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From: Court_1 <Olympia0...@yahoo.com>
Newsgroups: rec.sport.tennis
Subject: Re: Fed and/or Rafa free final?
Date: Fri, 25 May 2012 16:53:03 -0700 (PDT)
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On May 25, 7:39=A0pm, moduli <mathd...@nospam.com> wrote:
> On 2012-05-25, Court_1 <Olympia0...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> > On May 25, 7:15=A0pm, Patrick Kehoe <pke...@telus.net> wrote:
> >> On May 25, 11:31=A0am, "jdeluise" <jdelu...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> >> > On 25-May-2012, TennisGuy <Jeffery21...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
> >> > > =A0Tsonga, Del Po, Berdych, Isner, Dolgopolev, Raonic. That's abou=
t it.
> >> > > Possibly Verdasco if he gets hot again.
>
> >> > Nope, Minute chance, Nope, if he's lucky, Nope, and Nope. =A0And def=
initely
> >> > Nope.
>
> >> Well, probability has to be turned on its head fairly soon... or is
> >> that what 2013 will be all about???
>
> >> P
>
> > Forget probability this year at the FO. Nadal is going to be too
> > pumped up mentally as he knows the record breaking 7th FO title is in
> > close reach. In addition to that his clay form has been outstanding
> > this season and Nadal, although getting older is still only 25 almost
> > 26. Sure an upset can always happen but in my estimation, it is going
> > to be very very unlikely this year. Nadal's clay fall is not happening
> > yet folks.
>
> If he doesn't win I think the probability of winning next year will likel=
y
> diminish dramatically.

Why?  Who is stepping up to beat Nadal on clay next year at the FO?
You are correct that the older Nadal gets the harder it will be, but I
am not seeing any younger players who are great clay court players.
Nadal may win the FO for the next four years as long as he can still
walk, ha, ha.