On Sun, 30 Sep 2012 21:26:39 -0400, "Obveeus" <
Obv...@aol.com> wrote:
>
>"Steve Bartman" <
sbar...@visi.com> wrote:
>
>> On Sun, 30 Sep 2012 08:09:33 -0400, "Obveeus" <
Obv...@aol.com> wrote:
>
>>>Yep...and that was after he refused to accept valid orders from command.
>>>Just the fact that he questioned his orders is a big enough problem, even
>>>before he added rouge nuclear terrorist to his resume.
>>
>> If you accept the string of howlers up to and including the attacks on
>> his boat, they have a point. He's in command of a national strategic
>> asset, a rare beast. He has evidence that the US has used offensive
>> strategic missiles on an ally. He has been ordered "relieved" by an
>> undersecretary who is not in the chain of command. Still doesn't let
>> him launch on his own authority, but he has cause to take action to
>> verify the situation ashore.
>
>He first defied orders when he refused to launch the missle as per the
>'Antarctica command system'.
Did he?
The reason there are multiple keys in the launch sequence--and there
are more than two--is that the system relies on each officer,
independently, to be convinced that they have a valid launch order. It
is not a matter of rank. One reason "Crimson Tide" was so wrong is
that the CO cannot order a subordinate key-holder to turn his key.
That is an illegal order. Each officer must independently decide. It's
a key safeguard built in, which the show went around by showing the
"guy on the radio" (whomever he was) to shop for someone who WOULD
turn the key.
But what is a valid order? That's the basis for the show's string of
events after the EAM is received ("Crimson Tide's" as well.) The
officers may not fail to turn out of moral qualms; a valid order to
launch is a legal order from the NCA which all officers are bound to
obey under their oath. But if they suspect the order is in error, is
false, is incomplete, is a counterfeit, was mis-decrytped, etc. they
may, and in fact have a duty to, not turn their key.
Taken as a whole the events in the show "might" justify that.
Impeachment proceedings showing a constitutional crisis in play.
Admirals being relieved. No crisis underway with Pakistan; SSBN COs
get intel briefings in the daily message traffic. A limited launch
order which would not be sufficient to take out Pakistan's strategic
arsenal even if there were a crisis. And finally the use of a
secondary system (ignoring that Antarctica is demilitarized and has
been for decades.) So, he might have been justified.
But after he decided not to turn his key he was free lancing. I agree
with that. All I want to emphasize is that there are multiple keys for
a reason, and officers aren't robots.
The real security and reliability in the system is built into the
mechanisms which generate valid EAMs. The show hand-waved that away.
In reality they are very, very secure and rely on a lot of independent
players doing things out in the open. A conspiracy to circumvent them
would need to be vast.
>>>I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the US military is not a defense
>>>only entity. The US is just as likely to launch a first strike nuclear
>>>attack as anyone else
>>
>> No, it isn't. For lots of reasons.
>
>The US is the only country that has ever, in the history of mankind,
>actually done so.
Not relevant today. We were in a declared war seventy years ago.
Nuclear weapons had no overhanging geopolitical aura; they were just a
bigger bang. No one else had them. We were then engaged in burning
down Japanese cites every night with incendiaries. The fire bombing of
Tokyo killed more civilians in a single night than died at Hiroshima.
We remain the most militarily aggressive country on the
>planet.
Really? More than Syria? More than North Korea? Canadians fear an
invasion or the shelling of Toronto?
Call it 'peacekeeping' if you want, but the USA is on offense
>clearly and regularly, in reality.
We have one "formal" war underway, and NATO is there with us.
A nuclear first strike is orders of magnitude bigger than anything
we've done militarily since 1945. In a real sense it's not even "war."
Of the known nuclear powers I would not put us in the top five most
likely to engage in a first strike. A big reason is we don't need one.
We have the biggest conventional force in the world and contrary to
what many think nuclear weapons cause far more problems in a military
sense than they solve. I don't expect we'll have any in fifty years.
>Yep...and I'm still not sure how the writers are going to shoehorn in any
>further plotlines for why this sub would keep having interactions with the
>rest of the world rather than being isolated to their island 'resort'.
>
I think it'll be 80-20 action on the island (cheap to film) versus
action in D.C. I think any action on threatening warships will be less
than 1%. It's a soap.
Steve