Tour de France, stage 15 summary

[Bob Martin]

Changes in stage 15 compared to stage 14

Biggest gainers by position :
+21 Jose Luis Arrieta
+21 Danny Pate
+15 Simon Gerrans
+15 Egoi Martinez
+14 Laurent Lefevre
+14 Johann Tschopp
+11 David Le Lay
+10 Sylvester Szmyd
+10 Christophe Le Mevel
+10 Amets Txurruka

Biggest losers by position :
-12 Stefan Schumacher
-10 Dario Cioni
-10 Remi Pauriol
-9 Thor Hushovd
-7 Bram Tankink
-7 Christophe Brandt
-6 Fabian Wegmann
-6 Jerome Pineau
-5 David Millar
-5 Xavier Florencio
-4 Oscar Freire

Biggest gainers by time :
+4:42 Simon Gerrans
+4:39 Egoi Martinez
+4:32 Danny Pate
+3:47 Jose Luis Arrieta
+0:39 Carlos Sastre
+0:39 Bernhard Kohl
+0:30 Alejandro Valverde
+0:19 Denis Menchov
+0:01 Frank Schleck

Biggest losers by time :
-38:17 Sebastien Chavanel
-26:10 Christophe Brandt
-26:10 Francesco Chicchi
-25:04 Sven Krauss
-22:14 Jimmy Casper
-21:57 Wim Vansevenant
-21:11 Fabian Wegmann
-20:51 Adam Hansen
-20:51 Aleksandr Kuschynski
-20:51 Arnaud Gerard
-20:51 Bernhard Eisel

Favourites by position :
+4 George Hincapie
+3 Andy Schleck
+3 Alejandro Valverde
+1 Samuel Sanchez
+1 Frank Schleck
+1 Denis Menchov
-1 Damiano Cunego
-2 Christian Vande Velde
-2 Cadel Evans

Favourites by time :
+0:39 Carlos Sastre
+0:30 Alejandro Valverde
+0:19 Denis Menchov
+0:01 Frank Schleck
-0:01 Christian Vande Velde
-0:08 Samuel Sanchez
-0:08 Cadel Evans
-0:16 Andy Schleck
-0:52 Kim Kirchen
-1:04 Vladimir Efimkin
-2:06 Damiano Cunego
-6:12 George Hincapie
-11:47 Jens Voigt

Top 3 and favourites standings :
1 Frank Schleck 63.57.21
2 Bernhard Kohl 0.07
3 Cadel Evans 0.08
4 Denis Menchov 0.38
5 Christian Vande Velde 0.39
6 Carlos Sastre 0.49
7 Kim Kirchen 2.48
8 Vladimir Efimkin 3.36
9 Alejandro Valverde 4.11
10 Samuel Sanchez 4.34
.....
15 Damiano Cunego 7.43
.....
17 Andy Schleck 9.01
.....
41 Jens Voigt 42.25
.....
46 George Hincapie 46.03

Retirements to date : Stage
Oscar Pereiro (Spa) Caisse d'Epargne 15 <<<
Mark Cavendish (GBr) Columbia 15 <<<
Mauricio Soler (Col) Barloworld 5
Felix Rafael Cardenas (Col) Barloworld 11
Baden Cooke (Aus) Barloworld 12
Moises Duenas (Spa) Barloworld 11
Paolo Longo Borghini (Ita) Barloworld 11
Manuel Beltran (Spa) Liquigas 8
Mark Renshaw (Aus) Credit Agricole 15 <<<
Stijn Devolder (Bel) Quick Step 15 <<<
Mauro Facci (Ita) Quick Step 7
John Gadret (Fra) AG2R La Mondiale 7
Christophe Moreau (Fra) Agritubel 7
Nicolas Jalabert (Fra) Agritubel 14
Iouri Trofimov (Rus) Bouygues Telecom 10
Lilian Jegou (Fra) Francaise des Jeux 7
Riccardo Ricco (Ita) Saunier Duval-Scott 12
Rubens Bertogliati (Swi) Saunier Duval-Scott 12
Juan Jose Cobo (Spa) Saunier Duval-Scott 12
David De La Fuente (Spa) Saunier Duval-Scott 12
Jesus Del Nero (Spa) Saunier Duval-Scott 12
Angel Gomez Gomez (Spa) Saunier Duval-Scott 3
Josep Jufre (Spa) Saunier Duval-Scott 12
Aurelien Passeron (Fra) Saunier Duval-Scott 6
Leonardo Piepoli (Ita) Saunier Duval-Scott 12
Herve Duclos-Lassalle (Fra) Cofidis 1
Magnus Backstedt (Swe) Garmin Chipotle - H30 7
Total retirements : 27

[Dumbass]

On Jul 20, 1:08 pm, Bob Martin <bob.mar...@excite.com> wrote:
> Changes in stage 15 compared to stage 14

> Favourites by time :
>     +0:39   Carlos Sastre
>     +0:30   Alejandro Valverde
>     +0:19   Denis Menchov
>     +0:01   Frank Schleck
>     -0:01   Christian Vande Velde

Never seen so many happy GC contenders!
Even Vande Velde was thrillled in spite of losing
a sec.

>     -0:08   Samuel Sanchez
>     -0:08   Cadel Evans
>     -0:16   Andy Schleck
>     -0:52   Kim Kirchen
>     -1:04   Vladimir Efimkin
>     -2:06   Damiano Cunego
>     -6:12   George Hincapie
>    -11:47   Jens Voigt
>
> Top 3 and favourites standings :
>         1  Frank Schleck                              63.57.21
>         2  Bernhard Kohl                                  0.07
>         3  Cadel Evans                                    0.08
>         4  Denis Menchov                                  0.38
>         5  Christian Vande Velde                          0.39
>         6  Carlos Sastre                                  0.49

So, how do these guys sort out in terms of their estimated time trial?

Will Schleck and Kohl need a bigger lead going into the time trail to
make
the podium?

are 3-6 the real podium contenders?

What's the chance that someone below here will make the podium?

Thanks Bob for these great summaries!