Hand analysis of 6000 hands from TruePoker
Tony H.
I've analyzed 50,000 hands from Paradise Poker in the past using
PokerStat's card statistics tool. Since the tools to analyze hands are
already there, I've plugged in about 6000 hands from TruePoker. I know
6000 hands isn't much, but at least it's something! Here are the
results from TruePoker:
- Tony
HOLE CARD ANALYSIS:
Total hands you were dealt cards: 5412
All suited starters dealt: 1274 (23.54%)
All suited starters expected: 1273 (23.5%)
All connected starters dealt: 879 (16.24%)
All connected starters expected: 849 (15.7%)
Suited connector starters dealt: 204 (3.77%)
Suited connector starters expected: 212 (3.92%)
Paired starters dealt: 325 (6.005%)
Paired starters expected: 318 (5.88%)
AKo dealt: 60 (1.109%)
AKo expected: 49 (0.905%)
AKs dealt: 19 (0.351%)
AKs expected: 16 (0.302%)
Any AK dealt: 79 (1.460%)
Any AK expected: 65 (1.21%)
A's dealt: 26 (0.480%)
K's dealt: 27 (0.499%)
Q's dealt: 19 (0.351%)
J's dealt: 30 (0.554%)
T's dealt: 27 (0.499%)
9's dealt: 24 (0.443%)
8's dealt: 30 (0.554%)
7's dealt: 28 (0.517%)
6's dealt: 20 (0.370%)
5's dealt: 24 (0.443%)
4's dealt: 20 (0.370%)
3's dealt: 29 (0.536%)
2's dealt: 21 (0.388%)
Each pair expected: 24 (0.452%)
FLOP ANALYSIS:
(Note that only data for hands where a flop was dealt are used.
Hands where no flop was dealt are skipped.)
Total hands you were dealt cards: 5412
Times a flop dealt when you were dealt cards: 5263 (97.25%)
When user dealt AK, flops at least one A or K: 27 (36.99%)
expected: 24 (32.4%)
USER HAS ANY TWO SUITED CARDS (dealt 1245 times):
Using both user's hole cards, flopped a:
3 flush: 510 (40.96%) expected: 518 (41.6%)
4 flush: 139 (11.16%) expected: 136 (10.9%)
5 flush: 10 (0.80%) expected: 10 (0.842%)
Three cards on the flop make up a:
3 straight: 36 (2.89%) expected: 40 (3.18%)
2 flush: 705 (56.63%) expected: 686 (55.1%)
3 flush: 70 (5.62%) expected: 65 (05.22%)
any pair: 181 (14.54%) expected: 211 (16.9%)
Hand user flops:
High card: 665 (53.4%) expected: 655 (52.6%)
Pair: 491 (39.4%) expected: 503 (40.4%)
Two pair: 55 (4.42%) expected: 50 (4.04%)
3 of a kind: 19 (1.53%) expected: 20 (1.57%)
Straight: 5 (0.40%) expected: 5 (0.412%)
Flush: 10 (0.80%) expected: 10 (0.835%)
Full house: 0 (0.000%) expected: 1 (0.0918%)
Four of a kind: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.0102%)
Straight flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00589%)
Royal flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.000654%)
USER HAS ANY PAIR (dealt 318 times):
Using both user's hole cards, flopped a:
Underpair (to flop): 76 (23.90%) expected: 75 (23.5%)
Overpair (to flop): 78 (24.53%) expected: 75 (23.5%)
Set: 39 (12.26%) expected: 37 (11.51%)
Quads: 0 (0.000%) expected: 1 (0.245%)
Three cards on the flop make up a:
3 straight: 13 (4.09%) expected: 10 (3.18%)
2 flush: 169 (53.14%) expected: 175 (55.0%)
3 flush: 14 (4.40%) expected: 16 (5.16%)
any pair: 52 (16.35%) expected: 55 (17.1%)
Hand user flops:
High card: 0 (0.0%) expected: 0 (0.00%)
Pair: 230 (72.3%) expected: 228 (71.8%)
Two pair: 49 (15.41%) expected: 51 (16.2%)
3 of a kind: 36 (11.32%) expected: 34 (10.8%)
Straight: 0 (0.00%) expected: 0 (0.00%)
Flush: 0 (0.00%) expected: 0 (0.00%)
Full house: 3 (0.943%) expected: 3 (0.980%)
Four of a kind: 0 (0.000%) expected: 1 (0.245%)
Straight flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00%)
Royal flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00%)
USER HAS OFFSUIT CONNECTORS FROM 54o to JTo (dealt 359 times):
Using both user's hole cards, flopped a:
Open ended: 26 (7.24%) expected: 31 (8.55%)
Double belly: 3 (0.84%) expected: 2 (0.531%)
Straight: 7 (1.95%) expected: 5 (1.26%)
Three cards on the flop make up a:
3 straight: 13 (3.62%) expected: 11 (3.15%)
2 flush: 192 (53.48%) expected: 198 (55.0%)
3 flush: 23 (6.41%) expected: 19 (5.16%)
any pair: 59 (16.43%) expected: 61 (16.9%)
Hand user flops:
High card: 191 (53.2%) expected: 189 (52.6%)
Pair: 142 (39.6%) expected: 145 (40.4%)
Two pair: 13 (3.62%) expected: 15 (4.04%)
3 of a kind: 6 (1.67%) expected: 6 (1.57%)
Straight: 7 (1.95%) expected: 4 (1.23%)
Flush: 0 (0.00%) expected: 0 (0.00%)
Full house: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.0918%)
Four of a kind: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.0102%)
Straight flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00%)
Royal flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00%)
ALL FLOPS SEEN BY THE USER:
Three cards on the flop make up a:
3 straight: 181 (3.44%) expected: 168 (3.19%)
2 flush: 2889 (54.89%) expected: 2898 (55.1%)
3 flush: 266 (5.05%) expected: 272 (5.18%)
any pair: 848 (16.11%) expected: 892 (16.9%)
Hand user flops:
High card: 2676 (50.8%) expected: 2638 (50.1%)
Pair: 2177 (41.4%) expected: 2224 (42.3%)
Two pair: 248 (4.71%) expected: 250 (4.75%)
3 of a kind: 120 (2.28%) expected: 111 (2.11%)
Straight: 23 (0.44%) expected: 21 (0.392%)
Flush: 10 (0.19%) expected: 10 (0.197%)
Full house: 9 (0.171%) expected: 8 (0.144%)
Four of a kind: 0 (0.000%) expected: 1 (0.0240%)
Straight flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00139%)
Royal flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.000154%)
RIVER ANALYSIS:
Note that only data for hands where a river was dealt are used.
Hands where no river was dealt are skipped.)
Total hands you were dealt cards: 5412
Total final boards seen when you were dealt cards: 3779
USER HAS ANY TWO SUITED CARDS (dealt 890 times):
Four flushes flopped: 112 (12.58%)
expected: 97 (10.9%)
When flop four flush, got flush: 47 (41.96%)
expected: 39 (35.0%)
Hand user has at river:
High card: 148 (16.6%) expected: 155 (17.4%)
Pair: 368 (41.3%) expected: 380 (42.6%)
Two pair: 206 (23.15%) expected: 197 (22.1%)
3 of a kind: 39 (4.38%) expected: 39 (4.33%)
Straight: 35 (3.93%) expected: 41 (4.56%)
Flush: 77 (8.65%) expected: 58 (6.51%)
Full house: 15 (1.685%) expected: 20 (2.22%)
Four of a kind: 0 (0.000%) expected: 1 (0.126%)
Straight flush: 2 (0.225%) expected: 1 (0.0663%)
Royal flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00781%)
USER HAS ANY PAIR (dealt 245 times):
A set flopped: 34 (13.88%)
expected: 28 (11.3%)
When flop set, got boat or quads: 13 (38.24%)
expected: 11 (33.4%)
Hand user has at river:
High card: 0 (0.0%) expected: 0 (0.00%)
Pair: 85 (34.7%) expected: 87 (35.5%)
Two pair: 84 (34.29%) expected: 97 (39.5%)
3 of a kind: 37 (15.10%) expected: 29 (11.7%)
Straight: 7 (2.86%) expected: 5 (1.90%)
Flush: 5 (2.04%) expected: 5 (1.95%)
Full house: 23 (9.388%) expected: 21 (8.54%)
Four of a kind: 4 (1.633%) expected: 2 (0.842%)
Straight flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.0160%)
Royal flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00182%)
USER HAS OFFSUIT CONNECTORS FROM 54o to JTo (dealt 264 times):
Flopped open ended: 23 (8.71%)
expected: 23 (8.55%)
When open ended, got straight: 9 (39.13%)
expected: 7 (30.7%)
Hand user has at river:
High card: 43 (16.3%) expected: 45 (17.2%)
Pair: 114 (43.2%) expected: 113 (42.7%)
Two pair: 56 (21.21%) expected: 59 (22.3%)
3 of a kind: 8 (3.03%) expected: 11 (4.35%)
Straight: 30 (11.36%) expected: 24 (9.12%)
Flush: 6 (2.27%) expected: 5 (1.95%)
Full house: 6 (2.273%) expected: 6 (2.22%)
Four of a kind: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.126%)
Straight flush: 1 (0.379%) expected: 0 (0.0209%)
Royal flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00110%)
ALL RIVERS SEEN BY THE USER:
Hand user has at river:
High card: 651 (17.2%) expected: 658 (17.4%)
Pair: 1627 (43.1%) expected: 1656 (43.8%)
Two pair: 868 (22.97%) expected: 888 (23.5%)
3 of a kind: 193 (5.11%) expected: 183 (4.83%)
Straight: 199 (5.27%) expected: 175 (4.62%)
Flush: 134 (3.55%) expected: 114 (3.03%)
Full house: 96 (2.540%) expected: 98 (2.60%)
Four of a kind: 8 (0.212%) expected: 6 (0.168%)
Straight flush: 3 (0.079%) expected: 1 (0.0279%)
Royal flush: 0 (0.000%) expected: 0 (0.00323%)
Four to a flush on board 144 (3.811%)
expected: 162 (4.29%)
__________________________________________
Online Poker Hand History Analysis program
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