04 03:15:25 5.507 -82.457 5.9 SOUTH OF
PANAMA
MAP 6.2 2012/06/04 00:45:16 5.287 -82.580 9.7 SOUTH OF
PANAMA

[Weatherlawyer]

On Jun 4, 8:40 am, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> 2012/06/04
>
> 6.4 @ 03:15. SOUTH OF PANAMA
> 6.2 @ 00:45. SOUTH OF PANAMA

I would have expected more from the end of the last spell
2012/06/11 than:

5.7 @ 05:29 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN
5.4 @ 05:02 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

Though the tropical storms in it were lacklustre.

No definite central India/Pacific centre of mass (Fijian triangle)
quake either. Maybe it was two consecutive quakes like the above but
below the threshold for the NEIC list?

I don't know what to make of this present thing (Number 5 >
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/) except that it will grow larger
when the system over Western Europe gets set up properly (T+36 through
to +84 on the North Atlantic here >
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.html)

That's cyclogenesis Thursday noon to cyclosis Saturday noon as far as
the chart goes / can be trusted.

Since there are three days to go thereafter, it could circle back on
itself into the North or Norwegian Sea. That could extend the life of
the Topical storm -or give it another name.

[Weatherlawyer]

It is slated to remain a Cat 1 by the 18th that means still on the map
on the 19th:

14 Jun, 0:00. 12 hrs 55 kts TS

14 Jun, 12:00. 24 hrs 65 kts Cat 1

15 Jun, 0:00. 36 hrs 70 kts Cat 1

15 Jun, 12:00. 48 hrs 75 kts Cat 1

Note how the degree of certainty jumps from here. For which see
hydraulic jumps. Or butterfly effect.

16 Jun, 12:00. 72 hrs 85 kts Cat 2

17 Jun, 12:00. 96 hrs 85 kts Cat 2

18 Jun, 12:00 120 hrs 80 kts Cat 1

[Weatherlawyer]

On Jun 13, 2:48 pm, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

Somewhere on this 'net thing I said that after the next (decent) quake
we'd get another storm.

That was from looking at the Antarctic chart from BOM. But of course
long range forecasts fail. And they fail because of earthquakes.

I was wondering what the heck they were worth in that case, apart from
telling us all there was a fire in the system somewhere.

18 Jun, 2012 @ 08:37 GMT. NW Pacific. TD Talim:
18.8 N. 112.4 E. 30 kts.

19 Jun, 2012 8:37 GMT. 20.3 N. 115.6 E. 45 kts (TS.)

***

I'm not clever. And it was from a computer model run that didn't even
have fronts on it.

Oh yes, nearly forgot:
2012/06/17
6.4 M. @ 20:32

38.9 N. 141.9 E. off E. Honshu.

[Weatherlawyer]

18/06/12

5.4 M. @ 08:29 -32.995 -68.529 MENDOZA, ARGENTINA

4.8 M. @ 06:28 -6.26 154.498 PNG <<<
This is the fat lady-song.

4.4 M. @ 05:20 52.83 160.601 Off E. Kamchatka.
4.6 M. @ 05:11 48.138 130.847 YEVREYSKAYA AVTONOMNAYA OBLAST',
RUSSIA
4.5 M. @ 04:57 52.724 160.454 Off E. Kamchatka.
These three were consecutive.

4.5 M. @ 04:11 52.816 160.572 Off E. Kamchatka.
4.6 M. @ 03:58 52.826 160.449 Off E. Kamchatka.
These were a pair. That means: "It's all over".

4.7 M. @ 03:52 -37.538 51.096 S. INDIAN OCEAN

4.2 M. @ 03:36 14.307 -92.908 Off CHIAPAS, MEXICO

4.6 M. @ 03:17 51.762 -173.657 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS.,
ALASKA

4.8 M. @ 02:53 14.57 -92.619 Off CHIAPAS, MEXICO

4.8 M. @ 00:02 41.857 -29.157 AZORES ISLANDS REGION

> http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.php

So that would make the latest incarnation a goer for the next spell?

[Weatherlawyer]

And another spell wends its weary way into history:

2012/06/27

5.2 M. @ 21:20. 15.1 S. 173.4 W. TONGA
5.3 M. @ 20:39. 15.1 S. 173.2 W. TONGA

5.2 M. @ 12:56. 8.2 S. 119.8 E. FLORES REGION, INDONESIA

5.1 M. @ 11:30. 23.2 N. 143.5 E. VOLCANO ISLANDS, JAPAN

5.7 M. @ 06:31. 13.9 N. 89.9 W. EL SALVADOR

No way to add those two Tongans together as they were 9 minutes apart.
Still. I think I am on the right track with the idea.

Plenty of time to rethink things when I am gone.
Don't be afraid.