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IPS Daily Report - 12 July 95

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Regional Warning Centre

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Jul 12, 1995, 3:00:00 AM7/12/95

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 12/2330Z JULY 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY.
SUMMARY FOR 12 JULY AND FORECAST FOR 13 JULY - 15 JULY
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 74/11

GOES satellite data for 11 Jul
Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 7.5E+04
Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.7E+04
Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.1E+07 (normal)
X-ray background: A4.3
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
13 Jul 14 Jul 15 Jul
Activity Very low Very low Very low
Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected

Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 13 Jul: 74/11

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: quiet

Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 11 Jul
Learmonth 4 2211 1111
Fredericksburg 2 1
Planetary 5 2

Observed Kp for 11 Jul: 0000 0221
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
DATE Ap CONDITIONS
13 Jul 8 Quiet to unsettled
14 Jul 8 Quiet to unsettled
15 Jul 13 Quiet to unsettled, possible isolated active periods

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
LATITUDE BAND
DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH
12 Jul normal normal normal
PCA Event : None.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
LATITUDE BAND
DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH
13 Jul normal normal fair
14 Jul normal normal fair
15 Jul normal normal fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Observed
DATE T index MUFs at Sydney
12 Jul 14 Near predicted monthly values, with sporadic E
05-18 UT and spread F 16-17 UT

Predicted Monthly T index for July: 15

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE T index MUFs
13 Jul 15 Near predicted monthly values
14 Jul 15 Near predicted monthly values
15 Jul 15 Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: Townsville MUFs: near predicted monthly values with
sporadic E 17-19 UT.
Hobart MUFs: near predicted monthly values with disturbance
from 04-06 UT.

--
IPS Radio and Space Services | email: r...@ips.gov.au
PO Box 5606 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/rwc/
West Chatswood NSW 2057 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/rwc/
tel: +61 2 4148300 | fax: +61 2 4148331

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