anderson's week 5 plays....

michael anderson

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Sep 24, 2012, 7:06:26 PM9/24/12

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1) TCU at SMU- TCU hasn't had to give all that many points lately to dreadful teams. Maybe that's because they arent very good? They failed to cover against kansas in a woeful performance, and then needed a last second drive to cover(sort of the reverse of a backdoor cover) against dreadful virginia. Im going to take them here against SMU, who is truly dreadful.

Pick: TCU, -16.5, 3 units

2) Virginia tech vs Cincinatti- Virginia tech is not a good team, but six and a half points?? Against cincinatti? Jesus, that seems low.....there arent that many bcs teams I wouldnt give 6.5 against cincinatti. I know I said that abut the pitt pick, but...

Pick: vatech, -6.5, 3 units

3) Mississippi at Alabama: RTR. Alabama against bcs opponents ATS has been ridiculously good.

Pick: Bama, -31, 3 units

4) FSU at South Florida: maybe fsu is for real? South florida certainly isn't....the fact that this line is 16.5 indicates people dont really buy FSU....

Pick: FSU, -16.5, 3 units

5) Clemson at Boston College: Historically, this kind of road game against a terrible ACC team following a deflating loss is a game Clemson not only fails to cover, but flat out loses. We'll see. That defense is pretty bad.

Pick: Clemson, -9.5, 3 units

6) South Carolina at Kentucky: Kentucky is one of the worst football teams in all of college football.

Pick, South Carolina, -21, 3 units

michael anderson

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Sep 24, 2012, 7:09:42 PM9/24/12

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let me add one more...another road team(and yes it does concern me Im playing so many road teams)

7) Ohio at Massachusetts: Massachusetts is legendarily bad this year.

Pick, Ohio, -23, 3 units

unklbob

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Sep 24, 2012, 7:19:51 PM9/24/12

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If you hit across the board, you'll score 21 units, which will put you
well on your way towards your goal of ending up +60 on the year.

Kyle T. Jones

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Sep 24, 2012, 8:01:19 PM9/24/12

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I see you stopped varying your bets. I think that's a good decision.

Cheers.

--
Too bad. Read the manual. If this stuff were easy
we would not get the big bucks. -- Michael Press, June 1st 2012

michael anderson

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Sep 24, 2012, 8:07:53 PM9/24/12

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yeah....at least for now. Those two plays(vatech and LSU losing) really represent most of my losses this year.

i think i will have a policy at least for a while where I dont make big plays with ROAD double digit faves.....

I dont think the road angle had a great impact in the vatech game because pitt is a dead nfl stadium, but in the auburn game you could see mettenberger rattled with that atmosphere.

Jim Brown

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Sep 24, 2012, 11:14:24 PM9/24/12

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On Sep 24, 6:06 pm, michael anderson <mianderso...@gmail.com> wrote:
> 1) TCU at SMU- TCU hasn't had to give all that many points lately to dreadful teams. Maybe that's because they arent very good? They failed to cover against kansas in a woeful performance, and then needed a last second drive to cover(sort of the reverse of a backdoor cover) against dreadful virginia. Im going to take them here against SMU, who is truly dreadful.
>
> Pick: TCU, -16.5, 3 units

I can see that.

>
> 2) Virginia tech vs Cincinatti- Virginia tech is not a good team, but six and a half points?? Against cincinatti? Jesus, that seems low.....there arent that many bcs teams I wouldnt give 6.5 against cincinatti. I know I said that abut the pitt pick, but...
>
> Pick: vatech, -6.5, 3 units

WOOHOO!! YOU GO GIRL!!!

>
> 3) Mississippi at Alabama: RTR. Alabama against bcs opponents ATS has been ridiculously good.
>
> Pick: Bama, -31, 3 units

Thats a TON of points. You may regret this one.

>
> 4) FSU at South Florida: maybe fsu is for real? South florida certainly isn't....the fact that this line is 16.5 indicates people dont really buy FSU....
>
> Pick: FSU, -16.5, 3 units
>
> 5) Clemson at Boston College: Historically, this kind of road game against a terrible ACC team following a deflating loss is a game Clemson not only fails to cover, but flat out loses. We'll see. That defense is pretty bad.
>
> Pick: Clemson, -9.5, 3 units
>
> 6) South Carolina at Kentucky: Kentucky is one of the worst football teams in all of college football.
>
> Pick, South Carolina, -21, 3 units

Once again, Iowa is giving points where they shouldnt be....I'm not as
confident vs Minnesota, but I wouldnt argue if you took Minnesota (+7)
over Iowa. Iowa has lost two in a row to the Gophers and their new
coach seems to have some traction, while ours.......does not.

Thomas R. Kettler

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Sep 25, 2012, 4:37:35 AM9/25/12

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In article <a197e1ea-5e60-44f1...@googlegroups.com>,

michael anderson <miande...@gmail.com> wrote:

> let me add one more...another road team(and yes it does concern me Im playing
> so many road teams)
>
> 7) Ohio at Massachusetts: Massachusetts is legendarily bad this year.
>
> Pick, Ohio, -23, 3 units

Did Frank Solich spit in your coffee? What did he do to deserve this?
--
Remove blown from email address to reply.

dnrapp

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Sep 25, 2012, 8:30:54 AM9/25/12

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Dam I was going to bet some of these games, but now I don't know if I will.
I noticed you are using part of my betting method of betting against real bad teams. I guess when you are -23 units after just 4 weeks you need to change the way you pick games to bet on

xyzzy

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Sep 25, 2012, 9:26:34 AM9/25/12

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You sure do play a lot of ACC games, for someone who claims to have no
interest in the ACC.

J. Hugh Sullivan

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Sep 25, 2012, 10:05:07 AM9/25/12

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On Tue, 25 Sep 2012 06:26:34 -0700 (PDT), xyzzy <xyzzy...@gmail.com>
wrote:

>You sure do play a lot of ACC games, for someone who claims to have no
>interest in the ACC.

Living in B'Ham he probably bets on the dog races at Eutaw. But that
doesn't mean they can play football - but it could mean that some
football teams are dogs.

Hugh

Mr. N.A.Cho

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Sep 25, 2012, 10:14:09 AM9/25/12

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> Pick, Ohio, -23, 3 units- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -

UMass? Jesus, they're Div 2 for Christ's sake.

the_andr...@yahoo.com

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Sep 25, 2012, 11:45:01 AM9/25/12

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On Sep 25, 10:04 am, Ea...@bellsouth.net (J. Hugh Sullivan) wrote:
> On Tue, 25 Sep 2012 06:26:34 -0700 (PDT), xyzzy <xyzzy.d...@gmail.com>

> wrote:
>
> >You sure do play a lot of ACC games, for someone who claims to have no
> >interest in the ACC.
>
> Living in B'Ham he probably bets on the dog races at Eutaw.

The best thing about those dog races is when the inside dog loses
traction and wipes out the whole field.

The only better thing you will see in life is weiner dog races.

Damon Hynes, Cyclone Ranger

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Sep 25, 2012, 11:56:46 AM9/25/12

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Surprised you ain't looking at Wiskey v. 'Skers. Line is Nebr by 12
and I just don't see it. Problem is, I can see Nebr winning by 20 or
losing by 20.

michael anderson

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Sep 25, 2012, 12:30:58 PM9/25/12

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line is now 13-13.5 I think....wisconsin is pretty bad. Nebraska is pretty mediocre. Figure 7ish pt difference there. Homefield 4 pts. Thats 11. A no play....

xyzzy

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Sep 25, 2012, 12:33:22 PM9/25/12

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On Sep 25, 11:45 am, "the_andrew_sm...@yahoo.com"

The duck, goat, and pig racing at the state fair was pretty fun.

xyzzy

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Sep 25, 2012, 12:34:17 PM9/25/12

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On Sep 25, 11:45 am, "the_andrew_sm...@yahoo.com"
<the_andrew_sm...@yahoo.com> wrote:

> On Sep 25, 10:04 am, Ea...@bellsouth.net (J. Hugh Sullivan) wrote:
>
> > On Tue, 25 Sep 2012 06:26:34 -0700 (PDT), xyzzy <xyzzy.d...@gmail.com>
> > wrote:
>
> > >You sure do play a lot of ACC games, for someone who claims to have no
> > >interest in the ACC.
>
> > Living in B'Ham he probably bets on the dog races at Eutaw.
>
> The best thing about those dog races is when the inside dog loses
> traction and wipes out the whole field.

so you're saying it's just like Olympic speed skating?

the_andr...@yahoo.com

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Sep 25, 2012, 12:58:51 PM9/25/12

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pig racing is similar to weiner dog racing, 'cepting those weiner dogs
can fly.

the_andr...@yahoo.com

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Sep 30, 2012, 2:33:57 AM9/30/12

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Make that 1 more loss so a total of -12 units this week

Antonio Veranos

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Sep 30, 2012, 9:29:02 AM9/30/12

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[dnrapp, dnr...@aol.com]
[Sat, 29 Sep 2012 23:32:54 -0700 (PDT)]

:

There was a time when I bet the direct opposite of his imaginary picks
and made a tidy sum over the course of the season. I might have to do
so again this year if this sort of cluelessness continues.

Antonio Veranos

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Sep 30, 2012, 9:30:22 AM9/30/12

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[dnrapp, dnr...@aol.com]
[Sat, 29 Sep 2012 23:33:57 -0700 (PDT)]

: > let me add one more...another road team(and yes it does concern me Im playing so many road teams)

: > 7) Ohio at Massachusetts: Massachusetts is legendarily bad this year.

: > Pick, Ohio, -23, 3 units
:
: Make that 1 more loss so a total of -12 units this week

Well, at least it's easy to see why he feels that he has to "take some
credit" when he gets something right. Cumulative for the year -50 yet?

The Cheesehusker, Trade Warrior

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Sep 30, 2012, 9:30:31 AM9/30/12

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law of averages says not to - it's just as hard to pick deliberate
losers - obviously.

Antonio Veranos

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Sep 30, 2012, 9:45:34 AM9/30/12

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[The Cheesehusker, Trade Warrior, iamtj...@gmail.com]
[Sun, 30 Sep 2012 06:30:31 -0700 (PDT)]

: > There was a time when I bet the direct opposite of his imaginary picks

: > and made a tidy sum over the course of the season. I might have to do
: > so again this year if this sort of cluelessness continues.
:
: law of averages says not to - it's just as hard to pick deliberate
: losers - obviously.

Indeed. I don't believe for a second that he's picking deliberate
losers, but he does seem to have a talent for swallowing hype and
Claven-style "everybody knows" nonsense to the exclusion of all else.

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Oct 6, 2012, 12:34:19 AM10/6/12

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In article <62c97995-2310-4d64...@googlegroups.com>,
michael anderson <miande...@gmail.com> wrote:

> wisconsin is pretty bad.

Check.

--
Michael Press

Michael Press

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Oct 6, 2012, 12:34:28 AM10/6/12

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In article <62c97995-2310-4d64...@googlegroups.com>,
michael anderson <miande...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Nebraska is pretty mediocre.

Check.

--
Michael Press