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Who will retire first?

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arahim

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May 16, 2017, 7:07:47 PM5/16/17
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It would be interesting to see the odds on who will retire first:
Federer
Nadal
Djokovic
Murray

soccerfan777

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May 16, 2017, 9:06:38 PM5/16/17
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Sharapova... After how the assholes are treating her

ahonkan

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May 17, 2017, 4:24:45 AM5/17/17
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6 months ago, I'd have said
Fed, Rafa, Djoker, Murray
Today, I expect it would be:
Murray, Djoker, Rafa, Fed

How things (appear to) have changed!

arahim

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May 17, 2017, 6:20:00 AM5/17/17
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And will Wawrinka outlast them all?

Murray hit 30 a couple of days ago and Djokovic will do so in another 5 days at which point the top five will all be over 30.

Tsonga, Berdych, Mofils are in the top 15 at over 30. Still threatening the top 10 or finally passed for good by the under 30 crowd?

There are another 6 who are 35 or above in the top 100. Karlovic the oldest at 38 and the previous persistent number 5 Ferrer now 35.

fymido...@yahoo.com

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May 17, 2017, 12:11:16 PM5/17/17
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I still expect them to retire in their "coming of age" order ie. Federer/Nadal/Djokovic/Murray. Five years ago, I would have said Nadal/Federer/Djokovic/Murray. Federer's recent successes have masked the fact that he will be 36 in 2 months. It takes just one more injury or losing a tiny bit of your speed and/or reflexes. Agassi became No.1 in 2003, yet his form sliding down pretty quickly from 2004 onwards.

The Iceberg

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May 17, 2017, 12:40:51 PM5/17/17
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Age of the Young Guns! Lol

The Iceberg

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May 17, 2017, 12:42:19 PM5/17/17
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Nonsense, Fed wrecked his knee last year and came back and won the AO! The field is ripe for the pickings, why on earth would he retire?!

The Iceberg

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May 17, 2017, 12:43:36 PM5/17/17
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Also other players, linesmen, officials etc are counting on him to boost their wages with pay-offs etc he has others to think about too!

TennisGuy

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May 17, 2017, 3:07:39 PM5/17/17
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On 5/17/2017 12:40 PM, The Iceberg wrote:
> Age of the Young Guns! Lol
>


And you need to consider this...

It is common tennis knowledge that an ATP tennis generation is 5 years.

Reasoning:

Real life generation is 20 years. This is for a life expectancy of
approx. 75 yrs (let's make that 80 for round numbers).

For ATP tennis, the life expectancy is usually 10 years, occasionally
15, and rarely 15+.

So real life:
Life expectancy 80, generation 20 (generation a factor of .25)

ATP tennis:
(Let's bump up the life expectancy a bit)
Life expectancy 15, generation 5 (generation a factor of .33)


Why am I mentioning all of this?
Can you imagine a great grandfather getting on a tennis court and
playing their great grand child a tennis match? Who do you think would win?

Well this is exactly what Federer is doing every time he steps on
court an plays a 20 or 21 year old!

And you know what?
He still beats them almost every time!

Incredible eh Icey?

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