On 06/02/2013 23:32, Eric Stevens wrote:
>>>>> . The only problem is that they haven't yet been able to find a
>>>>> satisfactory explanation for it.
>>>>
>>>> Nor is there any good reason why the 'Younger
>>>> Dryas' should have eliminated the Clovis Culture.
>>>
>>> You can't properly say that in that we don't really know what
>>> eliminated the Clovis culture.
>>
>> There either isn't a good (or plausible) reason,
>> or there is. If so, let's hear it.
>
> I've just said there isn't.
Which is what I also said. But then you stated
that " . . you can't properly say that . . ."
>>>> I was thinking of a broader trend, starting about
>>>> 16 kya, of the ending of the last ice age, ...
>>>
>>> Oops! You are slipping a bit. Not long ago you were
>>> claiming 13,000 years.
No. We accept that something happened at
13 kya. You say it was some sudden unknown
event. I say it was the culmination of a series,
finally destroying a culture.
>> There is no need for events as dramatic as that
>> (not that they didn't sometimes occur). Consider
>> the effect of a rise in sea-level today of (say) two
>> metres. Most of New York City, (and London, and
>> most other coastal cities) would be destroyed by
>> the next 'super-storm'. So would the fields of any
>> settled populations.
>
> The graph in
>
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/12/01/sea-level-rise-jumpy-after-last-ice-age/
> is the most useful guide I can quickly find to the rise in sea level
> since the last ice age. I've printed it out to a usefully large (A4)
> size and calculated the rate of rise during the worst period. This
> just happens to be the so-called 'Meltwater Pulse' which appears to
> terminate at the beginning of the Younger Dryas. The rate of rise at
> this time appears to be about .028 metres/year.
>
> At this rate your 2 metre rise would take about 71 years. I doubt that
> this would take the members of the Clovis culture by surprise. In fact
> I doubt they would even notice it.
If they were hunters on the prairies, living on
something like buffalo, I'd agree. But IMHO
they were more likely setted on the coast,
having brought agricultural skills with them.
Although I'm thinking, more and more, that
there was a separate population which lived
off the tame fauna, until it had eliminated
every readily accessible species. That was
probably the basis of the Clovis culture.
>>> More likely, except for draining of the glacial lakes, there
>>> was a slow and steady rise in sea levels which was hardly
>>> noticed by the peoples of the time.
>>
>> That's crazy. Was Hurricane Katriona noticed by the
>> population of New Orleans? In modern times, we
>> have good notice of such events. A century ago,
>> they arrived from nowhere. 15 kya, they'd also
>> have been without warning and just as devastating.
>
> To what then are you attributing the demise of the Clovis
> culture? Is it storms which can easily be accompanied by
> tidal surges of several metres or is it the slow and gradual
> rise of sea levels?
Rises in sea levels manifest themselves by means
of successively destructive storms. A significant
part of the population wakes up to find the sea
surrounding them, with all their crops, possessions
and land destroyed. They then ask their neighbours
for help. In hard times, that cannot be provided and
they turn into ravaging bands.
> In any case, even if you are correct and the sea wipes out
> the coastal Clovis culture, what is it that extinguishes the
> culture hundreds of miles from the sea?
Rampaging refugees. Wave after wave of them.
>>> The situation may have been different if they had large and
>>> permanent structures, such as burial mounds or temple
>>> pyramids, around which their cultures were anchored.
>>> However there is no evidence of such things until many
>>> thousands of years later.
>>
>> Of course there's no evidence. How much would be
>> left of New Orleans after a few thousand Hurricane
>> Katrionas, tens of thousands of lesser storms and
>> ten million routine tides, ending with its site being
>> 100 metres under the sea?
>
> But the construction of these things is not confined to the
> coast.
I think, that if you look, you'll see that few or
none are built at an altitude of more than 100
metres above sea-level.
>>>> The society at the time was probably roughly
>>>> similar to those found by 16th century explorers
>>>> and described by Thomas Harriot. Like almost
>>>> all other human societies, the bulk of the
>>>> population would have lived at, or close to, sea-
>>>> level. The devastation and dislocation caused
>>>> by rising sea-levels, generation after generation,
>>>> would have lead to famine, and war. Life would
>>>> have been similar to, but much worse than, that
>>>> in the Roman Empire around and after 400 A.D,
>>>> All manufacturing and trade (of and in Clovis
>>>> points) would have ceased.
>>>
>>> I can't see that happening. Stone points were too
>>> fundamental to their livelyhood.
>>
>> If they could not get the tool they preferred,
>> they'd have used an alternative. Those skills
>> had got lost, presumably because the skilled
>> workers had died and their whole system
>> destroyed.
>
> What killed all their skilled workers, all more or less at
> once?
The four horsemen: Pestilence, War, Famine,
and Death
>> Maybe, by that time, the huge
>> numbers of 'tame' herbivores (i.e. those that
>> did not see humans as predators) had wised
>> up and were no longer vulnerable to a quiet
>> approach by a slender biped.
>
> And this happened more or less all over the country at once,
> so the entire Clovis culture was simultaneously eliminated
> by universal starvation?
That's the least problem. I'm suggesting that the
bulk of the human population lived at low altitude,
not far from coasts -- as it does now. The pattern
of events would have been similar all over the
country.
Paul,