Vaunted MNF Theory Wins Again

[Atlanta Ranger]

As I said many times and for many years--the square MNF underdog belief is
to go with the underdog. As stated, that "angle" started in the pre-parity
days when ABC could handpick two good teams almost always playing on MNF.
But I further researched and found when MNF underdogs did not cover, they
almost always were bad teams.

I data mined and saw if there was a MNF underdog and the home team had a
winning percentage of less than .400, go with the favorite; above .600 go
with the dog. In between, no real angle.

All three MNF dogs were under .400. Twice the road team covers. This angle
has held up for about a quarter century.

[Gary Collard]

HD in general are doing pretty bad this year, I think it's 14-21
although that's off the top of my head.

Considered Wash pretty hard but passed because Philly was off an
embarrassing loss and the line was begging you to take the Deadskins.

--
Gary Collard
SABR-L Moderator
gmcollard at yahoo dot com
http://twitter.com/LakerGMC
http://sarcastipundit.blogspot.com/

"The urge to save humanity is usually an ambition to enslave it."
-- Houston Rao