I have been tracking the number of U.S. BANKS that have
failed and was taken over by FDIC for 2009. As of
02/20/09, a total of 14 banks have failed this year.
http://www.fdic.gov/news/news/press/2009/index.html
For all of the year 2008, 25-banks failed.
I am guessing a 100 banks fail in 2009 at the current
rate.
"Experts" do indeed predict additional bank failures for 2009, some even by
name. But to extrapolate the entire year based on its first 51 days is
rather presumptuous, wouldn't ya say? Predictive statistics don't work that
way. Better to wait until Dec. 31 and inform us of how many actually did
fail.
James
Actually, when I looked at FDIC.gov last night (as I do most Friday
nights), I was surprised not to see the name of a certain bank.
The fact that the FDIC doesn't have enough experienced liquidators/
experienced personnal is the only thing keeping a considerable number
of small and medium-sized banks open right now.
oly
If those banks have failed, how can they stay open at all? Or does FDIC
have a "solvency level below which" it will shut them down?
James
Lacking capital, or being insolvent, doesn't immediately kill an
institution. Most people won't panic because they trust the FDIC!!!
Lacking cash or near cash assets can be immediately fatal to a
financial institution. You must have cash and funds with other
correspondent banks to meet local customer demands for cash. You must
be able to honor checks and drafts and wires when they are presented
to you for daily collections.
Problem institutions do tend to rack up greater losses the longer they
remain open, so the FDIC does try to do things on a timely basis.
Banking (especially lending) is an art too, not an exact science,
oly
My guess is that JMcC would be messing around with the economy just as BO
is, just in a different way or to a different degree, had he won. Then his
detractors would be saying similar things about his plan. "We've already
determined what kind of lad you are, Mr. President..."
James
To me, the whole industry is a shell game, but I play it anyway, lacking any
viable alternative.
James
When gasoline reached $4.00+ per gallon last summer, were you predicting
$1.55 per gallon six months later? Or is your expertise just banks? My
BB&T stock is down to about $14 from $40 a year or so ago. Analysts claim
that BB&T isn't among those in serious trouble from shaky loans. Should I
buy more shares. Whisper, so others here don't jump first and drive the
price up too soon.
My you certainly have a talent for spouting misinformation right on the
heels of facts coming out that proves the opposite of your ignorant
rhetoric. Or are you merely trolling?
>I am guessing a 100 banks fail in 2009 at the current
>rate.
Seems quite possible. Here's a nice table:
http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/banklist.html
Best Regards, Bob Johnson
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Thank you for the link above! Notice 11 banks total in 2002 and
non for the year 2006.
>Thank you for the link above! Notice 11 banks total in 2002 and
>non for the year 2006.
Here's a nice chart (only into mid-2008, however)
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2008/07/coming-bank-failures.html
Best Regards.
Bob Johnson
http://www.coinsheetlinks.com