Risk Terrain Modeling Fall 2010 Update
Joel Caplan
Dear RTM user,
On behalf of the Rutgers
Center on Public Security (RCPS), below is an update about risk terrain modeling (RTM) and the RTM
Manual that you downloaded at www.riskterrainmodeling.com. As promised, we’ll keep this email brief but
informative.
User Response and Access
-- Since its first
posting at the end of June 2010, the RTM Manual has been downloaded over 520
times from users in many different countries.
-- Hard copies of the
RTM Manual in full color and (soft cover) bounded can now be ordered directly
from Amazon.com at http://amzn.com/1453698531. The cost is $35.67 and it’s eligible for free
shipping. A free PDF download remains available online.
-- You can share your
thoughts and read what others have to say at the Risk Terrain Modeling Google Group (http://groups.google.com/group/risk-terrain-modeling).
Update on Applications
-- RCPS recently teamed
with Global Pulse (www.unglobalpulse.org), part of the United Nations (UN) Executive Office of the
Secretary-General, to bring RTM and actionable information to the global
community.
-- We are working with software
developers and interested stakeholders to develop an open source (i.e. free and
publicly available) RTM software application that would guide analysts and
automate the steps of risk terrain map production. Stay
tuned!
Recent Peer Reviewed
Articles and Chapters
-- Kennedy, L. W.,
Caplan, J. M. & Piza, E. L. (2010, online first). Risk Clusters, hotspots,
and Spatial Intelligence: Risk Terrain Modeling as an Algorithm for Police Resource
Allocation Strategies. Journal of
Quantitative Criminology.
-- Caplan, J. M., Moreto, W. D., & Kennedy, L. W. (2011). Forecasting Global Maritime Piracy Utilizing the Risk Terrain Modeling (RTM) Approach to Spatial Risk Assessment forthcoming. In Kennedy, L. W. and E. McGarrell. Crime and Terrorism Risk. NY: Routledge.
-- Kennedy, L. W. & Caplan, J. M. (2011). Risk Terrains and Crime Emergence. In J. McGloin, C. Sullivan, and L. W. Kennedy. Crime Emergence. NY: Routledge.
Supplementary Material
-- Supplemental
tutorials that assist with RTM have been added to the RTM website. These one
page tutorials give clear and concise instructions for using ArcGIS and other
software applications that are commonly used for making risk terrain maps. There are currently 10 tutorials (short
videos and html documents) available at www.riskterrainmodeling.com. Examples include “Using Raster Calculator” or "Test a risk terrain model's predictive validity in SPSS".
-- A Risk Terrain Modeling Manual for Global Risk Assessment is currently in the works. If you are interested in
how RTM can be uniquely applied at the global level, this publication is
especially for you. We expect it to be ready for download by the summer; We’ll
keep you posted.
-- RTM Insights, Research Briefs and case studies are available for download at the RTM website. These are all about 2 pages in length. Examples include: "Known crime risk factors of robbery," "Applying Risk Terrain Modeling to a Violent Crimes Initiative in Kansas City, Missouri," or "Applying Risk Terrain Modeling to Urban Residential Burglary in Newark, NJ".
-- A compendium of RTM-related
research applications across crime types is under development and should be
available for download this spring. We will be starting a similar project
looking at applications in global risk assessment soon.
Dissemination of The RTM
Approach
American Society of
Criminology, San Francisco, November 2010
-- Xu, J., Kennedy, L.
W., and Caplan, J. M. “An Exploration of Opportunities For Gun Shooting in an
Urban Environment”.
-- Miller, J. & Caplan,
J. M. “Environmental Risks and Correctional Supervision”
-- Tana Gurule (Univ. of Nevada, Las Vegas) used RTM in a poster presentation titled "Risk of Auto Theft: Predicting Spatial Distributions of Crime Events"
Association of American
Geographers, Seattle, April 2011
-- Les Kennedy will
present a paper on risk terrain modeling at the AAG annual meeting.
Crime Mapping Research Conference, Miami, April 2011
-- Joel Caplan will
present a 3 hour workshop on RTM
-- Eric Piza will
present a RTM-related paper
3rd International Conference on the Observation of Crime, Montréal, October 2010
-- Joel Caplan presented "Risk Terrain Modeling: Spatial Risk Assessment for Crime Analysis and Policing Operations"
-- Joel Caplan taught a 3 hour workshop entitled "Risk Terrain Modeling Workshop: The Steps of Spatial Risk Assessment."
Esri Mid-Atlantic User Group Conference, Philadelphia, November/December 2010
-- Eric Piza presented "Clusters, Hotspots, and Spatial Intelligence: Risk Terrains Modeling as an Algorithm for Police Resource Allocation Strategies."
Distance Education and
Training Webinar
-- We are developing a RTM workshop webinar(4 hours
and 8 hours) in cooperation with the Rutgers University Division of Continuing
Studies. This interactive webinar will provide an opportunity to learn the
steps of RTM though presentations and hands-on demonstrations.
Ongoing RTM Research
Terrorism in Turkey
-- With the cooperation of the Turkish National
Police, we are applying RTM to the study of contextual effects of locations on
the risk to terrorism attacks in Turkey.
CCTV
-- NIJ funded research on CCTV contains an
investigation of the role that RTM can play in positioning cameras throughout
the urban landscape.
--------------------
Until our next (infrequent) update, check out www.riskterrainmodeling.com for new events, news, publications, briefs, case studies, and more regarding RTM.
We welcome your feedback! Please tell us how you are
using RTM and/or if you have any constructive feedback. Send a brief or lengthy
email to rutge...@gmail.com. We look forward to hearing from you.
Respectfully,
Les Kennedy and Joel Caplan
(If you want to unsubscribe from this update email, please
reply with your request to be removed from our contact list).