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Is that you Art, trolling all the way from B.C.?
Like I said where's the beef (data)? All we get are the big
fluffy buns. [download the .xls file on my web site
referenced above]
Do your own analysis. Download the monthly CPI-U inflation
index, the unemployment rate, and the minimum wage.
Calculate the CPI-U adjusted minimum wage. Just for grins
"dummy code" the party in the White House. Run multiple
regression analysis with the unemployment rate as the
dependant variable, and CY$ minimum wage, CPI-U adjusted
minimum wage, and party in the White House as the
independent variables and see the result. Shift the
independent variables back by 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 months and 1
year to detect any lagging effect.
The results are there is no statistically significant
correlation, and the party of the president, although not
significant, has a higher correlation with unemployment than
does either CY$ or CPI-U adjusted minimum wage rates.
*NO CORRELATION = NO EFFECT = NO VALID ARGUMENT*
Another "sounds plausible but wrong" neo-con/reactionary
myth busted.
Abruptly doubling the minimum wage to 15$/hour may have an
effect on employment, as it is far outside the historical
data range, but a phased increase of c. 1$/quarter in the
minimum wage rate to15$/hr, even if adjusted for inflation
(as it should be), should have minimal aggregate impact,
other than reducing the load the current poverty level wages
are placing on state and municipal budgets/tax rates (and
local tax payers), and internalizing back to business the
labor costs the cheap-screw employers have managed to
externalize [foist off] onto the taxpayers.