SteveA's MLB Wed May 14
SteveA
Season: 123-105, +14.56 units
Orioles +106 vs Red Sox (Intertops)
SteveA
Adding
Braves +133 vs Phillies (Intertops) -- Teixiera's back in the
lineup and I found this number just a bit too high. Take out the
start he left in the first inning with an injury, and Glavine has had
a good start 4 out of 5 times to the mound.
A's/Indians under 8 -110 (Intertops) -- Sabathia has 3 excellent
starts in the last 4 and the Cleveland pitching staff is on fire.
Oakland's soft vs lefties too. Blanton is a good pitcher and the
Indians aren't exactly tearing the cover off the ball (they've scored
more than 4 runs just 4 times in the last 17 games).
Marlins +122 vs Reds (Intertops) -- Arroyo just has not pitched
well enough to merit being this big a favorite over a team playing
well on the road like the Marlins.
Nationals +140 vs Mets (SIA) -- Redding has pitched great, and
Vargas has never been any good.
SteveA
> On May 14, 9:31 am, SteveA <steveaik...@verizon.net> wrote:
>
> > Yesterday: 3-3, +0.25 units
> > Season: 123-105, +14.56 units
>
> > Orioles +106 vs Red Sox (Intertops)
>
> Adding
>
> Braves +133 vs Phillies (Intertops)
Adding:
Dodgers -105 vs Brewers (SIA) -- Dodgers hit lefties really hard,
and they are facing a fairly bad lefty tonihgt.
Royals +130 vs Tigers (SIA) -- Verlander has not pitched well
enough to merit being this big a road favorite. Hochevar has 3
straight excellent
starts after his first start didn't go well.
Diamondbacks -1.5 runs +125 vs Rockies (Intertops) -- Diamondbacks
hit lefties hard and De La Rosa is a bad lefty. They have the far
superior offense and far superior starting pitcher in this one, and
they are at home where they are 15-7 (Rockies 8-14 on the road). Even
giving a run, Arizona is 12-10 at home, far better than the 45% needed
to make a +125 bet profitable.
White Sox +126 vs Angels (SIA) -- We don't know what kind of shape
John Lackey is in, making his first start of the year, although we do
know he hasn't gotten the amount of work a pitcher gets in spring
training. It doesn't seem likely he'll be in peak form. We do know
that Contreras is having a fanstastic year. We do know that the
Angels are weaker vs righthanded pitching, and that they miss Chone
Figgins bat as a catalyst in their offense. We do know the White Sox
have the better bullpen, and with a starter coming off an injury
probalby on a pitch count, it is more likely that the Angels will have
to go deep into their not-so-great pen for some of the lesser arms
while Chicago, pitching Contreras who is averaging over 6.5 innings
per start, will likely only have to use their best arms that normally
pitch the 7th, 8th, and 9th. (In fact, Anaheim's two best relief
arms, Shields and K-Rod, both have pitched two consecutive days and
may not be available tonight and if they do go they will be going on
their 3rd straight day). Given all those facts, it certainly seems
like the Sox have a reasonable chance to win this game.