Reference: http://arxiv.org/abs/1108.2914
Time to re-evaluate the conventional WIMP hypothesis?
Time to think about those hundreds of billions of unbound planetary-
mass objects indicated by the microlensing observations of Sumi et al?
See: http://arxiv.org/abs/1105.3544 .
Time to give a fair hearing to M.R.S. Hawkins' excellent discussion
"The case for primordial black holes as dark matter"? See:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1106.3875 .
Time to think about what might be generating the huge ARCADE-2 excess
in the radio background?
> Analyses of Fermi gamma-ray observations of eight Milky Way Galaxy
> dwarf galaxies may "exculde generic WIMP candidates with mass less
> than 27 GeV..." .
>
> Reference: http://arxiv.org/abs/1108.2914
>
> Time to re-evaluate the conventional WIMP hypothesis?
One theory among several - one down, infinity minus one to go.
>
> Time to think about those hundreds of billions of unbound planetary-
> mass objects indicated by the microlensing observations of Sumi et al?
> See: http://arxiv.org/abs/1105.3544 .
Sure, for a moment.
Let's take the number of objects at face value and disregard the author-
admitted (one that you have opined about as well) possibility this may
have just been a region with more than usual. Integrate the entire pile
across the volume of the galaxy, and you get something just south of 5%
of what constitutes the dark matter mass budget for this galaxy.
Just a little bit short.
>
> Time to give a fair hearing to M.R.S. Hawkins' excellent discussion
> "The case for primordial black holes as dark matter"? See:
> http://arxiv.org/abs/1106.3875 .
Ah, M.R.S. Hawkins. Well, I guess its' nice that at least you aren't
citing his repeatedly-debunked claims regarding quasar variability.
Let us consider this key phrase:
"The most serious objection to dark matter in the form of compact
bodies has come from observations of microlensing of stars in the
Magellanic Clouds."
Let's look back at the SuperMACHO survey, one that was a survey of the
LMC specifically meant to look for such objects. No such populations.
Now replace SuperMACHO with "OGLE I", "OGLE II", and "OGLE III". The
only thing that changes is that there *are* enough observed events to be
largely consistent with the findings of Sumi, et. al.
However, the oft-claimed huge populations of dark matter tied up in
massive compacts are yet to be found. Without as much as a sniff from
you, I might add.
>
> Time to think about what might be generating the huge ARCADE-2 excess
> in the radio background?
Stranger than expected interplanetary medium?
I can never get too worked up about the galaxy, on the whole, glowing a
little more than expected in the radio because 'expected' is fully a
function of our current best guess model of stellar populations, the
interplanetary medium, presence of other structures like nebulae, etc.
How, if at all, this ties into dark matter is speculative at best.
>
> RLO
> http://www3.amherst.edu/~rloldershaw
>
This my main worry. Currently fashionable theoretical speculations
like string/brane notions, supersymmetry, quintessence, WIMPs, and so
on, are so "adjustable" that they are effectively untestable in any
definitive manner.
If WIMPs are complete no-shows in the canonical mass range, then one
can merely posit that the WIMPs are more exotic than expected and have
a much larger mass. This dodge has been used in so many theoretical
physics contexts in recent decades that its radical departure from
proper scientific norms is hardly noticed anymore. But the fact is
that it makes these "scenarios" effectively incapable of being
falsified.
If one can arbitrarily change the predictions of a "scenario", and/or
tack on ad hoc adjustable parameters, then is this good science? Is it
science at all?
> Analyses of Fermi gamma-ray observations of eight Milky Way Galaxy
> dwarf galaxies may "exculde generic WIMP candidates with mass less
> than 27 GeV..." .
They are weakly interacting MASSIVE particles---maybe more than 27 GeV.
For decades, neutrino masses kept being excluded from more and more mass
ranges, but today we know they have a mass.
> Time to re-evaluate the conventional WIMP hypothesis?
Why?
We don't know what dark matter is. That's why we look for it. When we
find it, we'll know. There might be more than one kind. That is real
science, i.e. when one doesn't know the result beforehand.
> Time to think about those hundreds of billions of unbound planetary-
> mass objects indicated by the microlensing observations of Sumi et al?
> See: http://arxiv.org/abs/1105.3544 .
Not in the context of dark matter, no. Yes, they might be dark matter,
but not an appreciable fraction of the dark matter.
> Time to give a fair hearing to M.R.S. Hawkins' excellent discussion
> "The case for primordial black holes as dark matter"? See:
> http://arxiv.org/abs/1106.3875 .
Hawkins's claim has been proved wrong in the refereed literature, and
no-one has contested this in the refereed literature. That's enough for
most people.
Or not?
Could you please tell us what that mass might be, or offer any sort of
predicted mass range by which the WIMP hypothesis might be
unambiguously falsified?
It depends on the theory, Robert.
You'll note that "weakly interacting massive particle" applies to a lot of
different things, including neutrinos. There's no particular theory here,
which is something people, including myself, have been trying to tell you.
So, the bottom line is that you cannot make a definitive prediction
regarding the galactic dark matter.
You have a huge number of poorly constrained "theories" that offer you
a huge number of pseudo-predictions, any one of which can adopted or
explained away (if need be).
RLO
Discrete Scale Relativity
> On Aug 18, 3:33 am, eric gisse <jowr.pi.ons...@gmail.com> wrote:
>> "Robert L. Oldershaw" <rlolders...@amherst.edu> wrote
>> innews:mt2.0-14107...@hydra.herts.ac.uk:
>>
>> > Could you please tell us what that mass might be, or offer any sort
>> > of predicted mass range by which the WIMP hypothesis might be
>> > unambiguously falsified?
>>
>> It depends on the theory, Robert.
>>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
-
> ---------------------
>
> So, the bottom line is that you cannot make a definitive prediction
> regarding the galactic dark matter.
Plenty of _definitive_ predictions can be made in terms of interaction,
halo size, effects on lensing profiles, stellar orbits, etc. Why isn't
that good enough?
>
> You have a huge number of poorly constrained "theories" that offer you
> a huge number of pseudo-predictions, any one of which can adopted or
> explained away (if need be).
Well, that's how science works. Scientists make some theories, and as
more evidence comes in the bad ones are excluded.
I note you have a different level of increduility for your theory
(factor of 15 wide prediction of neutron star masses) versus other
theories.
>
> RLO
> Discrete Scale Relativity
That's how things have been going for decades, except that nothing
actually gets excluded, just "adjusted". Strings, branes, WIMPs,
SUSY, extra dimensions, and so on, have been around for decades and
are "adjusted" in an ad hoc manner when observations or theoretical
constraints do not support them. Has anything been "exluded"?
Hardly! There are even super-optimists who hold out hope for magnetic
monopoles and proton decay after many, many falsifications. String
theory: 43 years and still not one definitive prediction!
The best science is science based on principles that can lead to
definitive predictions. See the development and evolution of
relativity theory for an archetypal example of this best science.
Even heuristic, model-building science is legitimate so long as it can
use its empirically-derived order, constraints and patterns to
generate definitive predictions.
But if a theory cannot make a definitive prediction then it is pure
speculation (to put it politely), and should be explicitly treated as
such by scientists and the media.
RLO
Fractal Cosmology
> > They are weakly interacting MASSIVE particles---maybe more than 27 GeV.
> >
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> Or not?
>
> Could you please tell us what that mass might be, or offer any sort of
> predicted mass range by which the WIMP hypothesis might be
> unambiguously falsified?
No, because my science is based on observation. What is the mass of the
Earth? No way to find out except to measure it. Same idea. Yes, it
might be conceivably possible for a theory to predict everything, but
one shouldn't criticise observations in the absence of such a theory.
> > It depends on the theory, Robert.
> >
> --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> So, the bottom line is that you cannot make a definitive prediction
> regarding the galactic dark matter.
The whole idea of science is that different theories make different
predictions which can be used to distinguish them. You seem to think
that having more than one theory is a bad idea (and thus don't see the
need for observations).
> That's how things have been going for decades, except that nothing
> actually gets excluded, just "adjusted". Strings, branes, WIMPs,
> SUSY, extra dimensions, and so on, have been around for decades and
> are "adjusted" in an ad hoc manner when observations or theoretical
> constraints do not support them. Has anything been "exluded"?
I have to say I'm no expert on these theories, but it seems to me that
adapting theories in light of new evidence is science, as long as there
is still room to do so within previously existing constraints. In that
case, there is not enough data to exclude the theory.
If future research were to reveal that the existance of WIMPS > 27 GeV
would necessarily cause some observable effect, and that effect is never
observed, then it would be possible to exclude the theory.
It is only holding on to unmodified theories by ignoring
inconvenient data that would be a problem.
Your two posts are somewhat contradictory.
If any theory that claims to be about "fundamental" understanding in
cosmology and/or physics and it cannot predict the fairly specific
nature of what the overwhelming majority of the Universe is composed
of, then I say that theory is mere arm-waving. If it provides no
definitive predictions, it is not science. It is still in a pseudo-
science stage of development.
RLO
Discrete Scale Relativity
[Mod. note: the weasel word here being 'definitive' -- mjh]
What, in your mind, constitutes a 'definitive' prediction?
The bulk properties of dark matter are pretty nailed down.
* Minimal or zero non-gravitational self interaction.
* Zero electromagnetic interaction.
* Most likely particulate in nature, due to massive observational exclusion
of MACHO theories.
* Nonrelativistic at decoupling, even more nonrelativistc now.
* The equation of state for dark matter is that of dust, which is highly
distinguishable between that of relativistic matter, photons, scalar and
higher spin fields, etc.
What further details are required of dark matter to explain cosmology
better? The problem for the last few years is that particle physics has no
answer.
Did you know that the tools used to describe modern cosmology (GR and its'
various solutions discovered over the years) all predate the standard
model? Knowledge of composition is not required here, which is something
you don't seem to grasp.
By the way, do you stand by your claim that a neutron star size that spans
a factor of 15 while extending into singularity territory is in any way
definitive? Or do you think the double standards are ok?
Let me put things in the most simple form.
Ideally we want theories that make definitive predictions that tell us
whether the theory is fundamentally right, or fundamentally wrong.
In the latter case, one does not "modify" the fundamentally wrong
theory. One seeks a new model based on a new theoretical principle.
We do not need epicycles. We need new and good ideas that lead to
definitive predictions.
RLO
Discrete Scale Relativity
To answer your question, the radius range for neutron stars is exactly
the same as the radius range for subatomic nuclei, except that you
must multiply the nuclear radii by a factor of 5.2 x 10^-17. This is
a definitive prediction, regardless of how you want to misconstrue
that.
Robert L. Oldershaw
http://www3.amherst.edu/~rloldershaw
Like for example, if one theory predicts dark matter is made of solar
mass MACHOs but years of surveys only find some planets that make up a
few percentage points, I suppose you would consider that an example of a
theory that is fundamentally wrong.
[Mod. note: quoted text trimmed. Please try to trim quoted text so
that only directly relevant material is quoted -- mjh]
> Ideally we want theories that make definitive predictions that tell us
> whether the theory is fundamentally right, or fundamentally wrong.
Agreed.
> In the latter case, one does not "modify" the fundamentally wrong
> theory. One seeks a new model based on a new theoretical principle.
This is a straw-man argument. Most theories are not theories of
everything which unanimously predict everything of interest. Most
theories have some parameters which (as far as we know now) must be
determined by observation. This does not mean that the theory is
fundamentally wrong. For example, many new species of animals and
plants are still being discovered. Our theories of biology are not
fundamentally wrong on the grounds that they were not all predicted. In
some cases, further progress on the theoretical side can allow one to
predict things which were not possible in an older, coarser version of
the theory. (While not as clear-cut, even postdictions are OK as long
as they are unique and not adjustable. It is often an accident whether
theory or observation is more advanced and accidents of human history
have no bearing on the underlying physical reality.)
I recommend John D. Barrow's book THEORIES OF EVERYTHING. It is about
what we won't know even if we had a theory of everything (as the term is
commonly used). Check it out.
> We do not need epicycles.
Epicycles are, of course, an example of adjusting a theory to meet
better observations, and rightly criticised for this. However, it is
important to keep two things in mind. First, epicycles make a testable
prediction, namely how the distance to a planet varies with time. The
angular motion can be fit exactly with a sufficient number of epicycles
(this is essentially Fourier synthesis (or analysis, depending one one's
point of view), but measuring the distance can distinguish epicycles
from other models. (To be sure, Copernicus's original heliocentric
model was LESS accurate regarding positions of the planets, but, even
disregarding the question of distance for the moment, in some sense more
accurate because it is closer to the truth. This is the (perhaps
undefinable) beauty of a theory which is often an indicator of what is
right.) Also, the main reason Ptolemy's epicycles stayed around for so
long is because the Church burned people who thought otherwise: not what
we today understand as scientific discourse.
Think of the so-called old quantum theory. It solved many problems in
classical physics, but was not definitive. What happened? Was it
replaced by a new paradigm? No, it was refined. Was there input from
observation? Sure---how else would one know that it was not correct.
Did this involve adjusting free parameters until they fit? No. It's
still not a complete theory in some sense, but it is better than the old
quantum theory. This is the way most science progresses. Kuhn's ideas
about overthrowing the paradigm, with the Copernican revolution (a pun
which many don't get) being an example, are mostly wrong since based on
examples like this when it was not debate within science but rather the
reduction of torture which allowed a new paradigm to arrive. (Also,
Kuhn's ideas contain the seeds of their own distruction. Either they
are scientific or not. If not, then we can ignore them. If they are,
then by his own reasoning they will soon be replaced with a new
paradigm.)
> We need new and good ideas that lead to
> definitive predictions.
Right. And when these definitive predictions are falsified by other
observations, one has to move on. The steady-state theory was, in
almost all respects, a very good theory. It made testable predictions.
They were falsified. Some people, like Bondi and Morison, moved on.
Others, like Hoyle (who had done very good work in other areas), started
to ignore reality.
How do you know that neutron stars fit inside such a range? You've been
arguing for the past few days that science has ABSOLUTELY NO IDEA!!! how
big a neutron star is.
A proton (Hydrogen) is about 0.8 fm, and Uranium is [1] roughly 175,000
fm. So taking 10km as the middle of the neutron star range gives a rough
upper limit of...two million kilometers? Using *your* "predicted" (when
are you going to show how you obtained that prediction?) 6km gives an
upper bound of about 1.8 million km. That's not even taking into account
that random factor that you pulled out of the air.
As for your claim that the range is the same, you aren't even within the
correct order of magnitude. Factor of 15 vs factor of ~200,000. When
your definitive prediction is incorrect by four orders of magnitude, are
you going to add epicycles or just admit your theory is wrong?
I consider this more of a test of how well you will stick to your claims
regarding definitive predictions and the validity of a theory more than
anything else, because you aren't even close to being correct here.
By the way, I would like to know if you even LOOKED at the published
litearture regarding neutron star radii. Did you?
Have you read Mike Hawkins' preprint: "The case for primordial black
holes as dark matter"?
I think that he would vigorously disagree with your statement above.
And bear in mind that he is a university professor who actually does
scientific research and publishes scientific papers, rather than an
amateur.
You might consider 0.2 trillion unbound planetary-mass objects
trivial, but I think if you had predicted them then you would be
singing quite a different tune.
RLO
Fractal Cosmology
Sigh,
There is a simple formula for calculating the radii of nuclei.
It is: R = (1.3 fermi)(atomic number)^1/3
You can find versions of this approximation in virtually any book on
nuclear physics.
I have no idea how you can believe a number like 175,000 fm.
But there is something seriously wrong with what you say, which is not
all that surprising.
RLO
Fractal Cosmology
> Have you read Mike Hawkins' preprint: "The case for primordial black
> holes as dark matter"?
>
> I think that he would vigorously disagree with your statement above.
Probably.
> And bear in mind that he is a university professor who actually does
> scientific research and publishes scientific papers, rather than an
> amateur.
AFAIK, he is not a professor (not that that is really relevant here):
http://www.roe.ac.uk/roe/staff/index.html
I think it is fair to say that Mike's ideas here are regarded with some
scepticism within the community.
Of course, there have been many debates within astronomy, with
professors on both sides.
He had a very good idea, based on observations originally made for
something completely different, and it made some testable predictions.
One was already confirmed when his first Nature paper on this was
published (it was suggested by the referee). However, other predictions
have been falsified. It doesn't even look like he could save the
appearances by using epicycles, not that that should appeal to you.
His work has been discussed here many times, with references.
>A proton (Hydrogen) is about 0.8 fm, and Uranium is [1] roughly 175,000
>fm.
That figure for uranium is an orbital radius rather than a nuclear
radius - it's half the distance between uranium atoms in a crystal of
uranium metal. Uranium nucleus is about 14 femtometres across.
Tom
> On Aug 23, 3:37 am, eric gisse <jowr.pi.ons...@gmail.com> wrote:
> >
> > A proton (Hydrogen) is about 0.8 fm, and Uranium is [1] roughly 175,000
> > fm. So taking 10km as the middle of the neutron star range gives a rough
> > upper limit of...two million kilometers? Using *your* "predicted" (when
> ----------------------------------------------------------------
>
> Sigh,
>
> There is a simple formula for calculating the radii of nuclei.
>
> It is: R = (1.3 fermi)(atomic number)^1/3
>
> You can find versions of this approximation in virtually any book on
> nuclear physics.
>
> I have no idea how you can believe a number like 175,000 fm.
I have to agree with Robert here. It looks like Eric quoted a number
for a hydrogen NUCLEUS but for a uranium ATOM (possibly ionized). Atoms
can be quite large, especially if they are not in the ground state. The
formula above shows that the size is given by the number of nucleons,
which makes sense only if they are densely packed. (Thus, it should be
"atomic weight" rather than "atomic number" above.) The lower limit is
obvious. The upper limit is more complicated, but completely well
understood within nuclear physics (which is an effective theory and
works fine---there are no mysteries---even if the underlying theory is
not completely understood). Stars, of whatever type, have a range of
sizes also given by physics and also by nuclear physics, however there
is no Great Chain of Being which makes this a simple scaling relation.
> On Aug 22, 6:00 pm, eric gisse <jowr.pi.ons...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> Like for example, if one theory predicts dark matter is made of solar
>> mass MACHOs but years of surveys only find some planets that make up
>> a few percentage points, I suppose you would consider that an example
>> of a theory that is fundamentally wrong.
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
-
> -------------------------
>
> Have you read Mike Hawkins' preprint: "The case for primordial black
> holes as dark matter"?
No, Robert. All those times I've quoted it directly and argued against
its' contents were just elaborate ruses.
Hawkins doesn't even meaningfully address the MACHO surveys. He just
wishes and hopes.
>
> I think that he would vigorously disagree with your statement above.
Because much like yourself, Hawkins has been pushing the same ideas for
the past thirty years. I've written about them previously, and the
problems are manifold.
This is nothing new. Hawkins is wrong. There is an abundance of
literature on why Hawkins is wrong. Why Hawkins is wrong has been
explained to you before, and doesn't need to be explained for the n+1'th
time just because you weren't listening hte previous n times.
>
> And bear in mind that he is a university professor who actually does
No, he isn't.
> scientific research and publishes scientific papers, rather than an
> amateur.
I can just imagine the huff and sneer that came after the period.
>
> You might consider 0.2 trillion unbound planetary-mass objects
> trivial, but I think if you had predicted them then you would be
> singing quite a different tune.
Why do I have to keep repeating myself?
Even *IF* the amount is correct (and both you and the author of the
study question that), the integrated mass value of all those objects is
in the neighborhood of a few percent of the entire required mass budget
to satisfy what is required.
You also predict a ton of objects in the tenths to integer solar mass
range, which have happened to evade the last 15 years of MACHO surveys.
You have no explanation for this.
These surveys, as I have repeatedly given literature citations to, are
not incompatible with the discovered planets. But they are - without any
doubt - incompatible with theories of dark matter that are based on
MACHOs.
When you have an actual argument as to how you can have MACHOs being
dark matter while escaping all known MACHO surveys then there'll be
something to talk about.
>
> RLO
> Fractal Cosmology
If you have read Mike's most recent preprint, can you make brief,
specific, and hopefully more substantive comments on exactly where you
think his scientific arguments are weak or appear to be refuted by
empirical evidence.
Let's confine the discussion to the contents of the specific preprint:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1106.3875 .
RLO
Discrete Scale Relativity
Excuse the typo. R = (1.3 fermi)(atomic mass)^1/3
RLO
Fractal Cosmology
Correct. I wasn't paying sufficient attention, which then causes me to
look like an idiot.
On the other hand, I specifically searched for nuclei as opposed to atom
(because I know the difference) and the reference says 'nuclei'.
Probably should have noticed.
[...]
This is an especially aggrivating and stupid aspect of your personality,
Robert. I'm rather pissed off that I didn't immediately remember I went
over this with you all the way back in June (All those 3 months ago, aka
'forever ago') you cited arXiv:1106.3875v1; under the theory that MRS
Hawkins is an unfamiliar personality to me. Then tell me to 'read it
carefully' [1] . Apparently not expecting me to actually do so, or
whatever.
So being bored of gazing into my navel I take a shot at reading it, and
I spot a problem or five. I also remark about how Hawkins' arguments
have been chewed up and spat out in the literature rather consistently
since I was like three years old. I reply as such. [2]
This is where things end, because apparently you decided that you'd post
to the thread a few more times then ignore what I wrote. Then you have
the raw audacity to ask me whether I've *read the goddamn paper* before?
It'd be nice to carry on a technical discussion with you in which you
carry your end of the bargain by not running away when I make the effort
to bring out technical details.
(Normally I would have merely cited the google groups thread, but gg is
being a useless heap tonight)
[1]
http://groups.google.com/group/sci.astro.research/msg/0a291f1edfb8ec46?
dmode=source
[2]
http://groups.google.com/group/sci.astro.research/msg/e5844576e1ddcecb?
dmode=source
Sigh,
This is quite beyond the pale, or even the pail.
You set up the incorrect statement: A theory should "predict
everything".
Then you courageously knock down that foolishly absolute argument.
The only problem is that I have never said anything like that
statement, and you can look through everything I have ever written to
verify that I have never said it. I do not deal in such
unsophisticated philosophical posturing.
It is you who have given us the straw-man argumentation.
----------------------
And, while the original naive steady-state model has safely been put
to rest, there are much more sophisticated "steady-state" models that
involve oodles of "local" change on every observable Scale, but are
globally eternal and statistically unchanging overall.
We can do better,
RLO
http://www3.amherst.edu/~rloldershaw
[...]
> And, while the original naive steady-state model has safely been put
> to rest, there are much more sophisticated "steady-state" models that
> involve oodles of "local" change on every observable Scale, but are
> globally eternal and statistically unchanging overall.
>
> We can do better,
> RLO
> http://www3.amherst.edu/~rloldershaw
>
But wouldn't that be a textbook example of what you would refer to as an
epicycle and the other various things you say about a dead theory?
> "Robert L. Oldershaw" <rlold...@amherst.edu> wrote in
> news:mt2.0-25855...@hydra.herts.ac.uk:
>
> [...]
>
> > And, while the original naive steady-state model has safely been put
> > to rest, there are much more sophisticated "steady-state" models that
> > involve oodles of "local" change on every observable Scale, but are
> > globally eternal and statistically unchanging overall.
> >
> > We can do better,
> > RLO
> > http://www3.amherst.edu/~rloldershaw
> >
>
> But wouldn't that be a textbook example of what you would refer to as an
> epicycle and the other various things you say about a dead theory?
Bazinga! The "refinements" of epicycles are better examples of
epicycles than epicycles themselves.
> If you have read Mike's most recent preprint, can you make brief,
> specific, and hopefully more substantive comments on exactly where you
> think his scientific arguments are weak or appear to be refuted by
> empirical evidence.
>
> Let's confine the discussion to the contents of the specific preprint:
> http://arxiv.org/abs/1106.3875 .
OK. I'll be on holiday soon and will take it along and read it. From
what I've seen so far, it looks like a re-tread of previous papers,
ignoring most or all criticism of his work rather than replying to it.
He tries to make the MACHO results compatible with his ideas. Whether
or not that is the case, they are ruled out on other grounds.
More when I return.
> On Aug 23, 3:33 am, Phillip Helbig---undress to reply
> <hel...@astro.multiCLOTHESvax.de> wrote:
> >
> > This is a straw-man argument. Most theories are not theories of
> > everything which unanimously predict everything of interest. Most
> > theories have some parameters which (as far as we know now) must be
> > determined by observation. This does not mean that the theory is
> > fundamentally wrong. For example, many new species of animals and
> > plants are still being discovered. Our theories of biology are not
> > fundamentally wrong on the grounds that they were not all predicted. In
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> Sigh,
>
> This is quite beyond the pale, or even the pail.
>
> You set up the incorrect statement: A theory should "predict
> everything".
>
> Then you courageously knock down that foolishly absolute argument.
Here is what I said:
Message-ID: <mt2.0-2310...@hydra.herts.ac.uk>
In article <mt2.0-28247...@hydra.herts.ac.uk>, "Robert L.
Oldershaw" <rlold...@amherst.edu> writes:
> Ideally we want theories that make definitive predictions that tell us
> whether the theory is fundamentally right, or fundamentally wrong.
Agreed.
> In the latter case, one does not "modify" the fundamentally wrong
> theory. One seeks a new model based on a new theoretical principle.
This is a straw-man argument. Most theories are not theories of
everything which unanimously predict everything of interest.
Where, exactly, did I
> set up the incorrect statement: A theory should "predict
> everything".
???
YOU said that an acceptable theory should be able to make predictions
out of the box and should be rejected if it needs further input from
observations.
> The only problem is that I have never said anything like that
> statement, and you can look through everything I have ever written to
> verify that I have never said it.
I never claimed you did.
This is not the first time you have snipped a text and then
misrepresented it. I'm not sure if it is due to incompetence or a
deliberate intent to spite.
People criticise not only your DSR but also your mode of argumentation,
your igoring constructive criticism, your selective use of literature
citations. What do you want to achieve and do you think that your
current strategy is the way to achieve it?