There are two forms of the SB problem currently being discussed, one
with rather small numbers, and one with very large numbers. Here I give
a form of the problem with moderate numbers, which may be easier to
You were present when a crime was committed, but you took no part in it.
After you have given your evidence, the judge sentences you (this
You know that you are innocent of the crime. But there is a chance that
Some time later, you wake up in prison. How do you rate your chance of
As a thirder, I know that the answer is 5/104. But my gut feeling is
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