On Mon, 1 Aug 2016 01:12:37 +0300, TT <
as...@dprk.kp> wrote:
>31.7.2016, 20:31, bob kirjoitti:
>> WARNING to all unbiased and fair minded voters:
>>
>> this election season has turned so rancid i don't believe we'll get a
>> *single* true word out of the media going forward. smart people will
>> have to sift through all the data and make a logical conclusion on
>> their own, the media isn't going to give it an ounce of a fair shake.
>> the polls i'm reading have it dead tie atm.
>>
>> bob
>>
>
>That makes no sense, other than as a statement to ignore facts.
>
>It's true that "mainstream media" is biased towards Clinton... that
>should be obvious considering she's running against a incompetent
>borderline psychopath. But that's just opinions in the media - the
>content is valid. You're not going to find factual errors in something
>like Washington Post or New York Times... at least I haven't, they're
>very high standard.
the media should cover the news, not make it. the media shouldn't be
campaigning for a candidate either.
>As for the polls. Yes, Nate Silver's site shows them at 50-50 currently.
>However I don't think that is true odds. During DNC someone interviewed
>Clinton campaign person and showed her that Nate Silver's site says that
>Trump is favourite in Florida. Her reply was rather sensible: "Hard to
>believe that, Florida is too diverse for Trump to win it". She had a point.
50-50 doesn't matter, it's analyzing each state's votes. this far
ahead, guessing it'll boil to 3 states IMO: fla, ohio, pennsylvania.
if trump takes those 3 he's president, but that's unlikely.
>One would expect that in the long run people see the flaws with Trump
>better and better and Clinton should win it. However at the same time it
>seems that Trump can do and say anything without consequence to his
>popularity. It's strange and rather worrying phenomenon in context of US
>politics, democracy and perhaps even humanity.
>
>Betfair says Clinton has 69% odds to win. That's probably closer to the
>truth, I think.
yes, i say 2/3 chance at least. although i saw today assange said he
has lots more on the election to release....
bob