Hi All
I've been observing the development of Ripple 2.0 - as yet another VC funded slow motion Dot Com train wreck - with a kind of grisly fascination.
There are two types of credit: people-based (based upon the capacity of people to provide goods and services individually and collectively), and asset-based (based upon the production or use value over time of a productive asset.
Ripple concerns the decentralised clearing of 'people-based' credit: what is being missed by the proponents - Mr Larsen and colleagues - is that credit clearing does not require currency at all, but it does require a standard unit of account (which could be the dollar) and it does require a framework of trust (which is of course what credit intermediary banks provide based upon their cushion of proprietary capital).
People-based Credit
People-based credit necessarily involves credit/IOUs issued by individuals or corporates.
In times gone by merchants whose credit was good would have their IOUs accepted - at a discount - in payment, and these would often then be accepted by another buyer and so on down a chain until they eventually found their way home to the issuer being accepted by him in payment for value he provides either in goods or services or in currency.
We would then see a chain A>B>C>D>E>A and it is from this basis that Merchant Banking evolved.
Note that such chains are routinely generated upon the monthly expiry of the North Sea Brent/BFOE Crude Oil Forward contract. 'Brent Daisy Chains' have been known up to 100 long, and wherever there is an occurrence in a chain of A>B>C>D>A the chain will be shortened by what is known as a 'book-out' where no physical contract is performed with crude oil delivered in settlement of the contract, but rather there is a settlement of a cash difference.
Guarantee Society
A framework of trust is necessary to make a success of Ripple, within local and functional communities - ie individuals with a geographic or other common interest or Common Bond
A Guarantee Society is a mutual guarantee agreement. These exist in 18 EU countries where local businesses club together for the purpose of mutual guarantee of bank loans, but this use - like banks - is moribund.
More to the point, for 140 years ship owners have found there are certain risks that Lloyds of London and other insurers will not cover and they therefore formed what became known as Protection & Indemnity (P&I) Clubs.
In this model the members mutually share the relevant risk, backed by premiums and/or collateral paid into a fund in collective (not proprietary) ownership. A service provider/broker - Thomas Miller - has operated these Clubs for 135 years, dealing with admin; handling defaults, and providing other services to members.
The beauty for Thomas Miller - and in a Ripple 3.0 for service-providers-formerly-known-as-banks - is that they need only sufficient capital to cover operating costs, since it is the members who take the performance risk.
I propose precisely the same mutualised architecture as a framework of trust for decentralised credit clearing: ie for sellers and buyers on credit terms to share system/platform costs (eg via a subscription) and for both to pay a guarantee charge for the use of the mutual guarantee. The outcome is essentially a community credit card, but with no payment to rent-seeking managers or owners of shares of joint stock in that particularly lethal form of entity the joint stock company.
This post on the ISRS web-site (I was asked by the former UK Minister of Defence to work - post 2008 Crash - on a more resilient financial system) covers it,
As I have often said - the Community IS the Currency.
Proposal
I am currently working with several governments in respect of next generation financing (people-based credit) and particularly funding (asset-based credit). It is the latter -which uses prepay credits returnable in payment for value such as land rentals or energy - which enables settlement both via Ripple chains, and via the use of currency which is based upon real world value in use.
Now I could possibly recruit a team of programmers; raise funds to cover their agreed costs (I always insist that stakeholders have a stake in the outcome) and create a solution using Ripple's Open Source code as a base.
But that sounds too much like hard work.
So I'd be quite happy to discuss with Ripple's founders - who appear to have put together an excellent team but who have IMHO both a flawed product and business model - how we might work on a joint proof of concept of the model I advocate, based upon 25 years experience of how markets and market instruments work in the real world. This would not be an alternative to their current work (which might work - I could well be wrong), but rather it would be complementary to it.
If any of them reads this and Ripple Co is interested in forking a Ripple 3.0 which:
- benefits the real world massively;
- makes everyone involved enough to do whatever they want to do;
then please get in touch directly.
cjenscookATgooglemail.com
Best Regards
Chris Cook