Message from discussion anderson's week 6 plays....
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Subject: Re: anderson's week 6 plays....
From: michael anderson <mianderso...@gmail.com>
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On Sunday, September 30, 2012 8:06:12 PM UTC-5, michael anderson wrote:
> not going to list all my plays initially(so I'll add a few to this thread=
later), but want to get them in now while I jump on some early lines. =20
> It was another poor week last week(now -35 units for the year). A lesser=
player would just stop playing. But, as I saw last year when I caught fir=
e, that's not the key to success.
> USC(-12.5) at Utah: Utah is a bad football team. USC is not. I think US=
C wins this by 3 tds or more. =20
> usc 3 units
> Georgia tech at clemson(-10): Apparently people havent been paying attent=
ion that gatech is really really bad.
> Clemson 5 units
> LSU at Florida(+4): Going to go with the points at home.
> Florida 3 units
some additional plays:
Vatech(+200) at UNC: going to make my first moneyline play of the year. In=
past years I've done very well playing live dogs who are 4-7 pt underdogs.=
We know that, over time, the moneyline play is the more valuable play for=
these underdogs. Vatech and UNC, even considering UNC is at home(hardly a=
tough environment) is just a total cluster**** of a game. Picking a winne=
r is flipping a coin...these are two mediocre teams playing and each is as =
likely to bumble around and lose the game as they other. So given that, I'=
ll obviously play it big at +200.
VAtech, +200, 5 units(meaning Im putting up 5 of my units if I lose)
Uconn at Rutgers(-7): Just feels like this should be 10 pts or so and not =
Rutgers, -7, 3 units
Kansas at Kansas State: Kansas is a really bad football team.
KSU, -24.5, 3 units