13.5.2017, 10:13, Bharath Purohit kirjoitti:
> ROME MASTERS 2017 draw analysis
>
Thanks
> Potential opponents:
>
> [1] Andy Murray
>
> 1R - Bye
> 2R - Fabio Fognini
Fogs has had pretty unlucky draws this clay season.
> 3R - Alex Zverev
> QF - Tomas Berdych/Milos Raonic
> SF - Stan Wawrinka/David Goffin
> F - Rafa Nadal/Novak Djokovic
>
> Verdict: Tough, tough draw. Murray has been in bad form this year and this draw is not kind on his struggles. Fognini is one of the hardest players to draw in your first match at a clay tournament. Sascha Zverev right after is even harder. Then a quarterfinal which should not be too hard. A semi against an in-form Goffin or a possibly-resurgent Wawrinka will be difficult for Andy in his present condition, and if he makes it all the way to the final, it will most likely be either Nadal or Djokovic in his way.
>
Still, Rafa & Djok are on other side of the draw.
> [2] Novak Djokovic
>
> 1R - Bye
> 2R - Gianluca Mager
> 3R - Nick Kyrgios/Gilles Simon
> QF - Kei Nishikori/Juan Martin del Potro
> SF - Rafa Nadal
> F - Andy Murray/David Goffin
>
> Verdict: Moderate draw. Novak should have no problems in the second round, but the third round will feature players that have either beaten him already this year or have come very close to beating him. While Kyrgios is not the biggest threat on clay, Simon can be devastating on the surface, and had a deciding set lead against Novak in their Monte Carlo meeting last month. The quarter could be yet another walkover from Nishikori, or perhaps del Potro, who has also given Djokovic problems recently. The semi could be a rematch against Rafa, and if he gets through, a final against Goffin, Wawrinka or Andy is plausible.
>
Simon is expected to play well but not great, as normal. Meanwhile
Kyrgios was slaughtered by Rafa and Nishikori is injured as is probably
Delpo. Should be pretty easy until semis.
> [4] Rafa Nadal
>
> 1R - Bye
> 2R - Andreas Seppi
> 3R - Diego Schwartzman
> QF - Dominic Thiem
> SF - Novak Djokovic
> F - David Goffin/Andy Murray
>
> Verdict: Easy draw. This is not the easiest draw in the world, but in Rafa's current form, it looks like it won't be much trouble. Rafa has a straightforward route to the quarters. Neither Seppi nor Schwartzman are truly capable of beating him on clay, even if they can trouble him. Thiem in the quarters could be a challenge, with Thiem having beaten Rafa on clay before. However, Rafa crushed him in their most recent meeting, the Barcelona final from last month. A semi against Novak beckons, and if Rafa can get through that, the final doesn't seem too hard, against guys he is very comfortable playing on clay.
>
Easy early draw but QF+ is tough. Thiem is apparently in excellent form.
> [3] Stan Wawrinka
>
> 1R - Bye
> 2R - Benoit Paire
> 3R - Albert Ramos-Vinolas
> QF - David Goffin/Marin Cilic
> SF - Andy Murray
> F - Rafa Nadal/Novak Djokovic
>
> Verdict: Hard draw. Poor Stan's bad luck continues with a miserable draw. First up is Paire, who just beat him in Madrid. Right after is Monte Carlo finalist Ramos-Vinolas, who is having a great run this clay season. If he gets through them he has to face Goffin, another guy in great form. After all those struggles, a semi against the World No. 1 and a final against either the King of Clay or the World No. 2... poor, poor Stan.
>
Not a hard draw at all imo. He's on other side of the Nad/Djok and the
only potential problem should be Goffin... but he doesn't necessarily
play every match as well as he did yesterday.