Sawfish kirjoitti 1.3.2019 klo 2:31:
> I've stayed away from this but have noted that reported activity seems
> to be picking up again. I'm trying to figure out what's going on. I feel
> that some here might be able to help, and thereby clarify the issues for
> the rest of RST, as well.
>
> 1) It seems like the entire Cohen involvement is about a payoff to a
> prostitute to keep her quiet during the 2016 campaign. It has no
> connection to Russian collusion or interference in the 2016 election. Is
> this correct?
>
-The biggest attention from the testimony is about Stormy Daniels
payments yes. Cohen submitted a check signed by Trump.
-Russia was also mentioned a few times but couple hard to prove
allegations from Cohen which would mean roughly that Trump knew about
Trump Tower meeting & about Russia leaking hacked documents. But this
hearing was not about Russia.
-I think there's one thing Cohen talked about (& provided some
documents) which may be easier to prosecute & convict than Stormy
Daniels case: Trump changed outrageously value for his properties
depending on what the figures were for, different figures for banks,
insurance & tax. For example Rachel Maddow talked about an estate which
was valued at around 25m dollars but Trump may have reported the value
of property to Deutsche Bank as 291m dollars! (This is just one example)
A house committee has now asked for records from Deutsche Bank, which
apparently gave a 1 billion dollar loan to Trump based on these false
values of his property. SO TRUMP IS LIKELY GUILTY OF BANK FRAUD,
INSURANCE FRAUD AND TAX FRAUD. These are probably easy to prosecute
clear cut cases. We don't know yet how much this has been investigated
and by whom. I guess that if SDNY is on the case Trump could face long
time in jail, whenever he does have to go to court about it.
> 2) The concern is whether or not making this payment was legal: in
> essence is it lawful to pay blackmail? Or is the *source* of the money
> the main issue? That the money was somehow not Trump's money to spend as
> he saw fit--that there was a sort of legal earmark on it?
>
The payments violate campaign finance law since it was not reported & it
becomes criminal case because it (not reporting) was clearly done on
purpose.
They went their way trying to hide the payments from authorities.
> 4) Is there any substantive event or action concerning the above issues
> that is entirely new-that no one knew about prior to revelation by Cohen
> yesterday? Or is it Cohen confirming prior testimony given in private,
> and that has been reported in earlier news stories as speculation?
>
Probably presenting the check in public.
Also, Cohen told that SDNY has criminal investigations on Trump that
press doesn't know about.
> 5) I assume that Cohen is under oath, but what is the nature of the
> examination, and to what degree is the oath binding?
>
Cohen has all the motivation to speak truth, it might in theory reduce
his sentence although that is up to SDNY - which Cohen is cooperating
with currently.
On the other hand it would be very unwise for Cohen to lie as getting
caught would result on definitely not getting his sentence reduced &
might add more to it... his aim to do these hearings is naturally to
show that he is cooperating & to reduce his sentence.
It looked to me that Cohen was talking the truth, chairman of the
committee said the same. No motivation to lie really.