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Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2012 21:56:34 -0700 (PDT)
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Subject: Re: anderson's week 6 plays....
From: michael anderson <mianderso...@gmail.com>
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On Sunday, September 30, 2012 8:06:12 PM UTC-5, michael anderson wrote:
> not going to list all my plays initially(so I'll add a few to this thread=
 later), but want to get them in now while I jump on some early lines. =20
>=20
>=20
>=20
> It was another poor week last week(now -35 units for the year).  A lesser=
 player would just stop playing.  But, as I saw last year when I caught fir=
e, that's not the key to success.
>=20
>=20
>=20
> USC(-12.5) at Utah: Utah is a bad football team.  USC is not.  I think US=
C wins this by 3 tds or more. =20
>=20
>=20
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> usc 3 units
>=20
>=20
>=20
> Georgia tech at clemson(-10): Apparently people havent been paying attent=
ion that gatech is really really bad.
>=20
>=20
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> Clemson 5 units
>=20
>=20
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> LSU at Florida(+4): Going to go with the points at home.
>=20
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> Florida 3 units

some additional plays:

Vatech(+200) at UNC: going to make my first moneyline play of the year.  In=
 past years I've done very well playing live dogs who are 4-7 pt underdogs.=
  We know that, over time, the moneyline play is the more valuable play for=
 these underdogs.  Vatech and UNC, even considering UNC is at home(hardly a=
 tough environment) is just a total cluster**** of a game.  Picking a winne=
r is flipping a coin...these are two mediocre teams playing and each is as =
likely to bumble around and lose the game as they other.  So given that, I'=
ll obviously play it big at +200.

VAtech, +200, 5 units(meaning Im putting up 5 of my units if I lose)

Uconn at Rutgers(-7):  Just feels like this should be 10 pts or so and not =
7...

Rutgers, -7, 3 units

Kansas at Kansas State: Kansas is a really bad football team.

KSU, -24.5, 3 units