: > There was a time when I bet the direct opposite of his imaginary picks
: > and made a tidy sum over the course of the season. I might have to do
: > so again this year if this sort of cluelessness continues.
: : law of averages says not to - it's just as hard to pick deliberate
: losers - obviously.
Indeed. I don't believe for a second that he's picking deliberate losers, but he does seem to have a talent for swallowing hype and Claven-style "everybody knows" nonsense to the exclusion of all else.
> :
> : On Monday, September 24, 2012 4:06:26 PM UTC-7, michael anderson wrote:
> : > 1) TCU at SMU- TCU hasn't had to give all that many points lately to dreadful teams. Maybe that's because they arent very good? They failed to cover against kansas in a woeful performance, and then needed a last second drive to cover(sort of the reverse of a backdoor cover) against dreadful virginia. Im going to take them here against SMU, who is truly
> dreadful.
> : >
> : >
> : >
> : > Pick: TCU, -16.5, 3 units
> : >
> : >
> :
> :
> : Loss
> : >
> : > 2) Virginia tech vs Cincinatti- Virginia tech is not a good team, but six and a half points?? Against cincinatti? Jesus, that seems low.....there arent that many bcs teams I wouldnt give 6.5 against cincinatti. I know I said that abut the pitt pick, but...
> : >
> : >
> : >
> : > Pick: vatech, -6.5, 3 units
> : >
> : >
> : >
> :
> : Loss
> :
> : > 3) Mississippi at Alabama: RTR. Alabama against bcs opponents ATS has been ridiculously good.
> : >
> : >
> : >
> : > Pick: Bama, -31, 3 units
> : >
> : >
> : >
> :
> : Loss
> :
> : > 4) FSU at South Florida: maybe fsu is for real? South florida certainly isn't....the fact that this line is 16.5 indicates people dont really buy FSU....
> : >
> : >
> : >
> : > Pick: FSU, -16.5, 3 units
> : >
> : >
> :
> : Loss
> : >
> : > 5) Clemson at Boston College: Historically, this kind of road game against a terrible ACC team following a deflating loss is a game Clemson not only fails to cover, but flat out loses. We'll see. That defense is pretty bad.
> : >
> : >
> : >
> : > Pick: Clemson, -9.5, 3 units
> : >
> : >
> :
> : Win
> :
> : >
> : > 6) South Carolina at Kentucky: Kentucky is one of the worst football teams in all of college football.
> : >
> : >
> : >
> : > Pick, South Carolina, -21, 3 units
> :
> : Push
> :
> :
> : Another stellar week for Mia. Only lost 9 units
> There was a time when I bet the direct opposite of his imaginary picks
> and made a tidy sum over the course of the season. I might have to do
> so again this year if this sort of cluelessness continues.
: > There was a time when I bet the direct opposite of his imaginary picks
: > and made a tidy sum over the course of the season. I might have to do
: > so again this year if this sort of cluelessness continues.
: : : : : Sure you did. ($1 to Slick)
2010, if you care to know. I believe Glapski did the same, though he did it far more many times than I did. I'm not saying I bet against every pick the kid made, but he was a useful indicator. By all means, believe whatever you want... makes no difference to me. Cheers!
> Indeed. I don't believe for a second that he's picking deliberate > losers, but he does seem to have a talent for swallowing hype and > Claven-style "everybody knows" nonsense to the exclusion of all else.
He is the worst talent evaluator for football that I've ever seen. Of course, a lot of the time he's simply trolling, but his evaluations are just amazingly bad--mostly because he lets emotion override reality.
That's a recipe for disaster when trying to beat Vegas.
