SteveA's MLB Tue May 13
SteveA
Season: 120-102, +14.31 units
Braves/Phillies under 10 -105 (Intertops) -- Braves don't score
much on the road anyway (only 3 of their 19 road games have gone over
this total; they average well under 4 runs per game on the road) and
their 2nd best hitter, Mark Teixiera, is not in the lineup tonight.
Phillies don't hit lefties as well as righties. The starting pitching
may not be great, but the bullpens are two of the best.
A's +103 vs Indians (Intertops) -- A's have been one of the better
road teams in the AL, and Cleveland isn't scoring (3 runs or less in
10 of the last 14 games). Dutscherer has pitched well for the A's.
Rays +125 vs Yankees (SIA) -- Yankee offense not clicking without
Posada, A-Rod, and with Cano not hitting his weight. THey have only
scored 6+ 3 times in the last 16 games. Tonight they face one of the
hottest teams in baseball, the Rays who have won 10 straight home
games (against Yankees, Red Sox, and Angels...NOT weak competition!).
Yankees are under .500 on the road, Rays are 14-7 at home, line needs
to adjust.
SteveA
> Yesterday: 4-1, +3.44 units
> Season: 120-102, +14.31 units
>
> Braves/Phillies under 10 -105 (Intertops)
Adding:
Cubs -1.5 runs +115 vs Padres (Intertops) -- Cubs have a great
offense that is especially great against lefty pitching (over 7 runs
per game when a lefty starts; over 12 runs per game in the 3 games
they have faced a lefty at Wrigley; and tonight it appears the wind is
blowing out bigtime!). Shawn Estes is an aging old mediocre lefty
making his first start in over two years as he has recovered from
major injuries; the last 4+ years he pitched before getting hurt his
ERA was well over 5. He last put up an ERA better than the league
average in 1997. That was the ONLY year in a 15 year career that he
put up a WHIP under 1.43 with any significant # of innings. So a team
that absolutely kills lefties, especially at their home ballpark which
has been a haven for righthanded power hitters for 9 decades, with the
wind blowing out, against a lefty who has never been all that good
except for one good year during the Clinton administration, and who
has been out for two years with major injuries...a recipe for some
serious Cub scoring. The opposing Padres are the weakest offense in
the NL, who have scored more than 4 runs only 8 times in the last 31
games. Recipe for a mismatch.
Pirates/Cardinals over 9 -110 (Intertops) -- Two poor starting
pitchers, and Lohse has been pounded recently. Dumatrait has averaged
just over 3 innings per start in his short, undistinguished career,
only completing the 5th twice in 8 starts, only completing the 6th
once. So you can expect lots of that Pirate bullpen, which is not
particularly good, tonight.
White Sox +115 vs Angels (SIA)