Match to 5 5-1 to play

[Walt]

XGID=---Bb-DBB---bCa-ac-cb--Ba-:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:5:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X O |
| X O | | O O X |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| O X X | | X O X |
| O X X | | X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 145 O: 141 X-O: 0-0/5
Cube: 1
X to play 51

--
//Walt

[Bradley K. Sherman]

Walt <walt_...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
> | X O O O | | O O X O |
> | X O | | O O X |
> | X O | | O |
> | | | |
> | | | |
> | |BAR| |
> | | | |
> | | | X |
> | | | X |
> | O X X | | X O X |
> | O X X | | X O X |
> +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+

>Pip count X: 145 O: 141 X-O: 0-0/5, Cube:1, X to play 51

13/8, 23/22. (Without much convicton.)

--bks

[badgolferman]

I'll play 13/7. My second choice is 13/8, 6/5. I like the anchor on
23-point right now.

[Tim Chow]

This looks like a followup to the previous position, illustrating the
danger of allowing yourself to get primed. We have to split and the
only question is whether 23/18 is too bold. Despite O's stripped
midpoint and blot in her board, it looks too aggressive to me. 23/22
13/8.

---
Tim Chow

[Walt]

On 6/1/2012 5:04 PM, Walt wrote:


I did not like splitting to the 18. With four(!) builders aimed at this
blot, the only shakes that miss are 55 and 53, and these point on the
head if we also play 23/21. Nonetheless, XG favors this play.

I opted for 13/7 6/5 hoping to counterprime or lure O off the anchor
with an exchange of hits. XG didn't like this so much.

1. Rollout� 23/22 23/18 eq:-0.413
Player: 42.49% (G:10.22% B:0.52%)
Opponent: 57.51% (G:24.42% B:0.48%)
Confidence: �0.012 (-0.426..-0.401) - [99.9%]
Duration: 15 minutes 40 seconds

2. Rollout� 23/18 6/5 eq:-0.440 (-0.027)
Player: 41.50% (G:10.52% B:0.66%)
Opponent: 58.50% (G:25.03% B:0.82%)
Confidence: �0.012 (-0.453..-0.428) - [0.1%]
Duration: 16 minutes 48 seconds

3. Rollout� 23/22 13/8 eq:-0.471 (-0.058)
Player: 41.14% (G:9.26% B:0.48%)
Opponent: 58.86% (G:21.49% B:0.48%)
Confidence: �0.013 (-0.483..-0.458) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 48 seconds

4. Rollout� 13/8 6/5 eq:-0.472 (-0.059)
Player: 38.94% (G:9.06% B:0.48%)
Opponent: 61.06% (G:16.75% B:0.61%)
Confidence: �0.013 (-0.485..-0.459) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 00 second

5. Rollout� 13/7 eq:-0.567 (-0.153)
Player: 36.68% (G:8.03% B:0.53%)
Opponent: 63.32% (G:16.77% B:0.57%)
Confidence: �0.014 (-0.581..-0.553) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 54 seconds


� 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2