On Aug 26, 9:03 pm, DELETETHIS <"minus200(DELETETHIS)"@
bellsouth.net>
wrote:
> IP - Biloxi - 1-2NL game --- been in game about 2 1/2 hours and have a
> decent read on the table. I spent the 1st hour completely card dead and
> used the image to steal a couple of small pots. I am down about $120
> and have around $380 in front of me. Under the gun I make what is a
> semi std raise of $12 with the red kings- get 4 callers.
That's fine.
>
> Flop K - 6 -4 with two hearts
>
> I bet $40 and the best player in the game raises to $140 -- all folds to me
>
> I think he could have 3 or 4 hands - A-K 6-6 4-4 or even a move
> with a heart draw hoping to win the hand right there. I consider 6-4 an
> unlikely 5th choice but he is capable of the play since the table has
> been pretty loose and he has about $950 with a $500 buy in.
If he has a set he won't be able to fold. If he has 6-4 you might need
to call and check the turn to get another bet out of him drawing dead
or, if he made a full house, drawing to one out. If he is semi-
bluffing, you probably can't get another chip out of him after he
misses the turn but that is the one possibility that would make a re-
raise close to mandatory.
So there are six card combinations where you can shove without risking
a fold, The 6-4 is eight combinations and shoving would be risky
against that one because you _really_ don't want him to fold. The card
combinations for draw are numerous but almost all of them are
unlikely. You would rather he called a shove with a draw but a fold
isn't tragic.
>
> What should I do - I have watched him raise - get called and he always
> makes a large bet on the next card.
This is good information and would make me think about just calling.
However, I would probably shove. The other hands he might have aren't
folding and calling and checking the turn is going to look suspicious
enough that someone with two pair might shut down. Then he might fold
to a river bet and check behind if you check again.
I made what I think was a huge
> error and shoved my remaining stack (about $220-$230). He thought a
> while and folded - he showed me 6-4 suited. What makes this such a bad
> play was that my table image was very tight AND I did not think about
> his previous big bets after he raised and was checked to him. Now that
> I have reviewed the hand I take a $220+ charge for the shove
>
> How bad was it - my guess is that I will get pretty bloody on that question
>
> was a good night in spite of this lapse - made a couple of good folds
> and two very good calls and 3 for 3 on bluffs
If you are three for three on bluffs, how can you complain when _one_
player makes a correct fold against you.
--
Willy "The Lamb" Reich